Transcript Roberto Camagni - Politecnico di Milano

SPAN-3: Spatial Perspectives at Nuts-3 Level
Development scenarios and policy suggestions
for Latin Countries and Latin Arc
Roberto Camagni - Politecnico di Milano
Alcalà de Henares, 9-10 June 2010
The project team
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Lead partner: Politecnico di Milano:
– Project Coordinator: Prof. Roberto Camagni (Full Professor of
Urban Economics)
– Project Manager: Antonio Affuso (Research Fellow)
– Prof. Roberta Capello (Full Professor of Regional Economics)
– Ugo Fratesi and Camilla Lenzi (Researchers)
– Andrea Caragliu (PhD student)
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Subcontractor for Scenario building: Jacques ROBERT (Tersyn)
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Project Partner: Institut d'Estudis Regionals i Metropolitans de
Barcelona (UAB):
– Prof. Joan Trullén (Director - Tenure of Applied Economics and
Urban policy)
– Prof. Rafael Boix (Coordinator - Senior Lecturer)
– Vittorio Galletto (Technical Researcher and PhD student)
– Daniel Sánchez (PhD Student and actually trainee at OECD)
Stakeholders
• Députaciò de Barcelona, leader;
• Provincia di Torino;
• Département de l’Hérault.
General Goals
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to show how the general ESPON approach to spatial
analysis can be useful to local policy makers;
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to build new methodologies and tools which could
provide support to policy makers for quantitative
assessment and foresight;
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to develop interesting and stimulating partnership
processes between scholars, local-regional policy makers
and European functionaries in charge of EU regional policy.
The general structure of the project
Structure and Performance of
the Barcelona Area
(D.1)
New MASST Foresight
(B)
Thematic and Integrated
Qualitative Scenarios
(A.1)
MAN -3 Submodel
(C)
First Scenario on Barcelona
(D.2)
Quali-Quantitative Scenarios on
MED-ARCH
(E)
Final Scenario on Barcelona and
Policy Recommendations
(F)
Territorial Qualitative Scenarios
(A.2)
GDP growth rate in the Reference Scenario
at Nuts-3: 2006-25
Difference between Pro-active and Reference
scenarios
Fine tuning on the Reference Scenario
Policy suggestions
• crucial support to the development of renewable energy
sources and green technologies;
• increase the stock and the diffusion of knowledge;
• support human capital by increasing the stock of
competences and knowledge through training;
• increase retention of young people, especially in rural
areas;
• support second rank cities and promote networks of
smaller cities and towns;
• favour the development of complementarities and
partnerships between the European Mediterranean regions
and countries of the southern and eastern parts of the
Mediterranean Basin.
Competence poles
Knowledge platforms
Identity platforms
Infrastructure platforms
Highways of the sea
Arc
Barcelona Orbital Rail
Infrastructure integration of the Latin
Added value of this Targeted Project
Added value of ESPON knowledge
• Expanding policy-makers’ view and perception beyond
the limits of their region and considering similarities of
issues and challenges among regions;
• Expanding local policy-makers’ view from past and
present conditions to possible futures;
• Allowing a test of the capability of ESPON quantitative
results (emerging from econometric analyses and
simulations) of properly interpreting the realm of single
regions and territories.
Added value of this Targeted Project
Dissemination of ESPON results to policy makers
• Good research always received full and critical attention
from EU policy makers: this is our long term experience
with ESPON.
• Also regional governments are increasingly showing
interesting attention.
• A lower attention was devoted to ESPON projects by
national policy makers (especially in the case of my
country). This potential “market” should be pursued
more strongly by ESPON management.
• Targeted analyses proved a right tool for attracting
attention from regional and local policy-makers and civil
servants.
Added value of this Targeted Project
Contributions to the Europe 2020 Strategy
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The new scenarios developed by the SPAN project proved in perfect line
with the new strategy Europe 2020. In particular:
Necessity to develop a new economic paradigm, namely the green
technologies, which could provide new sources of aggregate
demand, coming from both the private and the public side, and drive
the economy towards a new environment friendly pathway;
Necessity to develop fully the knowledge economy, with increasing
attention to its spatial effects, namely the likely increase in disparities
between large city-regions and the rest of countries. Efforts needed to
support knowledge activities in second and third-rank cities;
Industry was perhaps too rapidly dismissed or decentralized offshore, with too little attention on possible negative outcomes on entire
industrial filières, on downgrading of local competences and cognitive
capital. A renewed manufacturing industry, innovation oriented,
supported by lower increases in wages and by a more efficient
territorial capital will allow a better equilibrium in job opportunities in
the EU.
Many thanks for attention!
Roberto Camagni
BEST – Department of Building, Environment, Science and
Technology
Politecnico di Milano
Piazza Leonardo da Vinci 32 - 20133 MILANO
tel: +39 02 2399.2744 - 2745
fax: +39 02 2399.2710
[email protected]
www.economiaterritoriale.it