Transcript SpatialDevelopmentTrends_PeterMehlbye

Alpine Space Summit
19-20 June 2006 in Stresa
Spatial development trends
in the Alpine area
Major spatial infrastructures within the European territory
•European Urban system
•Transport,
communication and
ecological networks
•Morphology
•Pentagon (14-32-46)
•Increasing importance of
Metropolitan regions
outside
Growth in GDP in areas
with relatively lower GDP
level (% 1995-2002)
Structure of Intervention
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Short intro of the ESPON 2006 programme
Selective results from ESPON zooming in on the
Alpine space
Cooperation on an ESPON 2007-2013 programme
ESPON 2006 Programme
Spatial development of an enlarging European Union
 Programme under Interreg III
 Budget of 17 million Euro
 Purposes:
 Support to policy development
 A scientific network platform for applied European
territorial research
 Expectations:
 New knowledge and evidence on European territorial
trends and impact of EU policies
 Integrated territorial analysis, tools and scenarios
 33 applied research projects in total
 17 Final Reports and 16 more to come
 29 countries participating
Lead Partners and Project Partners in ESPON
Applied research/Trend analysis
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Urban system and polycentric development
Urban-rural relations
Small and medium-sized cities
Accessibility and Transport networks
Telecommunication
Demography
Enlargement
Natural and technological hazards
Natural heritage
Cultural heritage
Information society
Urban Functions
Flow analysis
Tourism
Applied research/Territorial impact analysis
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Structural Funds
Pre-accession Aid
EU Infrastructure Policy
EU R&D Policy
EU Agricultural Policy
Energy trends and impact of EU Energy Policy
EU Fisheries Policies
Structural Funds in urban areas
ESDP application
Governance
Applied research/Cross thematic projects
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Integrated tools for the spatial development
Spatial scenarios and orientations
Territorial dimension of Lisbon process
Europe in the World
Integrated analysis of transnational and national
territories (Zoom)
Economic dimension in territorial development
Environment policy
Social dimension
Mix of Nuts 2 and 3 areas in territorial analysis
Structure of Intervention
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Short intro of the ESPON 2006 programme
Selective results from ESPON zooming in on the
Alpine space
Cooperation on an ESPON 2007-2013 programme
European Mega Trends
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Geographic concentration by market forces
Ageing population and migration
Population flow: East to west
Wealth improvements: Strongest in east
Transport flows: more on east–west corridors
Hazards increasing (climate change)
Global competition sets a wider perspective (not
a zero sum game for Europe)
• Regions and cities are enlarging their area of
influence
• Competitiveness, Attractiveness and Liveability of
territories and cities are strategic factors
• Territorial cooperation add to competitiveness
Territorial key messages
• Rich regional diversity and specialisation leading
to unique regional potentials and challenges
• Signs of better territorial balance and of
increasing competition of regions
• Urban nodes are economic drivers
• The Pentagon does well and capitals and larger
urban agglomerations boom
• Many small and medium sized cities are developing
positively
• Rural territories part of an urbanised texture
develop positively
• Areas with weaker urban structure and more
distant location face increasing problems
Functional Urban Areas (FUAs) in Europe
1595 FUAs in Europe 29
Delineation based on national
definitions (e.g. travel to work areas)
adapted to NUTS 3
Assessed according to 7
topics: Population, Transport,
Tourism, Industry
Knowledge, Decision and
Administration
Alpine space display a strong
urban structure with MEGA’s
and functionally strong FUA’s
Components of population development, 1996-1999
• Population decline (natural
population change and
migration)
• Highly scattered regional
pattern
Competition between regions
for human resources
•Major urban areas and
pleasant retirement areas in
good position
Alpine space have a majority
of regions with population
increase
Accessibility, multimodal (road, rail, air), 2001
• Core-periphery pattern
• Air transport more
territorially balanced
•Pentagon and eastwards
and major urban
agglomerations in best
situation
•ICT access depends on
national preferences
•Favours urban areas
Alpine space has a rather
good accessibility despite
mountains
Naturalness
•Naturalness is particular
high in the Baltic and Alpine
spaces
•The most dense urbanised
areas scores the lowest
Alpine space include several
regions with major natural
assets for development
Hazards exposure
•Significant regional diversity
of aggregated hazards
exposure above average
Alpine space display a mix of
levels of hazard exposure,
the highest largely due to
flooding and land slides
Research & Development importance
•Highest expenditure in
regions close to the Pentagon
and few areas to the north
and south
•At national level often
concentration around the
capital city
•Knowledge production as
higher education rather
territorially balanced in
Europe
Alpine space have several
regions strong on R&D,
mostly related to MEGA’s
Cultural employment 2005
(as share of local active population)
•Finland, Sweden,
Netherlands, or Switzerland in
the top.
•Regional variations are
mainly related to the urban
structure (e.g. Bratislava,
Budapest, Madrid, Paris,
Praha or Wien)
Alpine space include some
areas with strong creative
potential
Economic Lisbon indicators
•7 out of 14 official Lisbon
Short List indicators are
available at regional level.
•Northern and central parts
generally in a better position
than southern and eastern.
•In some countries urban
areas stand out strongly.
Alpine space does very well
(1) GDP/capita, (2) GDP/employed person,
(3) employment rate, (4) Employment rate of older
workers, (5) gross domestic expenditure on R&D,
(6) Dispersion of regional (un)employment rates, and
(7) Long-term unemployment rate.
Structure of Intervention
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Short intro of the ESPON 2006 programme
Selective results from ESPON zooming in on the
Alpine space
Towards an ESPON 2007-2013 programme
ESPON in use
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European policy documents
• Third Cohesion Report
• Community Strategic Framework
• National Framework Reference Documents
National spatial policy documents (Hungary,
Denmark, Czech Republic, Poland, Holland, France,
Sweden and more)
Interreg cooperation under INTERACT
• 5 thematic ESPON studies for dialogue
Test by (a few) cross-border areas
Scientific network of regional scientists,
geographers and planners reviewing ESPON findings
Demand for ESPON results
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EC Fourth Cohesion Report
Territorial State and Perspectives for the EU
National spatial strategies and sector policies
Academia and science
Transnational, cross-border and regional interest
Dissemination of results
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Final Reports from 13 applied research projects and
4 preparatory studies
ESPON publications in 2006:
1. Proceedings from ESPON Scientific Seminar in
Luxembourg (May)
2. Final Synthesis Report (November)
3. Scientific Progress report (November)
4. ESPON Atlas (November)
5. Spatial scenarios (December or later)
ESPON-INTERACT Final Report (December or later)
Policy attention to ESPON in 2006
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Dutch Stakeholder meeting in June in Amsterdam
EC/Luxembourg awareness raising event in
September in Bruxelles
ECP Transnational Seminar (MontESPON) in
September in Lucerne, Switzerland
General Directors meeting in November in Finland
ESPON Seminar in November in Finland
In parallel: The ESPON 2007-2013 programme under
Structural Funds, Objective 3, European Territorial
Cooperation, Interregional Cooperation Networks
Strategic orientations for ESPON II
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Evidence and knowledge on territorial
development and cohesion (continuation of
applied research projects)
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Targeted analytical deliveries (user driven
projects capitalising on results for policy
development and strategic projects)
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Communication and enhanced networks of
stakeholders
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Monitoring and scientific platform (core/key
indicators, TIA and ESPON database)
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Technical and analytical support (suited for
an applied research and studies)
More information
Thank you for your attention
Please visit
www.espon.lu
All synthesis documents as well as
final and interim results
are available for free