Transcript AIACC Projects in N &W Africa

Assessments
of Impacts and Adaptations to Climate
Change in
Multiple Regions and Sectors (AIACC)
Robert Watson
ICSU Forum on
Science and Technology for Sustainable Development
World Summit on Sustainable Development, Johannesburg
August 30, 2002
• AIACC Implementing, Executing &
Collaborating Agencies
– UN Environment Programme (UNEP)
– Global SysTem for Analysis, Research and Training
(START)
– Third World Academy of Sciences (TWAS)
– Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
• Funding Agencies
– Global Environment Facility (GEF)
– Canadian International Development Agency (CIDA)
– US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA)
2
AIACC Objectives

Advance scientific understanding



Build and enhance scientific & technical capacity
in developing countries



Of climate change I, A & V in developing country regions.
Publications in peer reviewed journals.
To investigate climate change I, A & V and
To participate in international scientific assessments (e.g. IPCC)
Generate and communicate information useful
for adaptation planning & action

Including for preparation of National Communications under
UNFCCC.
3
AIACC Grants for Regional Studies of
Climate Change I, A & V
• Call for pre-proposals issued early 2001
– 150+ preproposals submitted.
– 60 invited to submit full proposals.
• Proposals peer reviewed by 80 scientists
• 24 awards made
–
–
–
–
11 in Africa (17 countries participating)
5 in Asia (9 countries)
5 in Latin America (10 countries)
3 in Small Island Dev. States (8 countries)
4
5
AIACC Support for Grant Recipients
• 3-year research funding (100K-225K USD)
• Participation in capacity building activities
– Training/project development workshops held in 2002.
– Regional workshops (2003 and 2004)
• Technical assistance from AIACC mentors
– Including facilitation of peer-reviewed publication.
• Participation in AIACC Scientific Network
– Cross-project (South-South) collaborations & assistance
– Collaborations with developed country researchers
6
Projects emphasize links between current &
future vulnerabilities & adaptive strategies
• Most AIACC projects will begin with assessment of current
vulnerabilities in areas such as
–
–
–
–
Food security
Water security
Livelihood security
Human health
• Will explore how climate change in combination with other
factors may alter vulnerabilities through coming decades.
• Will evaluate adaptive strategies, emphasizing those that
might lessen current vulnerabilities as well as longer term
vulnerabilities to climate change.
7
Drought & vulnerability of rural
households in W. African Sahel
• University of Jos, Nigeria and Institut D’Economie
Rural, Mali
• Past/present vulnerabilities of household food & livelihood
security from drought to be evaluated using survey
techniques and observational data
• Develop and apply models of future vulnerabilities and
adaptive responses under scenarios of climate change.
• Attempt to identify thresholds for coping with climatic
extremes and evaluate risks of exceeding in future climate
8
Climate change vulnerabilities and
adaptations in Limpopo basin, Botswana
• University of Botswana
• Establish past and present responses of food and
water sectors to climate variability.
• Investigate potential impacts of climate change on
food production, water supply and water demand.
• Economic valuation of impacts and examination of
vulnerabilities (e.g. food security) of impacted
groups.
• Evaluate feasibility, effectiveness and costs of
adaptation options to lessen vulnerabilities.
9
Integrated assessment of climate
change impacts in Miombo region
• Miombo Network (researchers & institutions in
Malawi, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, & Zambia)
• Case studies of recent droughts and floods in
Zambezi River Basin.
• Develop and apply models of climate-environmenthuman interactions to investigate impacts of
climate change (emphasis on flood, drought) on
land-use, production, food security, & livelihoods.
• Evaluate adaptation options for the river basin.
10
Sustainable livelihood strategies in Sudan:
lessons for climate change adaptation
• Higher Council for Environment & Natural
Resources, Sudan
• Case studies of degree to which existing
sustainable livelihood programs have increased
resilience (including food security) of local
agricultural systems to climate related stressors.
• Evaluate potential for these strategies to increase
resilience (and food security) to future climate
change.
11
Food production & water needs in
North Africa
• Agricultural Research Center (Egypt), Ministere
de l’Agricultare (Tunisia), Direction de la
Meteorologie Nationale (Morocco)
• Case studies of effects of climate variability on
production of cereals, olives, other crops in 3
different arid/semi-arid cropping systems.
• Simulation of crop production and water demands
for scenarios of climate change; evaluation of food
security implications.
• Evaluation of adaptation options for different
cropping systems.
12
For more information on AIACC
• Visit AICC website
– www.start.org/Projects/AIACC_Project/aiacc.html
• Or contact:
– Neil Leary, START Secretariat
– Email: [email protected]
– Tel: +1 202-462-2213
13