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Foreign Policy Research
on Climate Change
Tuesday, May 6, 2008
Mykhaylo Komarnytskyy
Iryna Bilotserkivska
Marcie Hawranik
Background Information
Policy Options
Recommendations
Background Information
Climate change impact on France:
♦ Average temperature increase by 2◦C
♦ Decrease in summer rainfall → worsening of
forest health
♦ High risk of forest fires, floods, insect infestation
♦ Dwindling snow cover & avalanche threat in
French Alps → tourism reduction
♦ Sea levels rise & increase in frequency of
storms in French overseas territories
Background Information
France contribution on fighting climate change:
● Ratification of UNFCCC in March 1994
● Party to the Kyoto Protocol since 1998
● Launched climate change abatement
strategy in early 1990’s
● One of the leading nuclear & renewable
energy producers in the world
Policy Option 1
■ Continue policy on reducing CO2 emission
PRO: Policy has already reduced CO2 emissions per head of
population more that any other EU member
CON: - Cost of greenhouse gas mitigation is relatively high;
- Replacement of energy sources no longer produces
further lasting reduction of CO2 emissions
Policy Option 2
■ Stop complying to Kyoto Protocol and UNFCCC
PRO: Avoid extra costs connected with CO2
emissions
CON: France increases its possibility of
suffering from climate change consequences
and credibility will be diminished in the
international arena
Policy Option 3
■ Push EU to adopt market-based policy that relies on
trading permits or taxing emissions based on polluterpays principle
PRO: Most effective, cheap and equitable way of
sharing costs of reducing CO2 emissions
between developed countries
CON: - Challenge of establishing new international
framework to regulate fair completion;
- Failure to adopt this policy under the same
conditions by all partners could lead to
unacceptable burden on certain enterprises
Recommendation
Policy Option 3
EU as a whole would be more effective in reaching its
target of reducing CO2 emissions
Pollution abatement is achieved by minimum cost
France would continue to work toward CO2 reduction
while will be able to avoid high cost measures
Recommendation
Encourage former colonies to ratify Kyoto Protocol
Possibility of modifying the road tax
Policy Option 3 is consistent with the principle of
economic efficiency and the polluter-pays principle
QUESTIONS?