Transcript ENGLISH - Espace

Rising to the Challenge of
Climate Change
in the South East
Local Presenter & Organisation
Partner’s Logo
www.climatesoutheast.org.uk
Outline
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What is climate change?
How will the South East be affected?
What is the South East Climate
Change Partnership?
How is [local organisation] involved?
How do I find out more?
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What is climate change?
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Who to believe?
Is it happening?
Isn’t it ‘natural’?
Can it be stopped?
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Climate change: who to believe?
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Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC)
US Environmental Protection Agency
US National Academy of Sciences
Kyoto Protocol signatories
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Climate change: is it happening?
Source: Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and
Research (Met Office)
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Climate change: is it happening?
Increase in global surface temperature over the past 1000
years – and projections for this century. Source: IPCC
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Climate change: isn’t it natural?
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Climate has always changed – and
always will. Natural factors include:
– Changes in the Sun’s energy output
– Changes in the Earth’s tilt & orbit
– The effects of volcanoes
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But global climate also responds to
changes in greenhouse gases:
– Carbon dioxide, methane, ozone, nitrous
oxide, CFCs, water vapour…
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Climate change: isn’t it natural?
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CO2 levels have risen by 31% in 250 years:
– Pre-industrial = 280ppm
– End of 20th century = 368ppm
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CO2 levels could more than double again
by the 2080s
Global climate takes time to respond to
increasing GHG levels
Changes we have seen so far have been a
combination of natural and human factors
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Climate change: isn’t it natural?
How “Natural”, “Man-made” & “Mixed” models
compare with observations of rising temperature.
Source: IPCC
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Climate change: can it be stopped?
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Emissions of GHGs now will affect
climate from the 2050s onwards
But we are already ‘locked in’ to
climate change from past emissions
Some change is inevitable!
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How will the SE be affected?
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How will our climate change?
What are the challenges?
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How will the SE climate change?
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New climate change scenarios were
produced for the UK in April 2002
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Changes in 26 variables
– e.g. temperature & rainfall etc
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3 Timescales
– ‘2020s’, ‘2050s’ & ‘2080s’
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Most changes will be more extreme in
the South East than elsewhere
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How will the SE climate change?
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Changes will include Temperature &
Rainfall - plus:
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Soil moisture
Humidity
Cloud cover
Solar energy reaching ground level (UV)
Sea level
Extreme events:
– Storms
– Flooding
– Droughts
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How will the SE climate change?
Change in UK
Summer
Temperatures
for the 2080s
(Medium-High
Scenario)
Source: UKCIP
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How will the SE climate change?
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How will the SE climate change?
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What are the challenges?
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Some further climate change is
inevitable
– Delayed climate response to GHGs
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Climate change will mean adapting
the way we plan and manage:
– Our countryside
– Our built environment & heritage
– Our water resources
– Our floodplains
– Our coastal defences
– Our businesses
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John Craven – SECCP President
“Combating the future
effects of climate change
is one of the biggest
challenges facing the
world today, especially
in low-lying denselypopulated areas such as
the South East of
England. We must be
prepared.”
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Adaptive planning
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Integrated approach to decisions
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Climate change will continue
It will impact on the South East
We need to:
– Reduce risks
– Take opportunities
– Avoid increasing future causes of change
 Make use of best current understanding
 Involve stakeholders
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South East Climate Change
Partnership
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A partnership of public, private &
voluntary sectors created to:
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Investigate, inform and advise on the
threats & opportunities from the impacts
of climate change in South East England
Promote adaptive planning in the region.
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SE Climate Change Partnership
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Partners include:
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Public sector
– Local & regional Government
– National agencies
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Private sector
– Water companies
– Environmental technology & consultancy
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Voluntary sector
– Wildlife charities
– Heritage charities
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The response…
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The partnership approach & regional
coverage help us, by
– Demonstrating credibility in addressing the
issues
– Building confidence in developing our
responses
– Acting as a catalyst in bringing together
sources of solutions
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SECCP activities
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Key sectors:
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Agriculture
Biodiversity
Business community
Emergency planning
Planning
Tourism
Utilities & infrastructure
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SECCP activities
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Annual forum
– Members’ AGM & stakeholders conference
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Website:
– Decision makers & public
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Quarterly bulletin
– Members & stakeholders
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Training & Workshops
– Skills & experience
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Projects
– Research & demonstration
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For further information
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XXXX:
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Contact name
Email
Phone number
SECCP:
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Mark Goldthorpe, Programme Manager
Email: [email protected]
Tel: 020 8541 7972
www.climatesoutheast.org.uk