Transcript Emission trends in the EU: a few examples of key

Emission trends in the EU:
key drivers and policies
COP 18 side event
Tuesday 27th November 2012
10:30 – 12:30, Room 2 (Lefkosia)
Andreas Barkman
Head of Group ‘Climate mitigation, energy and air pollution’
European Environment Agency
1
This presentation
• Overview of EU GHG trends for key sectors
1990-2008
• Description of emission trends for some
sectors using drivers and links to polices
• Recent trends: 2008-2010/11
2
Total EU GHG emissions peaked in late 1970s and
in 2011 emissions were lowest on record
2
Total EU GHG emissions had decreased by
11% before the economic crisis (1990–2008)
3
Electricity and heat production: structural
changes as well as EU policies reduced emissions
•Reduction of 9% 1990-2008
•Reductions mainly from
Germany, Poland and UK
•Structural changes affected
drivers in 1990s and then
increasingly EU/national policies.
•EU policies on affecting drivers of
emissions
•Large combustion plants
(1988+)
•Combined heat and power
(2004+)
•Renewable energy (2001+)
•The EU ETS (2003+)
10
Households: Emissions decreased due to fuel
shifts and energy efficiency
•Reduction of 11% 1990-2008
•Reductions mainly from
Germany, Czech Republic and
Hungary
•Fuel switch, more electricity use,
energy efficiency
•EU policies affecting drivers of
emissions
•Boiler efficiency (1992+)
•Energy Performance of
Buildings (2002+)
•Ecodesign (2005+)
•Energy services (2006+)
10
Transport: 24% increase of emissions due
to demand outpacing fuel efficiency
Road passenger transport
5
Very large differences exists between EU Member
States regarding transport emissions. Few Member
States saw increased emissions 2008-2010
2
EU’s emission trend 2008-2010:
Recession, Rebound and Renewables
EU emission decreased with 2.5% while GDP
increased 1.5% between 2010-2011
•Largest reduction in Non EU ETS
sectors (-3%)
• Mainly driven by households
Take aways…
•
•
•
•
•
EU GHG emissions have decreased relatively
continuously since its peak in late 1970s and is now on
its lowest level ever.
Structural macro-economic drivers were key for EU
emission reductions during the 1990s.
EU and national polices has targeted and contributed
to the observed emission reductions in late 1990s and
early 2000s.
Recession 2008-2009 was not the only cause for
emission reductions: renewables also contributed.
EU wide policies for reducing emissions have been
systematically expanded and strengthened from early
2000s onwards to anticipate and ensure delivery of
mitigation commitments (Kyoto Protocol, 2020).
Thank you for your attention
eea.europa.eu
14