Transcript The Future of Telecommunications

1
The Future of Telecommunications
John A. Phillips
Nortel, ETSI General Assembly Chairman
2007 World Electronics Forum, Tel Aviv, 5th November 2007
BUSINESS MADE SIMPLE
2
Nortel Confidential Information
Pervasive, Personal
Broadband
Industry
Landscape
Future
Mobility &
Intelligence
Network
BuildOut
2000
Connectivity
2007
Expectations/Trends
Everything
Connects
Every
Application
Communicates
1995
Broadband
Access is
Everywhere
1990
3
Pervasive personal broadband
• Hyper-Connectivity – evolution from being fully connected, (meaning
everybody is on the network), to being hyper-connected, (meaning the
range of devices and entities on the network far outpaces the number
of people consuming the services offered by those devices).
• Communications-Enabled Applications – applications to support
new levels of network-aware intelligence and an intuitive interaction
experience through advanced technology frameworks such as IMS
and Services Oriented Architecture (SOA).
• True broadband – the communications experience is so seamless
that users no longer have to consider which technology – wire line or
wireless – is being used to make a connection. They simply
communicate, anywhere, anytime from whichever device is most
convenient. Most importantly, the broadband experience becomes so
economical that the range of uses exceeds any experience of the past.
4
Hyperconnectivity is Real
and Happening Now
Person to Person
Person to Machine
Machine to Machine
• By 2010, worldwide:
• 4-fold growth in
Internet Commerce to
100B transactions
• Europe – mobile phones
now outnumber people
(103% penetration)
• Global mobile IM grew
33% 2H06
• One Laptop
Per Child
5
• 1-2 billion A-GPSenabled handsets
• 100 million iPODs
sold (market
to double
2005 – 2010)
• iPhone available in
June; hyperconnectivity at
applications level
• 98% of all CPUs today
are embedded (by 2010
– 14 billion connected,
embedded devices)
• 70%+ of all 2007 cars in
U.S. have iPOD
connectivity
• Sensor
pocket
in Nike
shoes
6
Anything that can be connected and would benefit from being
connected will be connected
Addressing the Challenge and
Opportunity of Hyperconnectivity
Hyperconnectivity
Pillars of
Hyperconnectivity
“True”
Broadband
7
CommunicationsEnabled
Applications
True Broadband
• Broader wireline bandwidth to the home and office
• Ubiquitous wireless coverage with less expensive
infrastructure, more flexibility, wider bandwidth
• Seamless integration so the user doesn’t have to know
which
Unwired homes, offices and public environments
8
True Broadband – by Wireless
Connecting Everything That Should Be Connected
Broadband
Home
Mobile VOIP
802.16
3G
View
View
Metro
HotSpot
Mobile Video
Mobile Data
9
Multimedia
Distribution
Extended
Enterprise
Communications-Enabled Applications
Every Application will have Built-In Communications Capabilities
10
3GPP’s IP Multimedia Subsystem
• IMS – 3GPP’s IP Multimedia Subsystem – is a multivendor SIP connection engine providing access to generic
application servers from any connected party
• IMS provides applications-enabling service capabilities to
a service-aware applications layer:
• SIP connection
• Resource access control
• Collection and delivery of charging data
• Presence, security, …
• With recent updates to support wireline access as well as
wireless,
11
Service Oriented Architecture
• Characteristics
• SOA is the collection of policies,
practices, and frameworks by
which the implementer ensures
that the right services are
provided and consumed to create
business value
• Key business functions are
modularized as re-usable and
loosely coupled services, with
well-defined interfaces, that can
be invoked in a defined sequence
to form business processes
• Platform independent Services with
describing interfaces using XML
• Formally defined Messages
• Services can be discovered
• Policies to define services SLA
Composable
Interoperable
SOA
Re-Usable
Loosely
Coupled
From a one-service network to a multi-service network
12
From Proposition to Implementation
• The proposition
• Anything that can be connected and would benefit from being
connected will be connected
• Unwired homes, offices and public environments
• Every Application will have Built-In Communications
Capabilities
• From a one-service network to a multi-service network
• The implementation
• There are opportunities and challenges …
13
Hyperconnectivity:
Opportunity & Challenge
• Opportunity
• Challenge
• Increased productivity
• Scale is unprecedented
• Better communications
experience
• Today’s networks
not designed for
Hyperconnectivity
• A more connected world
(societal good)
• New technology required
to transform much of IT
and Telecom
Businesses that embrace innovation and scale
will capture the opportunity of Hyperconnectivity
14
From the User Point of View
• Simplicity
• New technology has to hide its complexity from the user
• Security
• New technology has to provide all of the right security attributes,
including adequate privacy in a hyperconnected world, to inspire
confidence in its use
• Dependability
• New technology has to be very dependable because people will
increasingly depend on it
Global standards to achieve the vision
15
16