Transcript Partnerships for Global Cybersecurity

PREPARATORY CONFERENCE ON
NATIONAL COMMUNICATION
Brasilia, Brazil – 17 – 19 September 2007
Communication Policies in the
technological Convergence Environment.
The impact of new technologies on an
international perspective
18 September 2007
ITU Americas Regional Office
Bureau for Telecommunication Development
International
Telecommunication
Union
The Impact of New
Communications Technologies
 Technology-driven industries like the
communications sector have historically been
characterized by steady growth punctuated by
“giant leaps” forward, usually when “new”
technology is introduced
 “Technology is not kind. It does not
wait. It does not say please. It
slams into existing systems. Often
destroying them, while creating
new ones”
 Joseph Alois Schumpeter (1937)
September 2007
Networks in Transition: Big
picture trends
 Birth of Broadband
 Growth in wireless networks and mobile
data services
 Mobile overtakes fixed
 Convergence of IP-based networks with
telephone & mobile networks
 End game: towards ubiquitous,
pervasive, grid, mesh, wireless
networks
 anywhere, anytime, anything
September 2007
Factors that underlie the
changing environment
 Technological change: is a very significant
driving force. All networks in the telecommunications,
computing and broadcasting sector are shifting on to an alldigital,all IP Platform.
 Market change:
in particular the liberalization of
infrastructure competition encouraging the rapid deployment
of new and upgraded networks.
 Availability of digital content:in terms of
demand for it and its supply. Involvement by users in the
supply of their own content – on websites such as YouTube,
Wikipedia or MySpace and a huge increase in the consumption
of such content, over broadband networks.
September 2007
Today we have a choice between two or
more different networks platforms:
 Fixed-line, mobile and voice-over-IP
for Telephone calls.
 Fibre optics, DSL, cable modems or
Wi-fi for Broadband Internet
Access.
 Cable satellite, over-the-air or IPTV
for Broadcast Environment.
September 2007
Drivers Affecting Network Change
• Lower service charges
• Network simplification
• Lower start-up and operating
costs
• Competition
• Fast service introduction and
customization
• New service revenue
End User
• Multimedia services
• Increasing data traffic
• Mobility
Network Convergence;
Distributed Intelligence;
New Competitive
Landscape
Service Provider
Government
• Policies
• Regulation
• Strategies to stimulate
competition
Vendors
• New products
• New markets
• New revenues
The communications network is undergoing extensive
changes to meet new market and service demands
September 2007
Network Evolution
PSTN
MPEG
WWW
Corporate
CATV
IP
Broadband
Wireless
WWW
IP Core
Voice
Academic
Broadcast
Video
IP
Services
Corporate
1G-2G
CDMA
IP
GSM
Lower cost and innovative services drives network convergence
September 2007
Implications of Convergence
 New and innovative applications and services
 New revenues available to application and
service providers
PSTN
Wireless
 Same services are being offered using different
means of access
 A converged network with IP core and access
simplifies network operations
 Costs of operating a converged network are lower
 Need coherent regulation of communications
infrastructure to deal with the fact that content can
be delivered over all networks, network-dependent
rules are being overtaken by technology, and
markets are merging
 Promote competition, protect consumers, and
encourage efficient investment
September 2007
IP Core
Voice
 Service providers can compete with other service
providers without competing against other forms
of providers (network or access providers)
 New policy and regulatory frameworks
WWW
Corporate
Broadcast
Video
Servic
es
Next Generation Network (NGN)
 The ITU-T has defined a framework for network
evolution, called the Next Generation Network
(NGN)
 Key Characteristics (Recommendation Y.2001)
 Packet-based network
 Independence of service-related functions
from underlying transport technologies
 Interworking with legacy networks via open
interfaces
 Generalized mobility
 Unrestricted access by users to different
services and/or service providers
[http://www.itu.int/ITU-T/ngn/]
NGN is not only a network evolutionary transformation, but also a
radical
overhaul
of the telecommunications environment
September
2007
Convergence of IP-based networks with
telephone & mobile networks (NGNs)
 Faced with separate infrastructures for voice and data
businesses, convergence and growing competition,
almost all telecommunication operators and equipment
manufacturers are making substantial investments in
what can be referred to as IP-Enabled Next Generation
Networks (NGNs).
 IP-enabled NGNs can be seen as a logical progression
from separate PSTN, mobile and IP-network
infrastructures to unified networks for electronic
communications based on IP
 an extensive area of standardization within ITU
 In the coming years, IP-enabled NGNs will be
deployed by numerous service providers
around the globe
September 2007
IPTV emerging as part of NGN vision
 IPTV is a Content Delivery Service
 IP Broadcasting Service: Scheduled Programs
delivered by IP-multicast streaming
 Video-on-Demand Service: On-demand videos
delivered by
unicast streaming
 Near Video On Demand Service: Programs delivered
by IP-multicast in a carrousel manner.
 Download Service: Content streamed or
downloaded to a storage device on the terminal
for later consumption.
Source: The IPTV concept model discussed in Japan, contribution from Japan IPTV companies to ITU standardization efforts
on IPTV at http://www.itu.int/ITU-T/IPTV/docs/iptv006e.doc
September 2007
What is Content?
Popular use: material prepared/
packaged by professionals to be
disseminated to large numbers of
consumers, such as movies,
videos/DVDs, books, newspapers,
among others
September 2007
“Content Characteristics”
 Until now, typically distributed by mass
distribution or broadcast systems;
 Often packaged around geographical
boundaries (e.g., DVD zones)
 Typically bound by national/regional
licensing regimes
 Often timed release in different
geographical markets
 Culturally embedded (more on this later)
September 2007
Content Regulatory
Issues
 Convergence is setting two very different
regulatory cultures on a rapid collision course: the
highly-interventionist regulatory culture of
broadcasting and less interventionist (at least
with regard to content) culture of
telecommunications
 Particularly sensitive topic as the regulation of
audiovisual content industries is culturally
embedded and tied to national regulatory regimes
consistent with cultural and religious values
September 2007
But will Content be King?
Running the Numbers
 Content:
 Hollywood box office revenues (2003): ~ 11 billion (Global
25-30 billion)
 Global music industry revenues ~ 35 billion
 Videogaming and all software ~ 40 billion
 Telecoms:
 US only telecom revenues (2003): 348.0 billion!
 Global text messaging revenues for 2005: ~ 75 billion
September 2007
So will content be a major
economic driver for carriers?
 Probably not… We tend to glamorize
“content” and underestimate value of core
business of point-to-point communications
 The “killer application” of communications is
person to person (voice, email, messaging,
chat)
 People are more willing to pay for point-topoint communications than “content”
 Not as glamorous as Hollywood but it pays the
bills!
September 2007
International
Telecommunication
Union
September 2007