Transcript Risk Management

Air Operations
Branch Director Course
U.S. AIR FORCE
AUXILIARY
Safety Part 2
Risk Management
Overview
Risk Management Methodology
Safety Issues
Risk Management Methodology
Overview
Terminology
Process
Worksheet
Principles
Risk Management Methodology
Terms
Risk: The probability during a period of
activity that a hazard (potential for
accident or adverse event) will result in a
loss with definable consequences
– This idea can be used beyond the realm of
safety – there may be risks to effectiveness,
legal risks, etc.
Risk Management Methodology
Terminology
Risk Assessment: The process of
anticipating or detecting hazards and
systematically assessing their overall risk
level
– Likelihood:
likelihood
How likely is
the risk?
– Impact:
How serious is
the consequence?
High
risk
impact
Risk Management Methodology
Terminology
Risk Management: The practice of
actively seeking to identify risks and
consciously choosing strategies to deal
with those risks before they happen.
Risk Management Methodology
Terminology
Strategies – Mitigate: alter plan to reduce risk level
Reduce impact and/or likelihood
May include “contingency plans”
– Avoid: stop plan or take a course that
fundamentally eliminates the risk
– Accept: decide that, in balance, the risk is
acceptable
careful! Use this only when risk level is very low or
need is extremely high
Risk Management Methodology
5 Step Risk Management Process
Plan the activity
Identify and assess the risk
Weigh risk potential vs. need
– Accept/Stop/Alter plans based on risks
Implement the plan
Monitor, evaluate and learn
Risk Management Worksheet
Associated Risk Level
Projected Risk
Low
Mid
High
Action Taken
Risk Management
Principles
This is not a theoretical exercise!
Get everyone involved
Assessment must be made as early as
possible so that decision can be made and
action altered
Subordinates must communicate risk
identification immediately for it to be useful
Risk identification and assessment after
the fact does nothing to manage risk
Risk Identification Techniques
Risk identification checklists
search for pre-identified, generic risks
CAPR 60-3 Attachment 3
Decision driver analysis
study how decisions were made, searching for
common erroneous patterns (examples: avoiding
outside help, politics, tunnel vision)
Assumption analysis
study underlying assumptions, consider Murphy’s
law
Decomposition
break problem into smaller pieces; look for
undiscovered issues
Risk Management Checklist
CAPR 60-3 Attachment 3
Example checklist question categories
How much experience does the mission staff
have?
Does the current communications system in
place adequately meet your needs?
What kind of weather are aircrews operating in?
Have aircrews been adequately briefed so that
they can effectively and safely complete their
assigned tasks?
What is the overall condition of the vehicles
being used on the mission?
Events or Observations Often Call For
Immediate Communication
Each individual should communicate
important safety information to his/her
supervisor in a timely manner
Each person and supervisor should
consider who else would benefit from
information about the event or observation
– A sortie should call mission base by radio and
pass information immediately when that
information would benefit other sorties
Example Issues Requiring
Immediate Communication
Hazardous or significant
weather change
observed
Unexpected military air
operations observed
Criminal activity observed
– In some circumstances
communication might be
delayed, if that is deemed
the safer course of action
Mitigation Strategies:
Three General Ways of Reducing Risk
Engineering control
Process control
Communication/training control
Mitigation Strategies:
Three General Ways of Reducing Risk
Engineering control
– making a physical change to the
environment or using specific tools
Examples:
Taping down a loose extension cord
Setting up a warning sign or perimeter tape
Wearing orange safety vests in the woods
Arranging for hand-washing facilities along
with sanitary facilities.
Equipping ground teams with BBP exposure
control kits
Mitigation Strategies:
Three General Ways of Reducing Risk
Process control
– defining the way one works
Examples:
Mission briefings and CAP
flight releases
Requiring period radio checkins
A pilot choosing to get flightfollowing from ATC
Mitigation Strategies:
Three General Ways of Reducing Risk
Communication/training control
– making individuals aware of a risk
and how to control it
Examples:
Briefing aircrews on a specific risk on
a mission like radio towers in the
search area
instructing ground teams to check
themselves for ticks
Questions?