Bucklin-IMBER_Synthesis

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Transcript Bucklin-IMBER_Synthesis

Ocean Projects in IGBP II today
IMBER at its most fundamental
Interactions, Sensitivities, Feedbacks
IMBER Science
Plan and
Implementation
Strategy, 2005
IMBER SSC
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Julie Hall (Chair), New Zealand
Dennis Hansell (Vice-Chair), USA
Patrick Monfray (Vice-Chair), France
Ann Bucklin, USA
Jay Cullen, Canada
Wilco Hazeleger, Netherlands
David Hutchins, USA
Arne Körtzinger, Germany
Carina Lange, Chile
Jack Middelburg, Netherlands
Coleen Moloney, South Africa
Wajih Naqvi, India
Raymond Pollard, United Kingdom
Hiroaki Saito, Japan
Carol Turley, United Kingdom
Jing Zhang, China
Brest, 2006
IMBER Themes and Issues
Theme 1. Interactions between Biogeochemical Cycles and
Marine Food Webs
- Transformation of organic matter in marine food webs
- Transfers of matter across ocean interfaces
- End-to-end food webs and material flows (IMBER/GLOBEC)
Theme 2. Sensitivity to Global Change
- Impacts of climate-induced changes through physical forcing and
variability
- Effects of increasing anthropogenic CO2 and changing pH on marine
biogeochemical cycles, ecosystems and their interactions
(IMBER/SOLAS: Joint Implementation plan)
- Effects of changing supplies of macro- and micronutrients
- Impacts of harvesting of marine ressources on end-to-end food webs
and biogeochemical cycles (IMBER/GLOBEC)
Theme 3. Feedbacks to the Earth System
- Oceanic storage of anthropogenic CO2
- Ecosystem feedback on ocean physics and climate
Theme 4: Responses of Society
Working groups
• Joint IMBER/GLOBEC End-to-End Food Web Task Team
• Joint SOLAS/IMBER Carbon Research Group
• Joint LOICZ/IMBER Continental Margins Task Team
• Capacity Building Task Team
• Data Management Committee
End-To-End Food Webs: Joint IMBER/GLOBEC Task Team
Membership: Coleen Moloney (South Africa, co-chair); Mike St John
(Germany, co-chair); Ken Denman (Canada); Dave Karl (USA); Fritz Köster
(Denmark); Svein Sundby (Norway); Rory Wilson (UK)
Ongoing activities:
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Preparation of a manuscript describing:
(i) why we need to tackle end-to-end food webs in our studies
(ii) what the key challenges are and how we can meet them
(iii) how we can make headway in the experimental,
observational and modeling components of the marine endto-end food webs
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Recommendations for the creation of a end-to-end food webs
working group jointly with GLOBEC by the end of 2007
End-to-End Food Webs Cartoon
“inputs”
(e.g. light)
“outputs”
(e.g. POM)
Effects of perturbations can be
amplified and/or dampened. To
understand these dynamics
requires interdisciplinary studies
across many scales of interest
Organisms/ nutrients
Flows/ interactions
perturbation
(e.g. climate, fishing)
Joint SOLAS-IMBER Carbon Research Group
Membership:
• Arne Koertzinger (Germany, coChair)
• Truls Johannessen (Norway, coChair)
• Niki Gruber (Switzerland)
• Nicolas Metzl (France)
• Britton Stephens (USA)
• Gerhard Herndl (Netherlands)
• Ken Johnson (USA)
• Kitack Lee (Korea)
• Kevin Arrigo (USA)
• Toshiro Saino (Japan)
• Hermann Bange (Germany)
• Dick Feely (USA)
IMBER Report no. 1
(February 2006)
US Ocean Carbon and Biogeochemistry (OCB)
IMBER will interface with a US
program, with an SSC
organized by NSF in 2006
Ocean Carbon and
Biogeochemistry (OCB) will
host an AGU Town Hall
Meeting
OCB is a new multi-disciplinary
oceanographic program
Date: Thursday, 14 December.
Time: 1815h - 1915h
Location: Salons 10-12
Email Mary Zawoysky
([email protected]) if
you would like to brief
presentation (few minutes /
1 slide)
OCB SSC Membership:
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Scott Doney (WHOI) - Chair
Bob Anderson (LDEO)
Ginger Armbrust (UW)
Kathy Barbeau (Scripps)
Debbie Bronk (VIMS)
Mary-Elena Carr (JPL)
Richard Feely (NOAA/PMEL)
Dave Karl (U Hawaii)
Joanie Kleypas (NCAR)
Steve Lohrenz (USMississippi)
Wade McGillis (LDEO)
Brent McKee (UNC)
Galen McKinley (U Wisconsin)
Mark Ohman (Scripps)
Tammi Richardson (USCarolina)
Chris Sabine (NOAA/PMEL)
Contributing and Endorsed Projects
Major contributors (M.O.U)
• EUR-OCEANS European Network of Excellence for Ocean Ecosystems
Analysis, 60 research institutions and universities from 25 countries (20052008)
• CARBOOCEAN Integrated Project Carboocean – Evaluation of the sources
and sinks of marine carbon, 47 international groups(2005-2010)
Endorsed projects
• BIOSOPE Biogeochemistry and Optics South Pacific Experiment
(part of PROOF, 2002-2005)
• National CHINESE IMBER/GLOBEC
(5 years, 2006-2010)
• The marine carbon cycle from North to South of the Galathea route
August 2006-April 2007
• ECOMADR Integration Analysis of North Adriatic Marine Ecosystem
January2006 - September 2007
IMBER Regional Activities
ICED Integrated Analyses of Circumpolar Climate Interactions and
Ecosystem Dynamics in the Southern Ocean, conjoint avec GLOBEC
OECOS Ecosystem Comparison in the Oceanic subartic Pacific (asian side
funded)
PRIMO Formation and dynamics of the Oxygen Minimum Zone in the PeruChile Current System (not funded yet)
BOUM Biogeochemistry from oligotrophic to the ultra oligotrophic
Mediteranean Sea (partially funded)
IMBER National Activities
China 5 year funding IMBER/GLOBEC programme. Hosting the Second LME
India Impact of anthropogenic perturbations on oceanographic and atmospheric processes in and
around India in context of global change; SIBER workshop in October
Japan IMBER-JAPAN established under the Science Council of Japan (2004-), chaired by H. Saito.
North West Pacific cruise has been funded for Summer 2008.
New Zealand Two funded research cruises in permanently oligotrophic regions to north west of New
Zealand focused on N cycling in this region
Chile Currently funded COPAS programme is a contribution to IMBER
France Currently funded for three years CYBER programme "CYcles Biogéochimiques,
Ecosystèmes et Ressources". (2006-2009)
Netherlands Programme under development with joint IMBER /SOLAS cruise planned
Germany Planning for new programme for 2007
Spain Developing a co-sponsored proposal with The Netherlands for a “Deep-water Oceanography”
project. Holding a Spanish IMBER symposium in March 2007.
UK Plans for IMBER contribution in new funding round 2007
USA A new “Ocean Carbon Biogeochemistry” group has been formed in 2006
IMBER Synthesis and Modeling Framework
IMBER will work with CLIVAR and GODAE to construct
integrated marine biogeochemical and ecosystem models
and to facilitate information transfer among models.
Development of Earth System modules will be undertaken
in IGBP’s AIMES project and in the WCRP
IMBER will use multi-model ensembles to deal with the
inherent uncertainties.
Model hierarchy will include: diagnostic models for
hindcasts and nowcasts; prognostic models for ocean
forecasting; spatial coverage from global to regional;
coupling and/or nesting schemes (e.g., open-ocean–oceanmargin coupling and benthic-pelagic interactions); temporal
coverage from synoptic events, decadal, to global change.
By assimilating the point measurements, hydrographic data
and satellite data into basin-scale models, observations will
be put in a basin-scale perspective leading to improved
estimates of the ocean state.
IMBER Synthesis and Modeling Framework
Interconnected databases: systematic data mining for decadal
scale; synchronised palaeo-proxies for millenial scale; new
observations from sustained observing system in cooperation with
GOOS.
Data assimilation into biogeochemical and ecosystem models.
New mathematical and conceptual approaches to quantify and
model biodiversity, trophic interactions and the impacts of global
change on food web dynamics and human dimensions.
A full synthesis of IMBER research will be critical to the overall
success of the project. The IMBER SSC needs to play a leading
role in this synthesis. This will require the development of a
synthesis framework early in the project to enable effective
interaction between the SSC, the IMBER working groups and
national and regional programmes.