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International Black Sea Energy Policy
Conference of PROMITHEAS Network,
8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Analysis of climate change
mitigation tools in Ukraine
Dr. Konidari P.
KEPA - NKUA, Greece
Prof. Inshekov E.N.
Energy Saving and Energy Management Institute, National Technical University of Ukraine
Ms. Pechak O. O.
Energy Saving and Energy Management Institute, National Technical University of Ukraine
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Structure of presentation
Introduction
Ukrainian climate policy framework
Main Ukrainian climate change mitigation
policy instruments
Description of AMS method
Application
Conclusions
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Introduction
Problem
• Highly energy intensive country
• Strong dependency on energy imports
• Enormous decrease of production lead to no
sharp need for GHG reductions
Climate change mitigation measures
• promotion of energy saving technologies
• development of RES
• facilitating the implementation of JI projects
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Ukrainian climate policy framework
Stable national GHG emissions compared
to those of base year 1990
Extremely high level of energy intensity
Energy sector - main contributor of total
GHG emissions
• 74.3% of total emissions in 1990
Partially provided with domestic traditional
primary energy resources and relies on
energy imports
Important energy transit country
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Main climate change mitigation policy
instruments (1/3)
Promotion of energy saving technologies
Law “on energy conservation”,
“Comprehensive State Energy Conservation
Program”
“The Energy Strategy of Ukraine for the
period until 2030”
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Main climate change mitigation policy
instruments (2/3)
Development of RES
National Energy Program (NEP) for the period until 2010
Law “On power energy”
Law “On alternative types of liquid and gas fuels”
Law “On alternative energy sources”
Law “On combined heat and power production (cogeneration) and utilization of dump energy potential”
“The Energy Strategy of Ukraine for the period until 2030”
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Main climate change mitigation policy
instruments (3/3)
Implementation of JI projects
Ten main instruments
• Procedure (LoA, LoE)
• Registry
• Focal National Point
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Method AMS
Multi-criteria analysis method
Combination of three standard
methods
• Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP)
• Multi-Atribute Utility Theory (MAUT)
• Simple Multi-Attribute Ranking Technique
(SMART)
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Criteria-tree
Hierarchy
• Set of three criteria
and eleven subcriteria
Environmental
performance
Political acceptability
Feasibility of
implementation
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Weight coefficients
Usage of AHP calculated values
• Based on preferences from policy makers,
researchers, target groups
Recalculation of values is supported
Consistency test
• Two indices
Saaty
Pelaez-Lamata
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Assignment of grades (1/3)
Linear function y = ax+b, MAUT
approach
• a, b solution of system
requirements y =100 when xmax and y = 0
when xmin
y =100 when best performance
y = 0 when lowest performance
Normalized grades, SMART approach
• Absence of data to form function
• Decision maker uses scale from 0 to 10
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Assignment of grades (2/3)
DM’s grades mi converted to grades of
MAUT scale ( 2.51)m
Un-normalized grade
2.51 is used instead of 2 (SMART method)
because 2.51 solution of equation ( x )10 100
Normalized grade
mi
( 2.51)
100
n
mi
(
2.51)
i
i1
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Assignment of grades (3/3)
n
Total _ grade
w m
i
ij
i 1
Grade of criterion
• Sum of products between weight coefficients of
sub-criteria and respective grade (MAUT or
SMART procedure)
Total grade
• Same procedure
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Application
Three types of instruments
• Energy efficiency,
• RES,
• JI projects
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Data and assessments
Policy instruments for
Energy
Efficiency
Renewable energy
sources
Joint Implementation
projects
Direct contribution to GHG emission reductions
(0.833)
100.0
0
5.814
Indirect environmental effects (0.167)
100.0
0
5.814
Environmental performance (0.168)
100
0
5.814
Sub-Total from criterion 1 (A)
16.8
0
0.976
Cost efficiency (0.474)
13.267
33.560
53.173
Dynamic cost efficiency (0.183)
16.644
16.644
66.711
Competitiveness (0.085)
8.291
8.291
83.417
Equity (0.175)
27.9
27.9
44.199
Flexibility (0.051)
16.791
16.791
66.419
Stringency for non-compliance (0.032)
16.791
16.791
66.419
Political acceptability (0.738)
16.315
25.934
57.750
Sub-total from criterion 2 (B)
12.040
19.139
42.620
Implementation network capacity (0.309)
7.424
18.486
74.091
Administrative feasibility (0.581)
13.394
33.351
53.255
Financial feasibility (0.110)
8.347
8.347
83.306
Feasibility of implementation (0.094)
10.994
26.007
62.999
Sub-total from criterion 3 (C)
1.033
2.444
5.922
Total (A+B+C)
29.874
21.584
49.518
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Results
Total grades
• JI projects – 49.518
• Energy efficiency – 29.874
• RES-Laws - 21.584
Better grades
• Political acceptability
• Feasibility of implementation
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Conclusions
Policy recommendations oriented to cost
efficiency, competitiveness, flexibility,
implementation network capacity and financial
feasibility
Introduction of well examined incentives able to
invigorate investments and support substitution
of old energy intensive equipment.
Unavailable credible data
Lack of capable implementation network that
could assist in the effective application of the
policy instruments
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International Black Sea Energy Policy Conference of PROMITHEAS Network, 8-9 October 2008, Athens, Greece
Thank you
Contact details
Dr. Popi KONIDARI
Energy Policy and Development Centre (KEPA)
Panepistimiopolis, KEPA Building
157 84, Athens, Greece
Tel.: +30 210 72 75 830
E-mail: [email protected]
Ass. Prof. Evgeniy INSHEKOV, Ms. Olena PECHAK
Energy Saving and Energy Management Institute, National technical
university of Ukraine „KPI”
115 Borshagivska str,
03056, Kiev, Ukraine
Tel.: +38 044 241 70 37
Fax: +38 044 0241 70 38
E-mails: [email protected]
[email protected]
National and Kapodistrian University of Athens – Energy Policy and Development Centre
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