Transcript globec_finale_transitioning

2:00-3:00
3:00-3:30
3:30-5:00
Plenary - GLOBEC NWA Finale
Summary of key findings
Prog Oce Volume 2010
Final GLOBEC symposium, DC
Break
Plenary - GLOBEC NWA Transitioning
Pan-regional projects
Davis: Transitioning GLOBEC to management
Workshops, modeling/ovserving systems
GLOBEC NWA Finale
Summary of key findings
• Freshening of NWA from melting Arctic causes early spring
phytoplankton bloom, higher copepod abundance, better growth
and survival of larval cod and haddock.
• NAO-induced intrusions of Labrador Slope Water into the GB-GoM
region causes reduced nutrient supply and lower system
productivity and affects Calanus abundance
Other key findings?
• Physical processes: tidal pumping
• Larval fish - growth/survival mechanisms
• Copepods - life cycles and life histories with phys/biol
Prog Oce Volume 2010
Subject: Special Issue invitation PROOCE
From: "Broerse, Sandra (ELS-AMS)” <[email protected]>
Date: Fri, 18 Apr 2008 15:31:19 +0200
To: <[email protected]>
CC: <[email protected]>
Dear Dr. Davis,
RE: SI Climate forcing of a temperate marine ecosystem: A case study of the Georges BankGulf of Maine region
I am delighted to be able to formally confirm that the Editors of Progress in Oceanography have
recommended that we proceed with the proposed special issue and, based on his approval, I
am writing to confirm the publishing arrangements for this project.
Outline of synthesis volume for the GLOBEC NWA Program.
Volume Title:
Climate forcing of a temperate marine ecosystem: A case study of the Georges Bank-Gulf of
Maine region.
Synthesis paper #1: Introduction
The GLOBEC Northwest Atlantic Program: A study of multiscale biological-physical dynamics
controlling plankton and fish populations on Georges Bank.
Authors: Davis, Wiebe, Beardsley, Lough, Mountain, et al.
Synopsis: This paper describes the GLOBEC NWA program history, concepts, goals, and
approach, but does not include findings. It sets the stage for the ensuing synthesis papers.
Synthesis paper #2:
Title/subject: The physical oceanography of the GB-GoM system, local and remote forcing.
Possible Authors: Beardsley et al.
Synopsis: This paper summarizes and reviews what we learned about the physics of the
region including recent climate scenarios, NAO-LSW-WSW, and salinity anomalies, as well as
local dynamics, tides, winds, heating etc. This paper also includes predictions of future
physics.
Synthesis paper #3:
Title/subject: Local and remote forcing of nutrient and phytoplankton dynamics in the GB-GoM
region.
Possible Authors: Townsend, Ji, et al.
Synopsis: This paper summarizes and reviews what we learned about the nutrients and
phytoplankton and how they are affected by physics including local dynamics and future
climate change scenarios.
Synthesis paper #4:
Title/subject: The relative importance of climate change and local processes in controlling
zooplankton populations in the GB/GoM region.
Possible Authors: Davis, Durbin, Runge, Madin, Wiebe et al.
Synopsis: This paper summarizes and reviews what we learned about processes contolling
zooplankton dynamics, including data synthesis and modeling results with predictions of how global
change is likely to affect these populations. This synthesis paper also includes the zooplankton
predators.
Synthesis paper #5:
Title/subject: Multi-scale biological-physical interactions controlling recruitment processes in cod
and haddock on Georges Bank.
Possible Authors: Lough, Fogarty, Buckley, Kristiansen, Petrik et al.
Synopsis: This paper compiles all the factors controlling survival and growth of larval cod and
haddock including local and remote forcing, top-down vs bottom up effects, and presents a
synthesized view of how these populations may be impacted in the future. It should include
discussion of how the results will be used to better manage the fisheries by links with the full-life
cycle and stock assessments.
Synthesis paper #6:
Title/subject: Multiscale biological-physical modeling of the GB-GoM region.
Possible Authors: Ji, Chen, Beardsley, McGillicuddy, Gangopadhyay, Runge, Werner, Davis et al.
Synopsis: This paper summarizes and reviews what we learned through numerical modeling about
how multi-scale physical forcing of the region, including climate forcing (NAO-LSW-WSW, salinity
anomalies) and local physics (tides, winds, heat flux) affects biological dynamics including NPZDcopepod species-fish species. This paper also includes predictions of how biological dynamics will
change with future physical forcing scenarios and more generally how temperate marine
ecosystems are likely to respond mechanistically to climate change.
Synthesis paper #7:
Title/subject: New sampling techniques and approaches developed and used in the GLOBEC
NWA program.
Possible Authors: Gallager, Davis, Bucklin, Wiebe, Buckley, Benfield, et al.
Synopsis: This paper summarizes the new technological developments developed and used in
the program, including new optical imaging systems, acoustic samplers, and molecular
techniques. The paper describes how this technology has made its way from the initial GLOBEC
studies into the broader biological oceanographic community.
Synthesis paper #8: Summary
Title/subject: Toward a mechanistic understanding of how climate change affects zooplantkton
and fish populations in a temperate marine ecosystem: assessment and future goals
Possible Authors: Davis, Runge, Wiebe, Beardsley, et al...
Synopsis: This paper highlights how the approach taken by NWA GLOBEC program has led to
new insights into how plankton and fish populations are controlled by local forcing and climate
change. It demonstrates the power of studying individual species, populations, and species, how
they are affected by each other and by physics, and how this has led to powerful new
biological/physical modeling tools that have given us new understanding of how climate affects
plankton and fish. This final summary also will point to how these results and method may be
transitioned into operational tools that managers can use, including modeling and observation
systems
Additional synthesis paper? Transioning GLOBEC for Ecosystem Approaches to Management
Possible Authors: Fogarty, Davis, Runge, Wiebe et al
Final GLOBEC symposium, DC 2010
NAS Auditorium unavailable, renovated Apr 2009-2011
Baird Auditorium in Smithsonian Museum - Available plus
evening exhibit hall
What do we want to present from the NWA program?
3:30-5:00 Plenary: GLOBEC NWA Transitioning
Pan-regional projects
Davis: Transitioning GLOBEC to management
Workshops, modeling/ovserving systems
Cameo projects?