Transcript IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

IIASA and India
Highlights
January 2014
CONTENTS
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6.
Summary
National Member Organization
Research Partners
Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights
Capacity Building
Further Information
SUMMARY
National Member
Organization
Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment
Council (TIFAC)
SUMMARY
National Member
Organization
Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment
Council (TIFAC)
Membership start date
2007
SUMMARY
National Member
Organization
Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment
Council (TIFAC)
Membership start date
2007
Research partners
40 institutes in India
SUMMARY
National Member
Organization
Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment
Council (TIFAC)
Membership start date
2007
Research partners
40 institutes in India
Areas of research
collaborations
Land, soil and water management
Pathways to sustainable energy systems
Tackling air pollution
Disaster risk management
Population projections
Energy and climate change modeling
Forest management
SUMMARY
National Member
Organization
Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment
Council (TIFAC)
Membership start date
2007
Research partners
40 institutes in India
Areas of research
collaborations
Land, soil and water management
Pathways to sustainable energy systems
Tackling air pollution
Disaster risk management
Population projections
Energy and climate change modeling
Forest management
Capacity Building
25 young Indian scientists took part in IIASA’s capacity
building programs
17 training workshops in India
SUMMARY
National Member
Organization
Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment
Council (TIFAC)
Membership start date
2007
Research partners
40 institutes in India
Areas of research
collaborations
Land, soil and water management
Pathways to sustainable energy systems
Tackling air pollution
Disaster risk management
Population projections
Energy and climate change modeling
Forest management
Capacity Building
25 young Indian scientists took part in IIASA’s capacity
building programs
17 training workshops in India
Publication output
139 publications
SUMMARY
National Member
Organization
Technology Information, Forecasting and Assessment
Council (TIFAC)
Membership start date
2007
Research partners
40 institutes in India
Areas of research
collaborations
Land, soil and water management
Pathways to sustainable energy systems
Tackling air pollution
Disaster risk management
Population projections
Energy and climate change modeling
Forest management
Capacity Building
25 young Indian scientists took part in IIASA’s capacity
building programs
17 training workshops in India
Publication output
139 publications
Events
Over 460 Indian nationals at IIASA events
NATIONAL MEMBER ORGANIZATION
• Department of Science and Technology’s
Technology Information, Forecasting and
Assessment Council (TIFAC)
• Prof Ranjan, Executive Director, TIFAC is IIASA’s
Council Member
• National committee for the India-IIASA Programme
chaired by Dr Parikh, former member, Planning
Commission, & Chairman, IRADe
RESEARCH PARTNERS
• 40 institutions in India, including:
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Centre For Water Resources Development and Management (CWRDM)
Indian Institute of Forest Management (IIFM)
Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Ahmedabad
Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA)
Institute for Social and Economic Change
Integrated Research and Action for Development (IRADe)
International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT)
National Environmental Engineering Research Institute (NEERI)
National Institute of Hydrology (NIH)
The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI)
RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS
Selected Highlights:
• Sustaining and improving food security and
livelihoods in India
• Global Energy Assessment and India
• Tackling air pollution in India
• Increasing India’s resilience to natural disasters
• Projecting India’s future population
SUSTAINING AND IMPROVING FOOD
SECURITY AND LIVELIHOODS IN INDIA
Water Management
Climate Change
Adaptation
Soil Nutrient
Balances
Bundelkhand
Gujarat
Kerala
Water management tool
to select measures to
adapt to impending
scarcity of fresh water
resources
Identify strategies for
vulnerable rural
communities to cope with
the impending impacts of
climate change
Establish a decision
support system for
sustainable soil
management in different
agro-ecological
environments
GIS/DSS:
Spatial assessment and
interactive data access
system
Policy Options for Sustaining and Improving Food
Security and Livelihoods
• Adaptation to climate change
• Water management options
• Soil nutrient management
GLOBAL ENERGY ASSESSMENT AND INDIA
• GEA co-Chair, 4 convening lead analysts,
and several lead analysts were Indians
• GEA’s energy scenarios developed into a
global energy vision for India till 2050 with
IRADe
• Spin-off report on GEA’s insights
into providing two billion access to
clean modern energy had focus
on India
• UN Secretary-General’s Sustainable
Energy For All initiative
adopted GEA’s key
findings and IIASA with
TERI providing knowledge to
achieve these objectives
POPULATION NEEDING NEW CONNECTIONS TO
ACHIEVE UNIVERSAL ACCESS BY 2030 IN INDIA
0.3
Additional population that needs to be electrified to achieve
universal electrification by 2030
No. of people (billions)
0.25
0.2
65 kWh
420 kWh
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
2010
2020
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.04.075
2030
CO2 MITIGATION IN MAJOR
ECONOMIES IN 2°C REGIMES
van Sluisveld, M.A.E., Gernaat, D.E.H.J., Ashinab, S., Calvin, K.V. Garg, A., Isaac, M., Lucas, P.L., Mouratiadou, I., Otto, A.A.C., Rao
, S., Shukla, P.R., van Vliet, J., van Vuuren, D.P., : Regional differences in mitigation efforts across modeled current and emerging
major economies in 2°C regimes. Special Issue, Climate Change Economics (LIMITS)
TACKLING AIR POLLUTION IN INDIA
• GAINS ASIA identified advanced air pollution
measures for India for next 20 years which will:
• Increase life expectancy by 2.8 years
• Avoid 2.5 million premature deaths
• Pay for themselves by improving health, reducing lost work
days, and increasing productivity
DOI: 10.1021/es402867r
INCREASING INDIA’S RESILIENCE
DOI: 10.5595/idrim.2012.0033
PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION
Age (in Years)
India - Base Year 2010
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
1.22 Billion
Males
100
75
Females
50
25
0
Population in Millions
25
50
75
100
PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION
RAPID DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
India - Projections 2030 - SSP1
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
1.5 Billion
Males
100
75
Females
50
25
0
Population in Millions
25
50
75
100
PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION
RAPID DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
India - Projections 2060 - SSP1
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
1.5 Billion
Males
100
75
Females
50
25
0
Population in Millions
25
50
75
100
PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION
Age (in Years)
India - Base Year 2010
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
1.22 Billion
Males
100
75
Females
50
25
0
Population in Millions
25
50
75
100
PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION
STALLED DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
India - Projections 2030 - SSP3
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
1.6 Billion
Males
100
75
Females
50
25
0
Population in Millions
25
50
75
100
PROJECTING INDIA’S FUTURE POPULATION
STALLED DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
India - Projections 2060 - SSP3
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
2.1 Billion
Males
100
75
Females
50
25
0
Population in Millions
25
50
75
100
IMPACT OF EDUCATION ON POPULATION
RAPID VERSUS STALLED DEVELOPMENT
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
1.5 Billion
Males
100
India - Projections 2060 SSP3
100+
Females
Age (in Years)
Age (in Years)
India - Projections 2060 SSP1
100+
75
50
25
0
25
50
Population in Millions
75
100
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
2.1 Billion
Males
100
75
Females
50
25
0
25
50
Population in Millions
75
100
WATER AND THE FUTURE OF HUMANITY
• Gulbenkian Think Tank on
Water and the Future of
Humanity
• Members include: Sunita
Narain, Director-General,
Center for Science and
Environment, New Delhi &
Pavel Kabat, Director-General
IIASA
• Changes to the way we access,
provide and use water
CAPACITY BUILDING
20 Indian nationals won places on IIASA’s Young
Scientists Summer Program between 2007 and 2013
POSTDOCTORAL FELLOWS
• Narasimha Rao (2011-2013): Relationship between electricity
access, livelihoods and carbon dioxide emissions in India. (7
journal articles)
• Tapas Mishra (2007-2008): Demography and economic
growth. (7 journal articles)
POSTDOCTORAL FELLOWS
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-012-0300-8
• Upasna Sharma
• PhD: Indian Institute of Technology,
Bombay
• Postdoc with IIASA’s risk and
vulnerability team 2009-2011
• Researched reducing vulnerability
to natural disasters in India and
published 5 journal articles.
• E.g. Compared landslide
management in India and Italy and
found landslide risk benefits from a
decentralized approach.
• Today: Indian Institute of
Technology, Delhi and continues to
collaborate with IIASA
ACADEMIC TRAINING WORKSHOPS
• 17 workshops in India since 2007, including:
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CEPT University, Ahmedabad (2011)
Indian Institute of Forest Management (IIFM), Bhopal (2010)
Institute of Rural Management Anand (IRMA), (2012)
Institute for Social and Economic Change, Bangalore (2010)
International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai (2010)
International Training Programme Air Pollution Management,
Pune (2010)
Madras School of Economics, Madras (2010)
National Environmental Engineering Research Institute (NEERI),
Nagpur, (2012)
National Institute of Hydrology (NIH), Roorkee (2011)
National Institute of Science, Technology & Development
Studies (NISTADS), New Delhi (2009)
THANK YOU
Further Information
IIASA and INDIA
www.iiasa.ac.at/india
India-IIASA Programme
TIFAC (www.tifac.org)
[email protected]