Transcript General Prtesentation of Instruments

Advanced fossil fuel boiler
technologies for reaching the goals of
the Kyoto protocol
OPET-Seminar Celje, 20-21 May 2004
Welcome address by
Thomas H A Schneider
DG Energy and Transport
European Commission – Coal & Oil Unit
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
Global Policy Context
Climate change
 Johannesburg World Summit on Sustainable Development 2002
 EU set to decrease its GHG emissions by 8% in 2008-2012
compared to 1990 under the Kyoto protocol
 Burden sharing agreement between Member States
 On track so far, but target likely to be missed in ‘business as
usual’ scenario
 European Climate Change Programme has identified most
promising and cheapest routes
 EU Greenhouse Gas Trading Directive – trading starting Jan 05
 Adoption of a “linking” directive which transfers CDM and JI
credits into the EU GHG trading directive
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
Total equivalent CO2 concentration (all
greenhouse gases) in the atmosphere as a
function of time – past data and projection
according to the IPCC is92a scenario
(subject to debate in GDP projections).
1400
1200
1000
ppm(v) 800
600
400
200
0
1800
1850
1900
1950
2000
year
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
2050
2100
2150
Global Policy Context
Climate change - Post Kyoto
 More drastic reductions will be needed
 max. 2°C increase, max. 450 ppm(v)
 50 to 60% emissions reduction by 2050
 from developed economies (JI)
 from economies in transition (CDM)
 Fossil fuel use in developing economies to be tackled
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
EU Compliance with
Kyoto Protocol
% Shortfalls (+) or
over-compliance (-)
with policies currently
in place
Source: European Environment Agency, 2003
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
Energy Policy Context
Industry Competitiveness
 EU industry must be placed in a position
to compete in a post-Kyoto scenario
addressing the emissions of developing
countries
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
Energy Policy Context
Scenarios and Projections (source : WETO)
Still 90% fossil fuels worldwide by 2030
18000
Mtoe
15000
12000
9000
6000
3000
0
1980
1990
Coal, lignite
Prim. Electricity
2000
2010
Oil
Wood and wastes
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
2020
Natural gas
2030
Energy Related CO2 Emissions
(WETO - EC DG RTD)
10000
9000
8000
Mt of CO2
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1990
2000
European Union
USA
India
Japan
2010
2020
2030
EU & Accession Countries
Brazil
China
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
GREEN PAPER :
Strategy Issues
Security of supply risks
Containment of demand
increase (“demand side
management”)
Influence on supply
dependence
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
EU ENVIRONMENTAL
TECHNOLOGY
OFFENSIVE : ETAP
Key contribution of environmental technologies
to sustainable growth in Europe and world wide
Efficient conversion of fossil fuels
International Cooperation
 Priorities :
Russia
China
India
 In preparation :
Latin America
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
ETAP– Climate Change
(discussion paper)
Key technologies on demand side –
Households and Services
 Building fabric
 Integrated building design
 Controls & building energy mgt systems
 Heating, cooling & ventilation equipment
 Energy efficiency equipment – office & domestic equipment
 Lighting
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
Fossil and Renewable
Energy Sources
 CO2 C+S sometimes seen as fossil fuels back by the
back-door
 But projections indicate fossil fuels are here to stay and
will be used, especially in economies in transition
 RES need to be supported, but will not be sufficient in the
short to medium term, both in developed and developing
economies
 RES and CO2 C+S are complementary
 from a timing point of view
 from a generation mix point of view
 to ease the penetration of hydrogen as a vector
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
UNFCCC
 This is in force, whatever happens to Kyoto Protocol
 “The ultimate objective of this Convention and any
related legal instruments that the Conference of the
Parties may adopt is to achieve, in accordance with the
relevant provisions of the Convention,
stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the
atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous
anthropogenic interference with the climate system.
Such a level should be achieved within a time-frame
sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to
climate change, to ensure that food production is not
threatened and to enable economic development to
proceed in a sustainable manner.”
Directorate General for Energy and Transport
Contact
Thomas H A Schneider
European Commission
Directorate-General for Energy & Transport
Coal & Oil Unit
Rue de la Loi 200 – DM24 6/25
B - 1049 - Brussels - Belgium
phone : 32-2-29-86236
fax : 32-2-29-64337
email : [email protected]
Directorate General for Energy and Transport