IT IS TIME FOR THE DRD (DISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND)
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Transcript IT IS TIME FOR THE DRD (DISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND)
IT IS TIME FOR THE DRD
[DISASTER RESILIENCE DIVIDEND]
AUGUST 26, 2012
Walter Hays, Global Alliance for
Disaster Reduction, University of
North Carolina, USA
THE DISASTER
RESILIENCE DIVIDEND
The DRD is
HEALTH
on a global scale
"Health is a state of complete
physical, mental and social
well-being
and not merely the absence of
disease or infirmity“
WORLD HEALTH
ORGANIZATION
RISK ASSESSMENT
•HAZARD MAPS
•INVENTORY
•VULNERABILITY
•LOCATION
ACCEPTABLE RISK
RISK
UNACCEPTABLE RISK
DISASTER RESILIENCE
DATA BASES
AND INFORMATION
YOUR
COMMUNITY
INTEGRATED GOALS
HAZARDS:
GROUND SHAKING
GROUND FAILURE
SURFACE FAULTING
TECTONIC DEFORMATION
TSUNAMI RUN UP
AFTERSHOCKS
POLICIES / PRACTICES::
•PROTECTION
•PREPAREDNESS
•EARLY WARNING
•EM. RESPONSE
•RECOVERY & RECONSTUCT
DISASTER RESILIENCE IS THE
RESULT OF INTEGRATING
RESEARCH AND SCIENTIFIC
KNOWLEDGE GAINED FROM
“DISASTER LABORATORIES” WITH
EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES AND
THE
COMMUNITY’S POLITICAL PROCESS
FORD
THE FIVE DIMENSIONS OF
KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATION
1. PROTECTION (IMPLEMENTATION OF
BUILDING CODES AND LIFELINE
STANDARDS; SITE-SPECIFIC DESIGN
AND PERFORMANCE STANDARDS FOR
ESSENTIAL AND CRITICAL
FACILITIES) …
THE FIVE DIMENSIONS OF
KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATION
(Continued)
2. PREPAREDNESS (HAZARD,
VULNERABILITY, AND RISK
ASSESSMENTS; DISASTER PLANNING
SCENARIOS;PRE-EVENT PLANNING
FOR POST-EVENT RECOVERY) …
THE FIVE DIMENSIONS OF
KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATION
(Continued)
3. EARLY WARNING (LOCAL,
REGIONAL, AND GLOBAL
MONITORING; ADVISORY, WATCHES
AND WARNING MESSAGES,
EVACUATION)…
THE FIVE DIMENSIONS OF
KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATION
(Continued)
4. EMERGENCY RESPONSE (SITUATION
ASSESSSMENTS; EMERGENCY
MEDICAL; MASS CARE; SEARCH AND
RESCUE; EMERGENCY
TRANSPORTATION, LOCAL, REGIONAL,
AND INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE)…
THE FIVE DIMENSIONS OF
KNOWLEDGE INTEGRATION
(Continued)
5. RECOVERY & RECONSTRUCTION:
“PEPPERED” FOR RESTORATION OF
ESSENTIAL SERVICES TO NORMAL, LOCAL,
REGIONAL, AND GLOBAL BUSINESS
RESUMPTION; CASUALTY INSURANCE,
INTERNATIONAL ASSISTANCE…
GLOBAL EDUATIONAL
SURGES WILL HELP MAKE
THE DRD A REALITY
BENEFIT/COST = 7
BILLION
GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL
SURGES:
A WAY TO CAUSE A PARADIGM
SHIFT
FROM A TREND OF INCREASING DISASTERS
TO GLOBAL HEALTH
IN THE 21ST CENTURY
FOUR UNIVERSAL ROOT CAUSES OF
DISASTERS
• IGNORANCE
• APATHY
• DISCIPLINARY
BOUNDARIES
• UNWISE DECISIONS
A DISASTER is ----- the set of failures that occur when
three continuums: 1) people, 2)
community (i.e., a set of habitats,
livelihoods, and social constructs),
and 3) recurring events (e.g., floods,
earthquakes, ...,) intersect at a point in
space and time, when and where the
people and community are not ready.
REALITY 101
• DISASTER =
KNOWLEDGE
WITHOUT
TRANSFER
AND
IMPLEMENTATION
• DISASTER
RESILIENCE =
KNOWLEDGE
WITH
TRANSFER AND
IMPLEMENTATION
REALITY 101
A disaster is the result of
NOT IMPLEMENTING
knowledge-based
policies to reduce
vulnerability and risk
LET’S AGREE THAT AN
EDUCATIONAL SURGE TO BUILD
EDUCATIONAL, TECHNICAL AND
POLITICAL CAPACITY
TO REDUCE DISASTERS IN EVERY
COMMUNITIY OF THE WORLD,
STARTING WITH OUR OWN ,
IS REALISTIC
LET’S ENVISION
A GLOBAL SURGE IN
EDUCATIONAL, TECHNICAL AND
POLITICAL CAPACITY BUILDING
THAT IS DESIGNED TO MAKE ALL
COMMUNITIES OF THE WORLD
DISASTER RESILIENT
LET’S AGREE THAT THE
INTEGRATION OF EACH
COUNTRY’S HISTORY OF
PAST DISASTERS
IS THE BEST KNOWLEDGE
BASE FOR LAUNCHING A
GLOBAL EDUCATIONAL
SURGE
DISASTERS THAT EXPOSED
NATIOINAL VULNERABILITIES
• INDIAN OCEAN • CYCLONE
TSUNAMI--2004
NARGIS—2008
• HURRICANE
• WENCHUAN,
KATRINA--2005
CHINA EARTHQUAKE--2008
• FLOODS IN
CHINA --2007
INDIAN OCEAN TSUNAMI
DISASTER: DECEMBER 2004
Elements of the
disaster: 1) An
inadequate
tsunami warning
system, 2) An
estimated 220,000
deaths in 11
nations, and 3)
$ billions in losses.
FLOOD DISASTER IN CHINA:
JULY 2007
Elements of the
disaster: 1)
Evacuation of one
half-million people
from the rainswollen Huai River,
2) a plague of two
billion mice, and 3)
losses of $3 billion.
HURRICANE KATRINA
DISASTER:AUGUST 2005
Elements of the
disaster: 1) poor
siting and design of
the levee system,
2) flooding of 80
percent of New
Orleans, 3) 1,800
dead, and 4) losses
of $81 billion.
CYCLONE NARGIS DISASTER:
IN MYANMAR: MAY 2008
Elements of the
disaster: 1) Poor
implementation
of warning
systems, 2) Slow
acceptance of
International
AID, 3) an
estimated
220,000 deaths.
DISASTERS THAT EXPOSED NATIONAL
VULNERABILITIES
• HAITI
EARTHQUAKE
• CHILE
EARTHQUAKE
AND PACIFIC
TSUNAMI
• ICELAND
VOLCANIC
ERUPTION AND
ASH CLOUD
• OIL LEAK IN
GULF OF
MEXICO
WENCHUAN, CHINA EATHQUAKE
DISASTER: MAY 2008
Elements of the
disaster: 1) Poor
implementation
of building
codes, 2) 80,000
deaths, 3) 25
million buildings
damaged, 4) 45
million affected
HAITI EARTHQUAKE DISASTER
JANUARY 2010
Elements of the
disaster: 1) poor
implementation of
building codes, 2) an
estimated 220,000
deaths, 3) $ 100 +
billion in damage,
and 4) a 10-yearlong recovery.
EYJAFJALLAJOKULL VOLCANO
ERUPTS IN ICELAND: MARCH 2010
Elements of the
disaster: 1) Lack of
preparedness to
deal with an ash
cloud, 2) 100,000
canceled flights in
Europe, 3) 1 billion
+ loss to aviation
industry.
THE GREAT OIL LEAK DISASTER OF
2010 IN THE GULF OF MEXICO
Elements of the
Catastrophe: 1) Lack
of technology to deal
with an 1-mile deep
oil leak adding
22,000 gallons of oil
per day, 2) pollution,
3) dead fish and
wildfire, and 4) $ 100
+ billion loss.
LET’S AGREE THAT WE CAN
LINK UP STRATEGICLY AND
TACTICLY
•START WHERE YOU LIVE!
• START WITH EXISTING PARTNERS
AND ENGAGE NEW PARTNERS!
• START WITH YOUR HOMES!
• START WITH YOUR SCHOOLS!
•START WITH YOUR INFRASTRUCTURE!
LINKED SURGES
A GLOBAL PLATFORM
DISASTER RISK REDUCTION FOR
COMMUNITIES
CONTINUING EDUCATION AND
TECHNICAL ASSISTANCE
ISLAND NATIONS PARTNERS:
- Strategic
SUBSAHARA
AFRICA REGION
PARTNERS:
Interactions LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN
REGION PARTNERS:
EUROPEAN REGION PARTNERS:
MEDITERRANEAN REGION PARTNERS:
A GLOBAL
RESOURCE
KNOWLEDGE
AND
EXPERIENCE
DISASTER
LABORATORIES
EDUCATIONAL
SURGES
CAPACITY
BUILDING
PRIMERS
MEETINGS
ASIAN REGION PARTNERS:
NORTH AMERICAN REGION PARTNERS:
TURNING POINTS
FOR CHANGE
EXAMPLE: WE CAN AND SHOULD GO
FROM “GEM“ TO - - -
EXAMPLE CONTINUED-- “GERR"
LAWS THAT FACILITATE THE PARADIGM SHIFT
LAW OF THE
BIG PICTURE
LAW OF
SIGNIFICANCE
LAW OF
MOUNT EVEREST
A FRAMEWORK FOR:
THE JOURNEY
TOWARDS
DISASTER RESILIENCE
LAW OF THE
CATALYST
LAW OF THE
NICHE
LAW OF THE
PRICE TAG
LAW OF THE
COMPASS
LAW OF THE
CHAIN