Transcript 16112009_Bolzano_VulnerabilityMapping (ppt - Infoscience

CLIMATE CHANGE AND TOURISM IN
SWITZERLAND: IMPACTS,
VULNERABILITY AND POSSIBLE
ADAPTATION MEASURES
Cecilia Matasci
PhD student
EPFL ENAC INTER REME
CH-1015 Lausanne
Tel: +41 79 283 95 48
E-mail : [email protected]
CONTENTS
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Introduction – climate change and tourism
 Impacts
 Vulnerability
 Possible adaptation measures
 Conclusions

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INTRODUCTION
Tourism and climate change intertwined
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Perch-Nielsen (2008)
INTRODUCTION
SWITZERLAND
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-1/11 people directly or indirectly working for tourism
(1/3 in mountain areas) (Dayer, 1998)
- 5.2% of national GDP (Bfs, 2005)
- 30.4 billions CHF2005 : 61% inner tourism
39% foreign tourism (5.3 % income
from export → 4th place)
(BfS, 2008)
- Indirect benefits: commerce, transports, banks, insurances,
etc.
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INTRODUCTION
Tourism
Buildings
and infrastructure
Energy
Human
health
Ecoplan/Sigmaplan
(2007)
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Costs and damages of climate change in 2030, 2050, 2070 and
2100 for the principal domains
IMPACTS
Seven Categories of Impacts considered
+3°C
2050
Perch-Nielsen (2007)
5. Natural hazards
2. Snow pack
reduction
Beniston (2003)
6. Water scarcity Drought
3. Glaciers melting
Maisch in Beniston (2004)
4. Permafrost
melting – Rock Falls
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1. Changes in climate
suitability
OcCC/Proclim (2007)
7. Landscape changes
– Scenic beauty
CATEGORIES
OF IMPACT
CONSIDERED
Ecoplan/Sigmaplan (2007)
Glacier de la Tschierva, Engadine
Slide from Beniston (2004)
www.news.bbc.co.uk
Badler and Kunz (2000)
www.dessertcomesfirst.com
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VULNERABILITY
Definining vulnerability
Exposure
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‘Vulnerability is the degree to which a system is susceptible to,
and unable to cope with, adverse effects of climate change, including
climate variability and extremes. Vulnerability is a function
of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate change and
variation to which a system is exposed, its sensitivity, and its
adaptive capacity.’ [IPCC, 2007]
Sensitivity
Potential impact
Adaptive capacity
Vulnerability
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Preston (2008)
OBJECTIVES

Examine spatial heterogeneity in vulnerability

Examine differential vulnerability to different climate impacts

Identify diversity of drivers that may contribute to vulnerability

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Develop a tool for stimulating discussion about climate
change vulnerability and adaptation within Switzerland
and the tourism sector
Determine similitude between regions → promote collaboration
and exchange of information
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METHOD
Sensitivity
Adaptive capacity
Changes in climate
suitability
Tourism structure
Feasibility
Snowpack reduction
Population
. Social
Glaciers melting
Economy
. Economic
Permafrost melting rockfall
Infrastructure
. Technological
Natural hazards
Institution
. Institutional
Water scarcity –
drought
Environment
. Environmental
Landscape –
scenic beauty
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Exposure
Acceptability
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. Social
METHOD
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POSSIBLE ADAPTATION MEASURES
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CONCLUSIONS
Tourism : one of the most affected domains of CH
economy
 Various impacts, both on offer and supply
 Regions differentially exposed and vulnerable
 Vulnerability hotspots → importance to adapt
 Various types of adaptation measures possible

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Cecilia Matasci - 20 November 2009
Thank you for your attention!
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