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Declaration of Conflict of Interest
I,
Allan Davison
declare that in the past 3 years:
I have received manufacturer funding from the following companies*:
No
I have done consulting work for the following companies*:
No
I have done speaking engagements for the following companies*:
None
I or my family hold individual shares in the following*:
None
*pharmaceutical or medical/dental equipment
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Allan Davison
Making hunger history?
[email protected]
please disturb!
www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition
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Task of making hunger history-MDG1
Where are we?
Much better since the MDGs, but far from
making hunger history
Where are we going?
Hunger on a global scale will disappear,
in 2 or 3 more 15y plans. New initiatives
What’s working, what’s not?
Only 5-10 nations of 23 will reach 0.7% of
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GDP. None will forgo unfair trade rules
Aid isn’t working
Profit motive hasn’t
Trade for profit instead
worked - aid is needed
Trillions wasted! - 1 b still starving
Population outstrips food supply
Most aid corrupt dictators
MDGs won’t be achieved
V little is wasted
Malthus is wrong
Corrupt multinationals
Broken promises
Never promised 0.7% and anyway …
… we give more than anyone!
“Trade not aid”
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2008 recession
You did so!
½ what EU gives!
Trade barriers. Fair trade & aid
“They” didn’t cause it
World GDP $PPP per
cap (est) 1500-2100
$10,000
5
Manifest destiny of
world - wealth
China +
India 2040?
USA + West
Europe
since 1945
Western
Europe
to 1945
China + India
to 1850
$5,000
India to 1500
$0
1500
2000
http://ers.usda.gov/Data/Macroeconomics/
Number of malnourished world-wide
See also:
WHO,
UN,
WB,
USDA,
CIA,
OECD,
IFPRI
1000
UNICEF 2009
Millions under-nourished
(FAO kcal / household)
900
800
700
Food insufficient for sustenance
water-carrier
600
500
FAO data
400
300
200
http://www.unicef.org/media/files
/Tracking_Progress_on_Child_a
nd_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_1103
09.pdf
100
0
1970
6
1980
1990
2000
2010
33%
World
% undernourished
22%
17%
same data
15
1970
14%
1980
1990
2000
2010
7
Number fed & under-nourished worldwide
Prediction
millions
8000
Target
Fed
Malnourished
6000
4000
2000
33%
14%
11%
6%
0
1970
8
2010
2015 target 2030 FAO
est
8
Percentage stunted
http://www.unicef.org/media/files/Tracking_Progress
_on_Child_and_Maternal_Nutrition_EN_110309.pdf
60%
http://ije.oxfordjournals.org/content/32/4/518.full.pdf
Africa
40%
Asia
Latin
Am
20%
1980 & every 5 years
Last 2 or 3 points are projections
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}
Paying for total strangers to eat?
Not us, not if it
goes to corrupt
dictators”
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1
“Phantom aid”, the wasted 47%
“Development
aid”, not spent
on poverty or
development
Refers to
ODA, not
MDGs
Lost to:
Inefficiency
Unfair trade
Emergency aid
Refugees
Tied to benefit
rich & Debt relief
http://www.globalissues.org/articl
e/35/foreign-aid-developmentassistance#GovernmentsCutting
BackonPromisedResponsibilities
Real aid
53%
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60% of US ODA goes to Israel & Iraq
Corrupt? Dictators? Rich...
Accept personal & campaign “contributions”
peddling influence. Could stop bribery at
home & abroad by abolishing secret a/c
wikipedia
600
Lockheed
400
Swiss
Air
200
0
-200
... & Poor
-400
-600
Accept “bribes” for trade
concessions. Their
people suffer, & hate them
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We know what works:
•Transparent & accountable , open bids
•Partnerships not paternalism
•Goals, objectives, timed milestones
•Strategies revised annually by both partners
•Externally monitored. No political pressure
•Sustainable emphasis on poverty, agriculture
•Serves recipient needs, not donor / ideology
•Firm long-term commitments: MV, Grameen
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Paul Collier
Unrealistic? Let’s see ...
Beyond MDGs: amazing changes:
•The Millennium Village project
•Grameen Family of social enterprises
•Billionaire philanthropists & foundations
•Instant spread of innovations: agric, educ, &c
•Passionate & influential voices for change
•Scientists & students bring energy to future
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www.sfu.ca/global-nutrition
Passionate renegades
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The End
[email protected]
www.sfu.ca/global-hunger
[email protected]
www.sfu.ca/global-hunger
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200m
Number
stunted
http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsh
eets/fs290/en/index.html
http://www.fao.org/mdg/en/
http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/rep
orts.shtml#mdgs
Asia
100m
Africa
Latin
Am
1980 & every 5 years
0
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