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The Trade Indicators Project
(TIP)
An OECD horizontal and international
project for creating a web-based,
interactive research tool
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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The basic philosophy
• Globalisation analysis requires crossdisciplinary thinking and approaches
• A wealth of information needs to be
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Sighted
Sorted
Analysed
Validated
• Bring separate database together in one
application without duplication
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Progress made
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There was strong agreement that there is growing demand for trade
indicators and that the OECD should and could play a very useful role in
this context.
A statistical project, such as the TIP, with a solid methodological
underpinning, combining different data sources and which could help to
further advance the research agenda was recognized as a major possible
tool for the international research community.
OECDs richness of available international databases, ready to be used,
was recognised as well as its competence and expertise in methodological
questions
There was agreement that OECDs Roundtable approach should be
continued and regularly reported to the Trade Experts meetings and other
interested bodies.
There was a clear understanding that TIP would have to be embedded in
the OECD.STAT environment. This means 2005 at the earliest from a data
storage point of view.
The first Web-based pilot version has been realised and is in place at the
time of writing (September 2005).
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Progress made
• As reported to the 4ht and 5th ITS meeting:
• An inventory of available databases at
OECD which could be used for the
purposes of the TIP was drawn up by STD
• A first tentative selection of possible
indicators was drawn up by OECD
• 3 Sources: an indicator “Taxonomy”
(prepared by L. Iapadre, ICE) was
integrated by OECD into the Roundtable
conclusions and into the work done for the
HEGI.
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Achievements during the
past 12 months:
• A methodological standard framework (see next
slide) was developed
• Work for the OECD HEGI (“Aspects of trade
globalisation Chapter”) served also as input into
TIP
• Thorough research was carried out compiling all
eligible OECD data sources and data availability
• Validation of data, integration into a Report Builder
• Creation of an Interactive, Web-based query tool
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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How does this look like at
present?
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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ORGANISATION DE COOPÉRATION ET DE DEVELOPMENT ÉCONOMIQUES
OECD
OCDE
ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT
TIP: Standard methodological framework
- short definition
Formula
&
Valuation
- current / constant price (based year)
- exchange rate or PPP’s used
Complexity
- technical complexity
Data sources
- databases used
- flow chart
- referenced series
Data availability
- periodicity
- period
brackets at 2:30
Beginning
- area level: country / zone
Visualisation
- graphic trend
- country benchmarking
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE –
INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
Quality
Comment
12 - 14 (a.m.) September 2005
- name of the indicator,

- referenced as
indicator
Beginning
atOECD
10.00
a.m. on the first day
Definition
Output
Name of Indicator
Input
Data element
Reference
Indicator ID
Concept
Dimensions
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13 (p.m.) – 15 September 2005
p.m. on the first day
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Trade indicator groups
1.
Trade balance and coverage ratio
2.
Trade openness
3.
Trade performance indicators
4.
Geographic concentration indicators
5.
Specialisation
6.
Foreign direct investment indicators
7.
Foreign controlled affiliates indicators
8.
Technology based indicators
9.
Trade policy indicators (WTO)
10.
Price Indicators
11.
Trade intensity and specialisation indicators
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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1. Trade balance and coverage ratio
•
Trade balance value (X-M)
•
Normalised trade balance ( [X-M] / [X+M] )
•
Coverage ratio (X/M)
2. Trade openness
•
Trade-to-GDP-ratio ( [X+M] / GDP )
•
Export propensity ( X / GDP )
•
Import penetration ration ( M / [GDP-X+M] )
•
Trade per capita ([X+M] / POP )
•
…
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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3. Trade performance indicators
•
Market shares ( xc / Xtotal )
•
Export performance (Δxc –Σα* ΔMtotal )
•
…
4. Geographic concentration indicators
•
Herfindahl index of geographical concentration
Geographical distribution of export market shares
of goods
•
Geographical distribution of import penetration of
goods
•
Services trading partners
•
….
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Development of a TIP web tool
Database
Database
Database
Database
SNA/ANA
ITCS
ALFS
TIS
Database
…
Data extraction (SQL queries), data combination and calculation
of the indicators, using XL Report Builder
Creation of
dot.stat
format using
a macro
OECD.stat
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
(Planned)
flashmedia
graphs
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Access to the TIP data via
OECD.Stat Browser (planned)
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Access to the TIP data via
OECD.Stat Browser (planned)
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Access to the TIP data via
OECD.Stat Browser (planned)
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Access to the TIP data via
OECD.Stat Browser (planned)
Save in xls-Format
And/or save query
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Interactive graphic presentation
(planned)
• The trade indicators will be probably made
available as macromedia flash objects
(*.swf) [embedded in *.html]
• This will allow interactivity in the graphics
• The graphs will be produced using
“XCelsius” graphic software
…examples…
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Examples of interactive
graphs
• Trade balance vs. normalised TB
1
• Trade per capita, trade per capita to propensity 2
• Export performance 4
5
• Export/import propensity
• Trade balance to GDP
3
6
7
• Market shares 8
• Geographical origin of import penetration 9
STATISTICS DIRECTORATE INTERNATIONAL TRADE &
STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Directions for further
research
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Trade “plus” indicators, that is trade plus production
(e.g. trade orientation measures), trade plus employment
(e.g. correlation of trade and employment indicators, trade
plus FDI/trade by foreign-affiliated firms (e.g.
globalisation strategies).
More Trade in Services data is needed containing cross
tabulations by products and partner countries.
Better integration of databases and Analytical
Nomenclatures, e.g. by technology and factor intensity.
Links of customs sources with enterprise structural
statistics, as discussed at the 6th ITS meeting to allow
building up micro data on enterprise-characteristics,
performance and related trade.
Trade intensity and specialisation indicators.
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STRUCTURAL BUSINESS STATISTICS
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