Transcript The Tyndall Centre - Climate Change and Biosphere Research

A Presentation of the
Tyndall Centre
for Climate Change Research
Professor Mike Hulme
Executive Director
Climate change – the big questions
• Understanding ‘dangerous’ climate change …..
…. ecology, economics, sustainability, psychology, climate science, ethics ….
• Pathways to decarbonisation …..
….. energy, economics, technology, policy, engineering, spatial planning ….
• Place-based climate protection strategies …..
….. development studies, climate science, land-use economics, ecology,
planning
… and then there is the challenge of integration …
A brief history of modelling – re. climate
change
• mid-1970s:
global climate models – disciplinary, institute-based
• late-1980s:
IMAGE 1 – inter-disciplinarity
• early-1990s:
ESCAPE – trans-nationality
• mid-1990s:
TARGETS – holistic thinking
• late 1990s:
IMAGE 2/COOL – interactivity
• late-1990s:
participatory integrated assessment – a new paradigm
• early 2000s:
eScience – massive modularity
… conclusion – era of virtual institutes deploying the above attributes,
solving complex problems through interactive research …
The Tyndall Centre …
… key elements of what we do
•
Integrated, trans-disciplinary, multi-site
research on climate change mitigation, on
adaptation and on integration
•
Wide engagement and interactivity with
national and international stakeholders;
partnership based approach
•
Outreach, education and opinion-shaping
The Tyndall Centre partnership
CLIMATE SCIENCE
IMPACT & ADAPTATION ANALYSIS
TRANSPORT
MODELLING
APPLIED ECONOMIC MODELLING
ARCHITECTURE
University of Leeds
INTEGRATION
ENGINEERING &
TECHNOLOGY
SCENARIOS & POLICY
ENGINEERING &
TECHNOLOGY
RAL
ENGINEERING &
TECHNOLOGY
SCENARIOS & POLICY
IMPACT & ADAPTATION ANALYSIS
University of Sussex
Tyndall Centre – External Relationships
GOVERNMENT
DEFRA
DfT
DTI
Funding Business Liaison Programme
FCO DfID DoH ODPM
Regional Govt.
Devolved Govt.
European Commission
EXEC. NDPB’s
English Nature
Environment Agency
Countryside Agency
BUSINESS & INDUSTRY
OST
RESEARCH
COUNCILS
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
etc.
NERC, EPSRC, ESRC
[MRC?]
Carbon Trust
Energy Saving Trust
TYNDALL
ADVISORY NDPB’s
EXEC. AGENCIES
RESEARCH
COMMUNITY
National &
International
HA, MCA
HADLEY CENTRE
UK CIP
Some Research funding
SOCIETY
MEDIA
INTERNATIONAL
European Climate Forum
IPCC, UNFCCC
FP6 - enVISAge
NGO’s &
CHARITIES
FOE, Green
Alliance, National
Trust, BTO,
RSPB…..
Tyndall Centre - Structure
Note: All included in this
schematic are referred to as
The Tyndall Assembly,
together with the founding
endorsers of the Centre, the
“Tyndall 43”.
12.12.01
SUPERVISORY BOARD x5
NERC / EPSRC / ESRC
TYNDALL COUNCIL x16
ADVISORY BOARD x25
Private Sector 10
Public Sector 5
Academia
8
NGO
2
Annual Assessment Panel
X12 AB Members
Review Panel
x7 AB Members
Directors, Theme Managers,
and Partner Representatives
CENTRE MANAGEMENT UEA
Research Director
Executive Director
Regional Assistant Directors
RESEARCH MANAGEMENT
TEAM x10
SOUTHAMPTON & UMIST
CENTRE STAFF
• External Communications
• Business & Government Liaison
• Activities and Web Co-ordination
• Scientific Co-ordinator
• Administrator
• Secretary
Senior Research Fellows (4)
RESEARCH THEME
MANAGERS x6
RESEARCH PROJECT
LEADERS x40
RESEARCH STAFF
& STUDENTS *
*Includes affiliated students and Visiting
Fellows
BREAKDOWN OF TYNDALL CENTRE BUDGET, 2000-2005
Total budget = £10m
13%
4%
6%
Core support 20.64%
33%
Training and events 6.38%
Outreach 4.17%
Core research 13.37%
Existing research projects - internal 32.67
Existing research projects - external 16.09
21%
Research projects - not yet allocated 6.68
16%
7%
Total for project based research = 55.44%
Total for all research = 68.81%
Note: the above breakdown may be subject to adjustment
Tyndall Centre – additional funders
• International: EU FP5, Government of Portugal, GEF/UNEP, Earth
Negotiation Bulletin
• UK Government: DEFRA, DTI, DfID, Environment Agency, Sustainable
Development Commission, Eastern England Development Agency
• UK Research Councils: ESRC, NERC, MRC, Joint Infrastructure Fund
• NGOs: English Nature, Joint Nature Conservation Council, Gulbenkian
Foundation
• Business: Powergen, Shell International, Hoare Lee Engineering, Process
Integration Consortium, Renewables Northwest
Organised around four research themes
•
•
•
•
Decarbonising modern societies – a ‘targets’ approach
Adapting to climate change – a ‘questions’ approach
Sustaining the coastal zone – a ‘place-based’ approach
Integrating frameworks – a ‘systems’ approach
The
Tyndall
Wheel
Organised around four main tasks
•
Trans-disciplinary research projects
(e.g. mapping pathways towards a 40% UK)
•
Innovative agenda-setting
(e.g. integrating development policy with adaptation)
•
Strategic assessments
(e.g. equity and justice in adaptation policy; COP8)
•
Advancing the science of integration
(e.g. a Community Integrated Assessment Model)
Tyndall integrated assessment objectives
•
To design and construct a flexible multi-modular multi-disciplinary
community integrated assessment model (CIAM) to address climate policy
problems
•
To set up an interactive integrated assessment process (IIAP) in which we
work with stakeholders and decision-makers to guide the design of the
CIAM
EXAMPLE SCHEMATIC OF SIMPLE PROTOTYPE
COMMUNITY INTEGRATED ASSESSMENT MODEL (CIAM)
UK: Tyndall Economics
Module (Cambridge)
Emissions of 6 COP gases
UK: Tyndall Centre
MAGICC-SCENGEN
Climate module
(Norwich)
Netherlands:ICIS
Health module
Germany: Potsdam
IA Modules (PIAM)
DINAS-coast
Global Ecosystem
Module
Tyndall Centre
and eScience
enVISAge – an EU FP6 Network of Excellence?
a Virtual Institute for Sustainability Assessment
A partnership between national centres and
networks

Developing a joint knowledge
infrastructure for the execution of a truly
European program of research

Fostering fundamental advances in
the emergence of a science of integration
and a science of sustainability
•
Ensuring the appropriate application
of this research capacity to the production
of timely policy-relevant research on
important questions concerning the
transition to sustainability
Methodology
Stakeholder influence/social decision making
Economy
Energy
Social influences
Technical progress
World Transport
World Agriculture
adaptation
Emissions of 6 COP Gases
SO2, NOx, and PM
mitigation
Atmospheric concentrations
of 6 COP Gases, SO2, NOx,
aerosols
climate
feedbacks
Impact System
Ecosystems
Agriculture
Health
Human systems including Ecosystem feedbacks:
Regionalised sub-modules albedo from land
use/icemelt/forest change
Climate System