Transcript EEA_Andre Jol 2

Status of 2012 Climate
Change CC IVA Report(s)
André Jol, Hans-Martin Füssel
1
Indicative schedule of 2012 report
Period
Activity
Feb – March 2011
First draft outline of report and work plan
14/15 April 2011
1st full authors meeting
15 June 2011
1st Advisory Group meeting
1 Sep 2011
Updated work plan and ETC CCA technical paper
15-16 Sep 2011
2nd full authors meeting
15 Nov 2011
2nd Advisory Group meeting (following first draft report)
30 Nov 2011
3nd full authors meeting
17 April 2012
3rd Advisory Group meeting (following second draft report)
22 – 23 May 2012
Annual EIONET workshop on CC IVA
May - June 2012
Revision of chapters by authors in consultation with EEA/ETC
end June – end July 2012 External EIONET review
2
end July – end Aug 2012
Inclusion of comments from Eionet review
Sep 2012
Final editing, layouting
Oct 2012
Publication and launch
Structure of the 2012 report on climate
change, impacts, and vulnerability
1
Introduction
4
Climate impacts on sectors and systems
1.1
1.2
1.5
1.6
Purpose and outline
Scope and link to other EU and EEA activities
and products
Background and policy framework
Climate change, impact, vulnerability and
adaptation indicators
Emission scenarios underlying projections
Uncertainty in observations and projections
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
Agriculture
Forests and forestry
Fisheries
Human health
Energy
Transport
Tourism
5
Vulnerability to climate change
2
Changes in the climate system
2.1
2.2
2.3
Human influence on the climate system
Key climate variables
Cryosphere
3
Climate impacts on environmental
systems
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
Oceans and marine environment
Coastal zones
Inland waters
Terrestrial ecosystems and biodiversity
Soil
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.6
5.7
5.8
Introduction
Socio-economic scenarios for Europe
Cities and urban areas
Risks of coastal flooding
Risks of river flooding and water scarcity
An integrated risk assessment
Economic damages
References
6
Indicator and data needs
6.1
6.2
6.3
Policy needs for indicators
Observations (GCOS/GMES)
Climate change impacts, vulnerability and
adaptation research
1.3
1.4
3
Main changes since end 2011
1. Splitting the CC IVA report into two parallel reports:
• Climate change, impacts, and vulnerability (CC IV)
• Adaptation in Europe
2. Second draft CC IV report
3. Stronger integration across indicators in a section:
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Expanded overview
•
Key messages for whole section
•
Summary of data availability/quality for whole section
4. Invitation of additional expert reviewers
4
Contributors
•
European Environment Agency
•
World Health Organisation Regional Office for Europe (WHO)
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European Centre of Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)
•
Joint Research Centre (JRC)
•
European Topic Centres
• Climate Change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation
• Inland, Coastal and Marine waters
• Biological Diversity
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Advisory group
6
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European Commission (DG CLIMA, ENV, others)
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EEA Scientific Committee
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Experts involved in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
Working Group II: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability
•
UNEP/PRO-VIA (Programme of Research on Climate Change Vulnerability,
Impacts and Adaptation)
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Arctic Monitoring and Assessment (AMAP)
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European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
•
EUMETNET (European Meteorological Services Network)
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European Academy of Bozen/Bolzano (EURAC)
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Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP)
•
European Observation Network for Territorial Development and Cohesion
(ESPON) Climate project
•
European Network of Nature Conservation Agencies, Interest Group on
Climate Change Adaptation
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European Network of Environment protection agencies, Interest Group on
Climate Change Adaptation
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Federal Environment Agency, Germany
Major comments advisory group
1. Some parts are still (partly) missing or outdated
(in particular 3.2, 4.2, 4.3, 4.7 and 5)
2. Chapter 5 is very uneven and a collection of narratives
3. There are some repetitions across chapters
(e.g., 3.3 and 5)
4. The division between the CC IV report and the adaptation
report is not always clear
5. The issue of (refererence to) policies is not handled
coherently across sections
6. Many sections deviate from the agreed structure
7
Additional expert reviewers
All:
Mikael Hilden, Sergio Castellari, Andreas Marx
2.1: Jason Lowe, Wilko Hazeleger
2.3: Ewa Bednorz, Dorthe Dahl-Jensen; Eric Rignot; Regine Hock;
Michael Zemp; Ketil Isaksen; Jeannette Noetzli
3.1: Matthew Palmer
3.2: Stefan Rahmstorf
3.3: Steve Ormerod
3.4: Pam Berry, Cornelia Krug, Annette Menzel, Gian-Reto Walther,
Jelle van Minnen, Mike Harley
3.5: Jose Luis Rubio, John Feehan, Allan Lilly
4.1: Mirek Trnka, Marco Bindi, Mikhail Semenov, M. Rivington
4.2: James Morison; Wolfgang Cramer; Goran Stahl
4.5: Paul Watkiss
5.2: Birgit Georgi
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9
10
Remaining tasks
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•
Finalize missing parts (in particular in Chapter 5)
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Ensure consistency across chapters (e.g., Chapters 3 and 5)
•
Revise language (still too technical)
•
Shorten some sections/chapters
•
Finalize selection and layout of figures and maps
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Eionet review