Transcript IHOPE Research Information System (IRIS)

Steps Leading to Amsterdam and Beyond
• Since AR4, a new state of need for policy makers: from being convinced
that global change matters to needing to know how to act on it.
• This is a significant change in mindset… but also opens up opportunities
for new collaborations among different interests in the community.
• For IAV, still need to understand impacts and potential autonomous
adaptation, since this helps emphasize the case for strong mitigation;
• A much greater emphasis on frameworks for planned adaptation , and also
to robust approaches to decision-making under uncertainty are needed.
• These raise distinctive needs in adaptation research, aimed at multiple
nested scales, where improved conceptual frameworks are needed to even
express the nested (heterarchical!) nature of adaptation to decision-makers
at all scales.
ISSE/AIMES IAV Workshop, 21-23 January 2009, NCAR, CO, USA
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Future Climate Change Research on Impacts, Adaptation and
Mitigation: From the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report onward
Goal of Amsterdam meeting is to outline gaps and research needs
towards integrative climate change assessment for impact, adaptation
and mitigation.
An earlier workshop (Sydney 2007) focused on necessary
observation systems and natural science aspects (Doherty et al.,
2009). The Amsterdam ESSP workshop to focus on impacts and
responses. Ultimate goal to articulate major research questions
based on IPCC reports, recent societal trends and latest scientific
insights to guide future research strategies.
ISSE/AIMES IAV Workshop, 21-23 January 2009, NCAR, CO, USA
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Scoping topics for Amsterdam
• Integrated modeling for Earth system analysis (from speculation to
prediction)
• Integrated analysis of complex causal attribution (including observed
impacts) leading to scenarios for vulnerabilities, risks and adaptation
• Vulnerability and adaptation (including solidarity issues)
• Integrating economics for long-term climate protection
• The global deal: social costs and opportunities - including equity,
development and sustainability issues (e.g., response policies, prices
and emission pathways (transition to sustainability, new economic
paradigms).
ISSE/AIMES IAV Workshop, 21-23 January 2009, NCAR, CO, USA
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