Transcript Framework
Western Regional Modeling Framework: Technical and Planning Needs November 7, 2013 National Research Council Air Quality Management Schematic 3.) Assessing Status and Measuring Progress • • • • • 1.) Setting Standards and Objectives • • • • • Emissions trends Air quality trends Health effects trends Ecosystem trends Institutional accountability Emissions standards Ambient air quality standards Reducing acid deposition Reducing regional pollution Protecting visibility Scientific and Technical Foundation Monitoring • • • • • Emissions Ambient air quality Health and exposure Ecosystems Meteorology Analysis •Models (e.g. air quality, emissions) • Economics •Health and ecological risk assessment Research •Public health and ecosystem studies • Laboratory studies (e.g., air chemistry, toxicology) Development • Source control technology • Monitoring technology 2.) Designing and Implementing Control Strategies • • • • • • Source: National Academy of Science http://www.nap.edu/books/0309089328/html Source control technology requirements Emissions caps and trading Voluntary or incentive-based programs Energy efficiency Pollution prevention (e.g., product substitution and process alteration) Compliance assurance WRAP before BART Future Western Regional Modeling Framework • Regional technical support for air quality planning • Approach or Process to define and implement a regional modeling framework would include: – Scope for structure of ongoing framework operations – Sustain and leverage relevant ongoing projects/activities (state, multistate, federal, academia, etc.) – Timeline, costs, and financing alternatives • Emissions and Modeling work would focus on regional scale for states’ boundary or external regional conditions, to support state-by-state modeling to demonstrate attainment or reasonable progress 4 Technical and Planning Work Activities related to regional air quality Support to members: Now + Future Air Program Support (data resources, peer-to-peer contact + training) Regional Haze Implementation PM NAAQS (primary & secondary) Mercury & Nitrogen Deposition/Critical Loads Framework to provide Regional Technical Air Quality Analysis Ozone NAAQS (primary & secondary) AQ Effects of Climate Change, GHG Direct Emissions, & Energy Supply Changes Future Western Regional Modeling Framework • Technical Organization – Analyses to support air quality management and planning using retrospective/prospective analyses of: • Regional transport at various scales • Increasing use of integrated remote sensing and ground-based observational data • Improved characterization of emissions sources and fluxes • Effects of climate change on emissions and air quality • Cascading effects of changes to the “energy supply fleet” • Mechanics – Centralized – De-centralized Leveraging Effort and Outcomes between Projects EPA – BLM – Multi-member Orgs. – Private Sector - others Objectives Synergy Objectives Deliverables Innovation Deliverables $ Adaptability $ Gaps / Challenges • Stable resources for operation of web-based decision support systems which provide data, tools, and user-selected analyses • Common understanding between WRAP member agencies about a shared problem or challenge • Communicating complex technical information in a digestible form suitable for air quality planning • Staying in scope for time, questions to be answered, and resources needed, relative to synchronizing multiple projects for individual agencies’ needs • Supporting innovative analyses with available resources from different funding sources, while providing products for WRAP members that “plug into” their individual agency’s work Next Steps • Implement routine Technical Steering Committee oversight of these projects • Prepare WRAP workplan integrating currentlyfunded projects across multiple funders – Draft early 2014 – Western issues, analysis needed to solve – Identify specific gaps in resources ($, staff, time, etc.) that emerge from WRAP members – Prioritize solutions with existing resources and opportunities for extramural support – Adopt at Spring WRAP membership meeting