Transcript Time scales (long) - Climate Change and Social Learning (CCSL)

Change 4: Time Scales
Climate change = long-term problem that needs
adaptation by stakeholders now
How do these relate to the time horizons of
different actors?
How can long-term considerations be brought into
short-term concerns and action?
Theory of change
Why? Adaptive capacity will be limited if long-term
changes are not considered
How? Long-term considerations should be addressed
through short-term incentives of relevance and interest
to stakeholders for their engagement
Example of a tool to enrich existing projects through
social learning processes and make them more effective
by connecting short-term relevance to longer term
understanding of climate change and ability to adapt
Time horizons evaluation tool
– Activities (sequenced): Commission research into time
horizons building on state of the art (risk management,
psychology, behavioural economics)
– Specific scale / who is targeted: CCAFS site + subnational/hub level (coffee under pressure) + national
(scenarios)
– Where (optional): Makueni, Nyando
– Who plays what role: Topic experts, project organizers,
stakeholders
– Time needed to do it: 6 person/months research, 1-3
person/months testing + travel
– Funding ballpark: 100K USD
– Social differentiation: Target different groups
Incentives framework
– Activities (sequenced): Commission research building into
incentives based on state of the art (psych, eco, risk +
development social science)
– Specific scale / who is targeted: Retro-apply to scenarios,
coffee under pressure, on-going risk management projects
– Where (optional): CCAFS target regions
– Who plays what role: Topic experts, project organizers,
stakeholders
– Time needed to do it: 3 person/months research, 1-3
person/months testing + research
– Funding ballpark: 70K USD
– Social differentiation: Target different groups
Evaluating change
– Activities (sequenced): Applying the tool to evaluate
impacts
– Specific scale / who is targeted: Previously involved
projects
– Where (optional): CCAFS target regions
– Who plays what role: Topic experts, project
organizers, stakeholders
– Time needed to do it: 6 person/months research
person/months testing + research
– Funding ballpark: 60K USD
– Social differentiation: Target different groups