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Tools and Resources for Preparing for Climate Change Lara Whitely Binder Climate Impacts Group University of Washington February 12, 2009 Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment Climate Science in the Public Interest Caveat Additional tools and resources not included in this presentation exist. WACCIA Papers Final draft released February 11, 2009 Updated climate impacts information for Washington in 8 key sectors Web content, fact sheets, and other summary material will be made available WACCIA Data Archives More than 4 terabytes of meteorological and hydrologic data produced for the WACCIA assessment Simulated data for the region broken down into 1/16th degree scale (~12.5 sq.km squares) …a first for the region Will be made available to the public free of charge (summer 2009?) Climate Data Temperature and precipitation data for 20th century, 2020s, 2040s, 2080s For each time period, data are available for: Average annual, seasonal, monthly, daily time steps Individual emissions scenarios (B1, A1B) Individual global climate models for each scenario (e.g., ECHAM5 B1 scenario) All but monthly and daily data currently available at: http://cses.washington.edu/cig/fpt/ccscenarios.shtml Hydrologic Data (WACCIA/HB 2860) 2 Emissions Scenarios X 20 GCMs 2 X Downscaling Approaches IPCC Climate Scenarios Hydrology Modeling Approach provides ensemble of variables that can be used to evaluate impacts of climate change 40+ realizations of future streamflow variability at each location WACCIA/HB 2860 Streamflow Locations Upper Columbia River Basin Yakima River Basin 271 Sites Kootenai River Basin Salmon River Basin Mainstem Columbia River Basin Willamette River Basin Snake River Basin WACCIA/HB 2860 Hydrologic Data Data Variable 271 Sites Output includes… Naturalized streamflow Regulated streamflow Changes is flood frequency (100 yr flood) Changes in low flow (7Q10) Drought frequency, severity, duration analysis Analysis of streamflow timing shifts Gridded Data (16th degree) Variables include… Min/Max temperature Precipitation Soil Moisture Potential evapotranspiration Snowpack (SWE, depth) Date of peak SWE Date of 90% SWE melt Fraction of precipitation as rain Another sector-specific example… Summer Streamflow Temp Data Weekly average summer (Jun-Sept) streamflow temperature data available for 133 stations (see dots) around the state Motivation for writing grew out of October 2005 King County climate change conference Written by the CIG and King County, WA in association with ICLEI – Local Governments for Sustainability Written to compliment ICLEI’s “Climate Resilient Communities” Program Focused on the process (not a sector), and written for a national audience Conference copies made possible by Planning Process Steps (i.e., the core of the guidebook) Collect and review basic information on climate change impacts to your region Build internal and external support for climate change preparedness Create your preparedness team Identify your community’s vulnerabilities to climate change Develop and implement your preparedness plan Measure your progress and update your plan Appendix D of the Guidebook: Science Sources Appendix D (cont’d): Impacts and Adaptation Sources CIG Website Summary information on PNW climate and climate impacts Climate change scenarios CIG publications Quarterly electronic newsletter “climateupdate” list serve http://cses.washington.edu/cig/ CASES Database (in development) Searchable adaptation case study database Search criteria include: ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Country, state, city Population size Impact areas of concern Types of adaptation activities User-driven content Spring 2009 (antic.) • • • • • Outlook Climate Data Fun Climate Facts Climate Events Newsletter Includes the PNW Temperature, Precipitation, and SWE Trends Analysis tool (1889-2006) http://www.climate.washington.edu/ USEPA Climate Change Portal http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/index.html www.realclimate.org Products and tools to support planning for climate change are becoming being developed around the nation. Stay tuned!