Transcript ISPD-02 Invited Talk - Roadmap and Vision for PD

A Roadmap and Vision for
Physical Design
ISPD-2002
April 9, 2002
Andrew B. Kahng, UCSD CSE & ECE Departments
email: [email protected]
URL: http://vlsicad.ucsd.edu
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
1
Outline
• What we need
– ITRS challenges, logical/circuit/physical needs
– SRC needs
• What we do
– Allocation of effort, versus needs and resources
– Harmful practices
• What we need to do
– Coopetition
– Shared red bricks
• What we need to do, II
– A top-10 list
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
2
The “Red Brick Wall” - 2001 vs. 1999
Source: Semiconductor International - http://www.e-insite.net/semiconductor/index.asp?layout=article&articleId=CA187876
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
3
Roadmap Acceleration and Deceleration
2001 versus 1999
Year of Production:
1999
DRAM Half-Pitch [nm]:
180
130
100
Overlay Accuracy [nm]:
65
45
35
MPU Gate Length [nm]:
140 85-90
CD Control [nm]:
14
TOX (equivalent) [nm]:
1.9-2.5
Junction Depth [nm]:
17
3.5-4.0
Source: A. Allan, Intel
65
9
42-70
Metal Cladding [nm]:
Inter-Metal Dielectric K:
2002
6
2005
2008
70
2011
50
25
35
20
45
15
30-32
4
1.5-1.9 1.0-1.5
20-22
3
0.8-1.2
25-43
20-33
13
10
2.7-3.5
2014
2
0.6-0.8 0.5-0.6
16-26
11-19
8-13
000
1.6-2.2
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
1.5
4
An ITRS Analogy
• ITRS is like a car
• Before, two drivers (husband = MPU, wife =
DRAM)
• The drivers looked mostly in the rear-view mirror
(destination = “Moore’s Law”)
• Many passengers in the car (ASIC, SOC, Analog,
Mobile, Low-Power, Networking/Wireless, …)
wanted to go different places
• This year:
– Some passengers became drivers
– All drivers explain more clearly where they are going
– See the new “System Drivers” Chapter of the ITRS
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
5
HP / LOP / LSTP Device Roadmaps
Parameter
Type
99
01
03
05
07
10
13
16
Vdd
MPU
LOP
LSTP
Vth (V)
MPU
LOP
LSTP
Ion (uA/um) MPU
LOP
LSTP
CV/I (ps)
MPU
LOP
LSTP
1.5
1.3
1.3
0.21
0.34
0.51
1041
636
300
2.00
3.50
4.21
1.2
1.2
1.2
0.19
0.34
0.51
926
600
300
1.63
2.55
4.61
1.0
1.1
1.2
0.13
0.36
0.53
967
600
400
1.16
2.02
2.96
0.9
1.0
1.2
0.09
0.33
0.54
924
600
400
0.86
1.58
2.51
0.7
0.9
1.1
0.05
0.29
0.52
1091
700
500
0.66
1.14
1.81
0.6
0.8
1.0
0.021
0.29
0.49
1250
700
500
0.39
0.85
1.43
0.5
0.7
0.9
0.003
0.25
0.45
1492
800
600
0.23
0.56
0.91
0.4
0.6
0.9
0.003
0.22
0.45
1507
900
800
0.16
0.35
0.57
Ioff (uA/um) MPU
LOP
LSTP
0.00
1e-4
1e-6
0.01
1e-4
1e-6
0.07
1e-4
1e-6
0.30
3e-4
1e-6
1.00
7e-4
1e-6
3
1e-3
3e-6
7
3e-3
7e-6
10
1e-2
1e-5
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
6
Silicon Complexity Challenges
• Impact of process scaling, new materials, new
device/interconnect architectures
• Non-ideal scaling (leakage, power management, circuit/device
innovation, current delivery)
• Coupled high-frequency devices and interconnects (signal
integrity analysis and management)
• Manufacturing variability (library characterization, analog and
digital circuit performance, error-tolerant design, layout
reusability, static performance verification methodology/tools)
• Scaling of global interconnect performance (communication,
synchronization)
• Decreased reliability (SEU, gate insulator tunneling and
breakdown, joule heating and electromigration)
• Complexity of manufacturing handoff (reticle enhancement and
mask writing/inspection flow, manufacturing NRE cost)
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
7
System Complexity Challenges
• Exponentially increasing transistor counts, with increased
diversity (mixed-signal SOC, …)
• Reuse (hierarchical design support, heterogeneous SOC
integration, reuse of verification/test/IP)
• Verification and test (specification capture, design for
verifiability, verification reuse, system-level and software
verification, AMS self-test, noise-delay fault tests, test reuse)
• Cost-driven design optimization (manufacturing cost modeling
and analysis, quality metrics, die-package co-optimization, …)
• Embedded software design (platform-based system design
methodologies, software verification/analysis, codesign w/HW)
• Reliable implementation platforms (predictable chip
implementation onto multiple fabrics, higher-level handoff)
• Design process management (team size / geog distribution,
data mgmt, collaborative design, process improvement)
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
8
Big-Picture Design Technology Crises
Incremental Cost Per Transistor
Test
Turnaround Time
NRE Cost
Manufacturing
SW Design
Verification
HW Design
•
•
•
•
•
2-3X more verification engineers than designers on microprocessor teams
Software = 80% of system development cost (and Analog design hasn’t scaled)
Design NRE > 10’s of $M  manufacturing NRE $1M
Design TAT = months or years  manufacturing TAT = weeks
Without DFT, test cost per transistor grows exponentially relative to mfg cost
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
9
SRC Grand Challenges
1. Extend CMOS to its ultimate limit
2. Support continuation of Moore's Law by providing a knowledge base for
CMOS replacement devices
3. Enable Wireless/Telecomm systems by addressing technical barriers in
design, test, process, device and packaging technologies
4. Create mixed-domain transistor and device interconnection technologies,
architectures, and tools for future microsystems that mitigate the limitations
projected by ITRS
5. Search for radical, cost effective post NGL patterning options
6. Provide low-cost environmentally benign IC processes
7. Increase factory capital utilization efficiency through operational modeling
8. Provide design tools and techniques which enhance design productivity
and reduce cost for correct, manufacturable and testable SOC's and
SOP's
9. Enable low power and low voltage solutions for mobile/battery conserving
applications through system and circuit design, test and packaging
approaches.
10. Enable very low cost components
11. Provide tools enabling rapid implementation of new system
architectures 10
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
SRC ICSS Key Technologies (Top 12)
Systems
Circuits
S3.2: Early Design Space
Exploration
S1.2: Low Power, Real-Time
Algorithms and
Architectures
S4.1: On-Chip
Communication
S1.3: High Bandwidth and/or
Low Power
Communication
S2.4: Deep Submicron
Aware Microarchitectures,
Accounting for Noise,
Power, Timing,
Interconnects, etc.
S1.1: High Level
Specifications of Complex
Systems
C1.2: Digital Low Power
and/or Low Voltage Circuit
Design
C2.1: Mixed Signal Circuits
on Advanced Technologies
C2.4: Mixed Signal Low
Power and/or Low Voltage
Circuit Design
C1.1: Digital Circuits on
Advanced Technologies
C2.3: Mixed Signal Design
for Test
C2.2: Mixed Signal Noise
Immune and/or Tolerant
Circuits
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
11
ITRS Logical/Physical/Circuit Challenges
• Efficient and predictable implementation
• Scalable, incremental analyses and optimizations
• Unified implementation/interconnect planning and
estimation/prediction
• Synchronization and global signaling
• Heterogeneous system composition
• Links to verification and test
• Reliable, predictable fabric- and application-specific silicon
implementation platforms
• Cost-driven implementation flows
• Variability and design-manufacturing interface
• Uncertainty of fundamental chip parameters (timing, skew, matching)
due to manufacturing and dynamic variability sources
• Process modeling and characterization
• Cost-effective circuit, layout and reticle enhancement to manage
manufacturing variability
• Increasing atomic-scale variability effects
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
12
ITRS Logical/Physical/Circuit Challenges
• Silicon complexity, non-ideal device scaling and
power management
•
•
•
•
Leakage and power management
Reliability and fault tolerance
Analysis complexity and consistent analyses / synthesis objectives
Recapture of reliability lost in manufacturing test
• Circuit design to fully exploit device technology
innovation
• Support for new circuit families that address power and performance
challenges
• Implementation tools for SOI
• Analog synthesis
• Increasing atomic-scale effects
• Adaptive and self-repairing circuits
• Low-power sensing and sensor interface circuits; micro-optical
devices
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
13
SRC CADT PD Research Needs
(2002 Draft)
– Placement and Routing
– Synthesis/Layout
Integration
– Power Distribution and
Analysis
– High Level Planning and
Estimation
– Clocking Design and
Analysis Above 15GHz
– Interconnect Synthesis
and Analysis
– Timing Analysis and
Verification
– Correct by Construction
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
14
Outline
• What we need
– ITRS challenges, logical/circuit/physical needs
– SRC needs
• What we do
– Allocation of effort, versus needs and resources
– Harmful practices
• What we need to do
– Coopetition
– Shared red bricks
• What we need to do, II
– A top-10 list
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
15
Our Resources
• 6000 EDA R&D, worldwide (Gartner/Dataquest)
• EDA tools revenue per designer has increased by
3.9% per year over past decade
• Ratio of design value over design effort is perceived
to decrease as level of abstraction moves downward
from behavior to layout
• PD is at most one-sixth (by market size, or by
headcount) of EDA and design technology
• 150-200 ISPD attendees, ~60 DAC/ICCAD/ISPD
papers in PD domain, per year
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
16
Research Funding Gap Study
• C. Nuese, SRC
• Research needs
– Time frame 2008+ (50-, 35-, and 22-nm nodes in ITRS)
– Assessed by SRC Science Area Directors (131 total tasks)
• Research funding
– 2001 used for all data
– U.S., Europe, Japan and Asia-Pacific
– Assumed % of R&D (or % of Sales)
Industry
Semiconductor Industry:
U.S. & Foreign
Equipment, Materials &
EDA Suppliers
Source: C. Nuese / SRC
Government
U.S. Gov’t Foreign Gov’ts
•
•
•
•
NSF
DARPA
DoD S&T
DoE
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
MEDEA+
6th Framework
LETI
IMEC
ASUKA
MIRAI
SELETE
STARC
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
17
Funding Model
Industry funding for ITRS nodes
as % of
Sales
By Semiconductor Industry
By Semi Equipment Suppliers
By Semi Material Suppliers
By EDA suppliers
Redundancy in WW Research Funding
(Due to uncoordinated project funding
between different regions of the world)
Lack of WW Research "Accessibility"
2.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.5%
% Redund
30%
% Accessible
of Asian results to U.S. researchers
of European results to U.S. researchers
40%
70%
of U.S. results to Asian researchers
of European results to Asian researchers
70%
70%
of U.S. results to European researchers
of Asian results to European researchers
80%
50%
Forecast Change in Semiconductor Sales between
year 2000 & 2001 (in %)
Source: C. Nuese / SRC
0.24%
0.06%
0.00%
0.11%
as % of
R&D
-16.7%
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
18
Research Funding Gap Results
Summary 2001 Industry Funding
Research
Needs$M
U.S.
Gov’t Funding
2001NEEDS
Industry #Tasks
Funding
RESEARCH
Funds
LT ITRS
Foreign
Government
Funding
$1,406M
Total Science Areas
Science Area
($M)
Sales
R&D
LT
ITRS
Research Needs
#Tasks
Science Area
Funds
($ M)
Front-end Processing
22
150
Proc Integr, Dev & Struct
15
280
25
245
Patterning
Industry
Sales
($B)
R&D
($B)
Semiconductors
170
21
413
35
4
22
Equip Suppliers
Funds
($M)
Agency/Program
13
153
LT ITRS
($M)
Industry
Europe
Japan
& Asia-Pacific
RESEARCH
FUNDING ($B)
Mat’rl22
Suppliers
26
1
($B)
($M)
Front-end
150
26 Processing
280
$442M3
DARPA
Ckt Des & Sys Arch
Industry
20
168
4
Proc
Integr,
Dev
& Struct
15
280
Microsystems
Tech Office
Semiconductors
170 EDA Suppliers
2188
4131Amount4
(~
0.8% of sales)
ES&H
5 1,406
30 Amount
131
Semiconductor
Mfg Program
413
Program
Office
Factory Integr
5Info Tech
100
Total 25 18
Patterning
245 22 ($M)
($M)
EquipEquipment
Suppliers
35
4
Suppliers
22
Office
3
U.S. Gov’tInterconnects
Funding Defense Sciences
13
153
European
Community
95
Sub-0.1
micron
Project
30
Materials
Suppliers
3
DUSD
(S&T)
Mat’rl
Suppliers
26
1
3
LT ITRS
6th Framework Funds
Foreign
Government
Funding
CAD
26 $442M
280
STARC
phase)
21
Agency/Program Design
($M)
EDA
Suppliers
4(next
Misc
10
Europe
Japan
&
Asia-Pacific
EDA
4
1 45
4
MEDEA-Plus
23 Industry
DARPA
Ckt
DesSuppliers
&Nanotechnology
Sys Arch
20
168
SELETE
(next
phase)
31 Amount
Total
Amount
Program
Program
Microsystems
Tech Office
88
Microelectronics
IMEC, LETI,
Fraunhofer
55
Total
($M)
Government
ES&H
5 6 $442M
30
MARAI ($M)
14
Info Tech Office
18
DoE
European Community 6
95
Sub-0.1 micron Project
30
Other
25
U.S.
254
Framework
Defense
Sciences Office
3
Factory
Integr
5
100
131$548M
Misc
30 STARC
(~ 0.8%
of sales)
(next phase)
21
1,406
MEDEA-Plus
23
Total
Europe
198
DUSD (S&T)
SELETE (next phase) 96
31
NSF
Total
198
IMEC, LETI, Fraunhofer
55
Interconnects
Design CAD
th
10
Electronics
1 MARAI
Japan
& Asia-Pac
9625 $990M
Other
U.S.
$ 224M 5
Nanotechnology
45
Comp
& Info
Sciences
Total
Government
Total
Total
198 $416M
Microelectronics
6
Engr Res Centers
8
Europe
$ 47M
$254M
DoE
Research
Funding
Foreign Total
redundancy
and
inaccessibility
significantly
Nanotechnology
41
Misc
30
Japan
$
171M
increase
size
of effective
research gap.
$254M
WW
RESEARCH
GAP
NSF
Misc
14
96
Totals
Electronics
Source:
C. Nuese /
SRC
1
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
19
Anatomy of ITRS PD Needs
• Analog layout synthesis and reuse
• Layout-BIST synergies for UDSM fault models
• New paradigms for global signaling, synchronization
and system-level interconnect
• Modeling and simulation
• Mitigation of increased process variability and nonrecurring costs in mask and foundry flows
• Multi-(Vdd, Vt, tox, biasing) performance optimization
• …
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
20
Anatomy of Recent PD Literature
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
(1) placement / partitioning
(2) routing / global routing / wireplanning
(3) interconnect tree (buffered / Steiner / RAT / …) construction
(4) floorplanning / block packing / macro-cell placement
(5) performance optimization (sizing, etc.)
(6) RTL-down methodology / flow
(7) clock
(8) power
(9) custom layout (transistor-level / migration / compaction)
(10) analog
(11) manufacturability / yield
(12) logical-physical interactions
(13) signal integrity
Table: DAC (Y) / ICCAD (Y) / ISPD (Y+1), in Y = 1996, …, 2001
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
21
Distribution of Physical Design
Papers Among 13 Topics
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
SI
L-P
Mfg
Ana
FC
VDD
Clk
Flo
PO
FP
Int
RT
P/P
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
22
Dissimilarity by Compression 
File
ABK
CADT
ICSS
L/P/C
Si/Sys
Strat
.gz
665
187
352
793
814
620
+97.gz +02.gz
2008
1985
1525
1498
1685
1660
2118
2066
2143
2104
1941
1911
97
0.937
0.934
0.930
0.925
0.927
0.922
02
0.939
0.933
0.931
0.906
0.918
0.919
• ((ISPD97 + CADT).gz – CADT.gz) / ISPD97.gz
• ((ISPD97 + ISPD02).gz – ISPD02.gz) / ISPD97.gz = 0.78
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
23
Outline
• What we need
– ITRS challenges, logical/circuit/physical needs
– SRC needs
• What we do
– Allocation of effort, versus needs and resources
– Harmful practices
• What we need to do
– Coopetition
– Shared red bricks
• What we need to do, II
– A top-10 list
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
24
What Is Going On Here?
• Three pernicious phenomena
– (1) Long lead times and latencies: formulation to solution to
technology transfer to marketplace …
– (2) High startup costs and other barriers to entry in research
– (3) Research field recreates itself in its own image
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
25
It’s Not A Moving Target
• PD roadmap has been static
– Convergent integration of logic, timing, spatial embedding
– Unification of incremental timing/SI closure with PA
backplane
– Methodology and routing contexts
• Some references
–
–
–
–
NTRS/ITRS since 1994
1995 Sematech CHDS specification
L. Scheffer, PDW96: “We’re Solving the Wrong Problems”
Other examples listed in paper
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
26
Hello?
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
27
Hello??
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
28
Too Much Back-Filling?
• Practice of putting well-known and already
commercialized techniques into the public literature
– Some impact on IP and research efficiency, but only if there
is adequate transfer of the resulting technology!
• Standard planning framework, next-generation
detailed routers, etc. are better left to industry
• Academia would benefit from more industry-strength
shared research infrastructures
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
29
What Should Be Novel in Research?
• Novelty in formulation, or novelty in optimization?
• Claim: PD is focusing more on “novel” problem
statements, while only transferring or reusing core
optimization techniques
– 15+ years ago: PD was the source of simulated annealing,
LP relaxation/rounding, hierarchical routing, etc.
– Past decade: mostly transferring methods (e.g., multilevel
(PDW96, DAC97))
• Again: “We’re solving the wrong problems”
– Cf. “packing obsession” in floorplanning literature
– Shortage of optimization tools
– No shortage of problems
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
30
Outline
• What we need
– ITRS challenges, logical/circuit/physical needs
– SRC needs
• What we do
– Allocation of effort, versus needs and resources
– Harmful practices
• What we need to do
– Mindset Change #1: Coopetition
– Mindset Change #2: Shared red bricks
• What we need to do, II
– A top-10 list
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
31
Vision: Improved Design Technology Productivity
• MARCO GSRC Calibrating Achievable Design theme
• http://vlsicad.ucsd.edu/GSRC/
• Improved design technology planning (“specify”):
• What will the design problem look like? What do we need to solve?
• Improved execution (“develop”):
• How can we quickly (TTM) develop the right design technology (QOR)?
• Reusable, commodity, foundation CAD-IP (+ new publication
standards)
• Improved measurement (“measure and improve” ):
• Did we solve the problem (QOR)? Did the design process improve?
Did we increase the envelope of achievable design?
• Design tool/process metrics, design process instrumentation and
continuous process improvement
• Ethos of “coopetition” (cooperation among competitors)
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
32
“Living ITRS” Framework
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
33
CAD-IP Reuse
• Rapid development and evaluation of fundamental
algorithm technology, via CAD-IP reuse
• CAD-IP = Data models and benchmarks
– context descriptions and use models
– testcases and good solutions
• CAD-IP = Algorithms and algorithm analyses
–
–
–
–
mathematical formulations
comparison and evaluation methodologies for algorithms
executables and source code of implementations
leading-edge performance results
• CAD-IP = Traditional (paper-based) publications
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
34
MARCO GSRC Bookshelf: A Repository for
CAD-IP
• New element of VLSI CAD culture
– “Community memory” currently centered in back-end
• data models, algorithms, implementations
• repository for open-source “foundation CAD-IP”
– Publication medium that supports efficient CAD R&D
• benchmarks, performance results
• algorithm descriptions and analyses
• quality implementations (e.g., open-source UCLA PDTools)
• Enables comparisons to identify best approaches
• Enables communication by industry of use models,
problem formulations
• http://gigascale.org/bookshelf/
• Have you open-sourced your code in the Bookshelf?
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
35
Outline
• What we need
– ITRS challenges, logical/circuit/physical needs
– SRC needs
• What we do
– Allocation of effort, versus needs and resources
– Harmful practices
• What we need to do
– Mindset Change #1: Coopetition
– Mindset Change #2: Shared red bricks
• What we need to do, II
– A top-10 list
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
36
What Is A “Red Brick” ?
• Red Brick = ITRS Technology Requirement with
no known solution
• Alternate definition: Red Brick = something that
REQUIRES billions of dollars in R&D investment
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
37
Another ITRS Analogy
• ITRS technologies are like parts of the car
• Every one takes the “engine” point of view when
it defines its requirements
– “Why, you may take the most gallant sailor, the most intrepid airman, the
most audacious soldier, put them at a table together – what do you get?
The sum of their fears.” - Winston Churchill
• All parts must work together to make the car go
smoothly
• Need global optimization of resource allocations
with respect to requirements  shared red bricks
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
38
“Design-Manufacturing Integration”
• 2001 ITRS Design Chapter: “Manufacturing
Integration” = one of five Cross-Cutting Challenges
• Goal: share red bricks with other ITRS technologies
– Lithography CD variability requirement  new Design
techniques that can better handle variability
– Mask data volume requirement  solved by Design-Mfg
interfaces and flows that pass functional requirements,
verification knowledge to mask writing and inspection
– ATE cost and speed red bricks  solved by DFT, BIST/BOST
techniques for high-speed I/O, signal integrity, analog/MS
– Does “X initiative” have as much impact as copper?
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
39
Example Red Brick: Dielectric Permittivity
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
DRAM ½ PITCH (nm) (SC. 2.0)
130
115
100
90
80
70
65
MPU/ASIC ½ PITCH (nm) (SC. 3.7)
150
130
107
90
80
70
65
MPU PRINTED GATE LENGTH (nm) (SC. 3.7)
90
75
65
53
45
40
35
MPU PHYSICAL GATE LENGTH (nm) (SC. 3.7)
65
53
45
37
32
28
25
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
13
11
10
9
8
Y EAR
TECHNOLOGY NODE
Conductor effective resistivity
2.2
2.2
(-cm) Cu intermediate wiring*
Barrier/cladding thickness
18
15
(for Cu intermediate wiring) (nm)
Interlevel metal insulator
3.0-3.7 3.0–3.7
—effective dielectric constant ()
Interlevel metal insulator (minimum
2.7
2.7
expected)
—bulk dielectric constant ()
2.9–3.5 2.5–3.0 2.5–3.0 2.5–3.0 2.0–2.5
2.7
2.2
2.2
2.2
1.7
Bulk and effective dielectric constants
Porous low-k requires alternative planarization solutions
Cu at all nodes - conformal barriers
C. Case, BOC Edwards – ITRS-2001
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
40
Example Red Brick: Copper Resistivity
Cu Resistivity vs. Linewidth WITHOUT Cu Barrier
Resistivity (uohm-cm)
2.5
2.4
2.3
2.2
2.1
100nm ITRS Requirement
WITH Cu Barrier
2
1.9
1.8
70nm ITRS Requirement
WITH Cu Barrier
1.7
1.6
1.5
0
0.1
Conductor resistivity increases
expected to appear around 100 nm linewidth will impact intermediate wiring first - ~ 2006
C. Case, BOC Edwards – ITRS-2001
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Line Width (um)
Courtesy of SEMATECH
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
41
PD + PIDS (Devices/Structures)
• CV/I trend (17% per year improvement) = “constraint”
• Huge increase in subthreshold Ioff
– Room temperature: increases from 0.01 uA/um in 2001 to
10 uA/um at end of ITRS (22nm node)
• At operating temperatures (100 – 125 deg C), increase by 15 - 40x
– Standby power challenge
•
•
•
•
Manage multi-Vt, multi-Vdd, multi-Tox in same core
Aggressive substrate biasing
Constant-throughput power minimization
Modeling and controls passed to operating system and applications
• Aggressive reduction of Tox
– Physical Tox thickness < 1.4nm (down to 1.0nm) starting in
2001, even if high-k gate dielectrics arrive in 2004
– Variability challenge: “10%” < one atomic monolayer
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
42
PD + Lithography
• 10% CD uniformity is a red brick today
• 10% < 1 atomic monolayer at end of ITRS
• This year: Lithography, PIDS, FEP agreed to raise CD
uniformity requirement to 15% (but still a red brick)
• Design for variability
– Novel circuit topologies
– Circuit optimization (conflict between slack minimization and
guardbanding of quadratically increasing delay sensitivity)
– Centering and design for $/wafer
• Design for when devices, interconnects no longer
100% guaranteed correct?
– Potentially huge savings in manufacturing, verification, test
costs
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
43
PD + Assembly and Packaging
• Goal: cost control ($0.07/pin, $2 package, …)
• “Grand Challenge” for A&P: work with Design to
develop die-package co-analysis, co-optimization tools
• Bump/pad counts scale with chip area only
– Effective bump pitch roughly constant at 300um
– MPU pad counts flat from 2001-2005, but chip current draw increases 64%
• IR drop control challenge
– Metal requirements explode with Ichip and wiring resistance
• Power challenge
– 50 W/cm2 limit for forced-air cooling; MPU area becomes flat because
power budget is flat
– More control (e.g., dynamic frequency and supply scaling) given to OS and
application
– Long-term: Peltier-type thermoelectric cooling, …
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
44
PD + Manufacturing Test
• High-speed interfaces (networking, memory I/O)
– Frequencies on same scale as overall tester timing accuracy
• Heterogeneous SOC design
– Test reuse
– Integration of distinct test technologies within single device
– Analog/mixed-signal test
• Reliability screens failing
– Burn-in screening not practical with lower Vdd, higher power
budgets  overkill impact on yield
• Design challenges: DFT, BIST  PD IS in the loop!
–
–
–
–
Analog/mixed-signal
Signal integrity and advanced fault models
BIST for single-event upsets (in logic as well as memory)
Reliability-related fault tolerance
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
45
How to Share Red Bricks
• Cost is the biggest missing link within the ITRS
–
–
–
–
–
Manufacturing cost (silicon cost per transistor)
Manufacturing NRE cost (mask, probe card, …)
Design NRE cost (engineers, tools, integration, …)
Test cost
Technology development cost  who should solve a given
red brick wall?
• Return On Investment (ROI) = Value / Cost
– Value needs to be defined (“design quality”, “time-to-market”)
• Understanding cost and ROI allows sensible sharing of
red bricks across industries
• PD is at the heart of these potential partnerships
• PD is in the best position to share R&D investment!
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
46
Outline
• What we need
– ITRS challenges, logical/circuit/physical needs
– SRC needs
• What we do
– Allocation of effort, versus needs and resources
– Harmful practices
• What we need to do
– Coopetition
– Shared red bricks
• What we need to do, II
– A top-10 list
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
47
A Top-10 List
• (0) Sensible unifications to co-optimize global signaling,
manufacturability enhancement, and clock/test/power
distribution
• (1) Fundamental new combinatorial optimization
technologies (and possibly geometry engines) for
future constraint-dominated layout regimes
• (2) New decomposition schemes for physical design
• (3) Global routing that is truly path-timing aware, truly
combinatorial, and able to invoke “atomistic”
interconnect synthesis
• (4) In-context layout synthesis that maximizes process
window while meeting electrical (functional) spec
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
48
A Top-10 List
• (5) Efficient analog and mixed-signal layout synthesis
• (6) Methods for synchronization and global signaling at
multi-GHz or –Gbps, extending to system-level
• (7) Analysis, modeling and simulation methods that are
tied more closely to PD syntheses, and that adapt to
resource and accuracy and fidelity constraints
• (8) Revival of platform-specific (parallel, distributed,
hardware-accelerated) algorithm implementations
• (9) Mindset changes, including a culture of “duplicating,
deconstructing and debunking”
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
49
Conclusions
• PD roadmap is static and well-known
• There is a mismatch with semiconductor industry
needs, and basic problems remain untouched
• We in academia should not overemphasize back-filling
and formulation over innovation and optimization
• As a community, we must become more mature and
efficient in how we prioritize research directions and
use our human resources
• The scope of PD must expand: up, down, out, back –
even as renewed focus is placed on basic optimization
technology
• PD is at the heart of shared red bricks – we should and
must seize this opportunity for new R&D investment
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
50
Thank you !
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
51
Analogy #1
• ITRS is like a car
• Before, two drivers (husband = MPU, wife =
DRAM)
• The drivers looked mostly in the rear-view mirror
(destination = “Moore’s Law”)
• Many passengers in the car (ASIC, SOC, Analog,
Mobile, Low-Power, Networking/Wireless, …)
wanted to go different places
• This year:
– Some passengers became drivers
– All drivers explain more clearly where they are going
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
52
Design Chapter Outline
• Introduction
– Scope of design technology
– Complexities (silicon, system)
• Design Cross-Cutting Challenges
–
–
–
–
–
Productivity
Power
Manufacturing Integration
Interference
Error-Tolerance
• Details given w.r.t. five traditional technology areas
– Design Process, System-Level, Logical/Physical/Circuit,
Functional Verification, Test
– Each area: table of challenges + mapping to driver classes
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
53
2001 Big Picture
• Message: Cost of Design threatens continuation of the
semiconductor roadmap
– New Design cost model
– Challenges are now Crises
• Strengthen bridge between semiconductors and
applications, software, architectures
– Frequency and bits are not the same as efficiency and utility
– New System Drivers chapter, with productivity and power foci
• Strengthen bridges between ITRS technologies
– Are there synergies that “share red bricks” more costeffectively than independent technological advances?
– “Manufacturing Integration” cross-cutting challenge
– “Living ITRS” framework to promote consistency validation
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
54
Design Cost Model
• Engineer cost per year increases 5% / year ($181,568 in 1990)
• EDA tool cost per year (per engineer) increases 3.9% per year
($99,301 in 1990)
• Productivity due to 8 major Design Technology innovations (3.5
of which are still unavailable) : RTL methodology; In-house P&R;
Tall-thin engineer; Small-block reuse; Large-block reuse; IC
implementation suite; Intelligent testbench; Electronic Systemlevel methodology
• Matched up against SOC-LP PDA content:
– SOC-LP PDA design cost = $15M in 2001
– Would have been $342M without EDA innovations and the resulting
improvements in design productivity
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
55
Design Cost of SOC-LP PDA Driver
SOC Design Cost Model
ES Level Methodology
Intelligent Testbench
IC Implementation tools
Large Block Reuse
Small Block Reuse
$342,417,579
$1,000,000,000
$15,066,373
Total Design Cost
(log scale)
$10,000,000,000
Tall Thin Engineer
In-House P&R
$100,000,000,000
$100,000,000
RTL Methodology Only
With all Future Improvements
$10,000,000
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
Year
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
56
Methodology Basic Precepts
• Exploit reuse
• Evolve rapidly
– Analyses and simulation  models and verifications 
objectives and constraints for synthesis and optimization
– Bottom-up commoditization (e.g., analyses, physical layout /
verification)
•
•
•
•
Avoid iteration
Replace verification by prevention
Improve predictability
Orthogonalize concerns
– Behavior from architecture; timing from layout; …
• Expand scope, and unify
– E.g., down to manufacturing, up to package/system
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
57
Future Design System Architecture
Required Advance in Design System Architecture
Today 130 nm
• Verification moves to
higher levels,
followed in lower
levels by equivalence
checking and
assertion driven
optimizations
HW / SW
Optimization
• Integration through
modular open
architecture with
industry standard
interface for data
control
• Incremental specification,
synthesis (optimization)
and analysis
Functional
Verification
Cockpit
SW
Logic Synthesis
+ Timing Analysis
+ Placement Opt
File
System
Model
Functional
Performance
Testability
Verification
SPEC
Perf
Model
SW
Opt
Equivalence checking
• Shared data in memory
to eliminate disk
accesses in critical
loops with common
data for cooperating
applications
RTL
System
Design
System
Model
EQ check
• Design optimized over
many constraints with
tightly integrated
analyses and syntheses
(optimizations)
System
Design
Tomorrow 50 nm
Performance
Testability
Verification
Auto-Pilot
Optimize
HW/SW
SW
Logic
Timing
Circuit
Embedding
Interconnect
other
Comm.
HW/SW/
Mfg Data
Model
Repository
Analyze
Perf
Timing
Power
Noise
Test.
Mfg
Cost
other
MASKS
Placement
+ Timing Analysis
+ Logic Opt
File
MASKS
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
58
Analogy #2
• ITRS technologies are like parts of the car
• Every one takes the “engine” point of view when
it defines its requirements
– “Why, you may take the most gallant sailor, the most intrepid airman, the
most audacious soldier, put them at a table together – what do you get?
The sum of their fears.” - Winston Churchill
• All parts must work together to make the car go
smoothly
• (Design = Steering wheel and/or tires … but has
never “squeaked” loudly enough)
• Need “global optimization” of requirements
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
59
FO4 INV Delays Per Clock Period
• FO4 INV = inverter driving 4 identical inverters (no interconnect)
• Half of freq improvement has been from reduced logic stages
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
60
Roadmap Changes Since 2000
• Next “node” = 0.7x half-pitch or minimum feature size
–  2x transistors on the same size die
• 90nm node in 2004 (100nm in 2003)
– 90nm node  physical gate length = 45nm
• MPU/ASIC half-pitch = DRAM half-pitch in 2004
– Previous ITRS (2000): convergence in 2015
• Psychology: everyone must beat the Roadmap
– Reasons: density, cost reduction, competitive position
– TSMC CL010G logic/mixed-signal SOC process: risk
production in 4Q02 with multi-Vt, multi-oxide, embedded
DRAM and flash, low standby power derivatives, …
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
64
Problem Statements V
• Pass functional intent down to OPC insertion
– OPC insertion is for predictable circuit performance,
function
– Problem: make only corrections that win $$$, reduce perf
variation (i.e., link to performance analysis, optimizations
and sensitivities)
• Pass limits of mask verification up to layout
– Problem: avoid making corrections that can’t be
manufactured or verified
• // I.e., 2-way fat pipe between process and design !
– SPICE models are not a sufficient process abstraction…
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
65
Problem Statements VI
• Minimize data volume
– Problem: make corrections that win $$$, reduce perf
variation up to some limit of data volume for resulting
layout (== mask complexity, cost)
• Layout needs models of OPC insertion process
– Problem: taxonomize implications of layout geometry on
cost of the OPC that is required to yield function or
“faithfully” print the geometry
– find a realistic cost model for breaking hierarchy (including
verification, characterization costs)
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
66
Other Oldies But Goodies
• Constraint-dominated and cost-driven layout
•
•
•
•
•
Good practices (no doglegs, no Ts, even fingering…)
Constrained orientations (no 45s, one direction only)
Constrained pitches (forbidden gap rules)
Halation (width-dependent spacing) rules
Electrically correct, manufacturing cost-aware detailed routing
• Auto-P&R productivity
• Guaranteed composability is foundation of standard-cell productivity
• Library generation must support PSM layout composability
• Layout on the fly (liquid library cells for performance, yield)
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
67
Other Oldies But Goodies
• Sane RCX / PA flow with respect to area fill
• Area fill breaks RCX extraction
• Must be modeled / predicted at timing / signal integrity signoff during
auto-P&R
• Tradeoffs and correct models (grounded vs. ungrounded; synergies
between fill and printability (as opposed to planarization) must be
understood
• PSM, OPC (?) and Fill must be owned by physical
design, not physical verification
• PV tools have Boolean, purely geometric infrastructure
• PV tools report errors (e.g., phase conflict), but are not empowered to
fix (e.g., shift/compact layout
• Miscellaneous
• Hierarchy, data volume, reuse concerns
• New tool integrations: compaction, on-the-fly cell synthesis,
incremental detailed routing, graph-based (verification-type) layout
analyses, performance and logic optimizations Andrew Kahng – April 2002
68
Cost of Manufacturing Test
Is this better solved with Automated Test Equipment
technology, or with Design (for Test, Built-In Self-Test) ?
Is this even solvable with ATE technology alone?
Andrew Kahng – April 2002
69