Digital Design Obsolescence

Download Report

Transcript Digital Design Obsolescence

Digital Design
Obsolescence
Military, Aerospace, and High Reliability IC Manufacturer
John O’Boyle
For MAPLD September 2005
O'Boyle
1
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Defense Programs Still Need
OLD ICs
• 30 Year Old ICs Are Still in Use in many modern
High Reliability, Military, and Aerospace
applications.
• Combining New Technologies and older devices
leave Mil/Aero OEMs challenged with IC sourcing
due to obsolescence.
• The Fabrication of Obsolete ICs Is Not Attractive
due to low returns and matching original designs.
O'Boyle
2
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Issue : Diminishing Supply
• In Some Cases the Parts
Just Vanish:
– Take, for example, the Dual
RS-422 Line Drivers to the
right
– National Semi unilaterally
discontinued the supply of
these devices on April 21,
2005.
– Why? Because they simply
ran out, no close monitoring
of the supply
– This means even the best
managed programs may be
vulnerable.
O'Boyle
3
MAPLD 2005/P1023
TODAY’s Key Challenge
How Does a Mil/Aero OEM Obtain
Reliable, Accurate Reproduction of
Older Parts?
or
How Do They Entice the IC
Foundry to Build Such
Replacement Parts?
O'Boyle
4
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Factors for Consideration
• Buy Entire Remaining Inventory; But that’s
very expensive and many various Gov’t regs
limit requisition quantities.
– And, as a corollary to the RS-422 example, that is still
no guarantee; demand can outstrip supply.
• Use Commercial Parts From the Beginning;
But they, too, are diminishing and are not
suitable in all applications.
• So, do we look to the foundry for a solution?
Let’s See …
O'Boyle
5
MAPLD 2005/P1023
1. Foundry : Low Volumes
A Fundamental Disconnect
• An Illustration – Teledesic (the early days)
– Almost 1000 satellites (Close enough for this
illustration)
– Assume 100 “Identical” parts per satellite, balance
are other hi-rel.
– Build them all in one year (Not realistic, but suitable
for this example).
– Spares at 100% of original build.
– Complex die, Estimate die size 5 by 6 mm.
– Technology: 0.25 Micron on 8-inch wafers.
– Total fab, assembly, test yield = 85%.
O'Boyle
6
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Low Volumes = Low Profitability
for IC Mfg  This is Reality
• 1000 x 100 = 100k devices
• Plus 100% spares = 200k
• Total die needed: 200k/85% =
236k round to 250k die
• Gross die per wafer  1000
• Total 250k/1000 = 250 wafers
• In 1996 top 10 IDMs
(Integrated Device Mfr.) were
20 million wafers per year
• 250/20 million = 0.00125 %
• Bottom line: Volume is
insignificant for the foundries
O'Boyle
7
MAPLD 2005/P1023
2. Lack of Process Knowledge
• Modern designers use tools with IP
embedded – they place blocks with 100s of
transistors, or more.
– Plus, design rules prohibit changes.
• Important when designing a complex digital
device or the time to complete would be
prohibitive doing “Stick” designs.
• Designers today enjoy no real process
knowledge
– No understanding of the nuances of the process used
to make their design at the foundry.
O'Boyle
8
MAPLD 2005/P1023
“Lack” – is a Real Gap
An Example:
• Temp compensated bias
driver – As temp changed,
reference voltages A, B, and
C remain unchanged.
• Why? – The process had
very linear negative TC for
VBE which was used in a ratio
between D3 and Q6 to afford
ideal positive compensation.
• A new designer tried to
“Copy” the part but did not
understand the process so
the part failed to work.
O'Boyle
9
MAPLD 2005/P1023
3. Foundry : Economic Imperatives
•
Wafer Throughput and Yield
–
–
–
•
Large scale manufacturing economics drive the
foundries and fabs.
The fixed costs are very high and short term
variable costs are significant, too.
The factories must produce many wafers just to
reach breakeven.
Cardinal Rules:
1. “Fill the Fab”
2. Minimize process variations: wafers out/wafers
started  100% (or As Close As Possible 
“Cut the Scrap”)
O'Boyle
10
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Incredibly High Investments
• Over 68 foundries listed by FSA (Fabless
Semiconductor Association) today, not
counting firms like Toshiba (not listed).
• Today a 130/90 nm Fab Costs $3 to $4 Billion.
Plus expendables.
• Opportunity cost related to stopping a running
fab to insert 250 wafers for an annual buy is
expensive.
– This is applies to most fabs, 12-inch, 8-inch and even
6-inch.
O'Boyle
11
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Breakeven Is High
• Figure 1 (8 inch 0.18 micron fab):
– At different wafer prices the monthly breakeven moves from $15
Million and 15k wafers for $1k Per wafer to $16 Million for 20k
wafers at $800 each.
Figure 1
8 Inch Revenue to Breakeven
$35.0
$30.0
Revenue ($M)
$25.0
$20.0
$15.0
$10.0
$5.0
$5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
WSM
8" Rev @ $1000
O'Boyle
8" Rev @ $800
12
8" Rev @ $600
Breakeven
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Breakeven is Very High
• Figure 2 (12 inch 90 nm fab):
– At $2500 per wafer the monthly breakeven Is $40 Million for 17k
wafers and at $1500 breakeven will not be achieved until the variable
costs come down.
Figure 2
12 Inch Revenue to Breakeven
$80.0
$70.0
Revenue ($M)
$60.0
$50.0
$40.0
Yikes!
$30.0
$20.0
$10.0
$5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
WSM
12" Rev @ $2500
O'Boyle
12" Rev @ $2000
13
12" Rev @ $1500
Breakeven
MAPLD 2005/P1023
4. Foundry : Scarce Expertise
• Today’s Obsolete Device Designer relies on
modern tools and experience and knowledge
about process – a True Artisan.
• Gone Are the Days of  Pencil & paper and
Karnaugh maps (Min-sums); Mylar Grids with
Mylar transistors and hand-drawn resistors;
“Digitizers” and Rubyliths; 500x cameras that
floated on Hg; chrome masters and glass plate
masks.
O'Boyle
14
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Tackling Obsolescence Today
– A Few Solutions
• Size Does Matter – Hi-Rel volumes too small
to be attractive. So think SMALL
• Emulate – Works when no other solutions
are available.
• Create – NEW APPROACH; Much closer to
original and more reasonable in investment.
O'Boyle
15
MAPLD 2005/P1023
1. Solution – Size Does Matter
• The Large Foundries (TSMC, UMC, SMIC,
etc.) are out of reach to small Hi-Rel OEMs.
• Small “Research Oriented” Foundries
(Typically under 10,000 wafers a year,
sometimes much lower) will still run special
lots.
– Caution: Their processes are not as well controlled as
modern flows, but they are better than anything else
available.
O'Boyle
16
MAPLD 2005/P1023
2. Solution – Emulate …
• There are a couple of approaches available which
allow a design team to emulate an obsolete part,
right down to the timing delays.
• Works well for logic, the analog function is still
in question, but they’re working on that too.
• There are available programmable approaches.
• May be a possible low volume obsolete parts
replacement.
O'Boyle
17
MAPLD 2005/P1023
3. NEW APPROACH:
The Multi-Project Die (“MPD”)
• Amortize Mask Tool Costs Across Several Parts
– Derive several different options from “MPW” Die
– Metal mask programmable – Allows wafer hold at metal
and patterning to meet orders – Quick Turns
• Higher WSM (Wafer Starts per Month) figures to
foundry partner
• Not constrained by Max GDPW (Gross Die Per
Wafer)
• Flexible Family Sets; Memories, sequential and
combinatorial logic – 34 different parts on first MPD.
O'Boyle
18
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Options for MPD
• I/Os:
– TTL Totem Pole
– DTL
– Multiple I/Os
• PROM – Metal Mask
– Core covers major and
Minor densities in range
(S, M, L)
– Fusible links next
• Foundry holds average
of 24 wafers at metal.
When down to 12, they
start another 24.
O'Boyle
Four Peripheral Drivers, One Wafer:
QP1631, QP1632, QP1633 and QP1634
19
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Metal Options (OP 1)
Note, One Connection
Scheme in OP 1
O'Boyle
20
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Metal Options (OP 2)
And Another
Scheme in OP 2
O'Boyle
21
MAPLD 2005/P1023
Summary
• Economies of scale are opposite between a
foundry and an obsolete device maker.
– Partnering with the right manufacturing partner is key
• An obsolete device designer needs process
knowledge to tailor the design to take
advantage of “anomalies”.
• The obsolete designer must find creative
ways to fabricate parts:
– Focus on what is important to achieve performance
– Target smaller foundries
– Adapt designs/layout(s) for flexibility in die size while
keeping costs within reason.
O'Boyle
22
MAPLD 2005/P1023