Gap Analysis JJDPC-2015-02-05

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Transcript Gap Analysis JJDPC-2015-02-05

Statewide Gaps Analysis
and
Program Recommendations
An overview and summary for the Juvenile Justice and Delinquency
Prevention Committee
February 5, 2015
Stephanie A. Bradley, Ph.D.
Objective
•
Identify needs for prevention, intervention, and
innovative/promising programs to fill gaps in
services
•
To include:
 Basic needs assessment related to delinquency
prevention to identify unaddressed risk factors in
current menu
 Analysis of currently supported programs
 Quality outcomes?
 Still filling a need?
Process
1.
Examine and analyze statewide data sources
2.
Identify heightened areas of risk and vulnerability
3.
Review current VPP programs’ match to needs
4.
Identify additional programs to match unmet needs
through program registries, evidence base, and
emerging research
5.
Rank candidate programs’ evidence of effectiveness
6.
Recommend programs based on ranking and need
Key Considerations
•
Across youth development
 In-utero/infancy, elementary through high school,
transition to adulthood
•
Across contexts (levels)
 Individual, family, school, community
 Gender, race/ethnicity
•
Across continuum of risk
 Universal prevention to placement
Data Sources Across Risk
•
PAYS 2011 & 2013 Statewide – evaluate risk and
protective factors, problem behaviors among school
attending youth (“universal” population)
•
2012 PA Juvenile Court Dispositions – examine
characteristics of youth making contact with the juvenile
justice system
•
2007-09 JCJC Recidivism – evaluate needs for higher
risk youth entering and returning to the juvenile justice
system
Registries and Research
•
Blueprints for Healthy Youth Development
•
Crimesolutions.gov; Nat’l Institute of Justice
•
California Evidence-Based Clearinghouse for Child
Welfare
•
National Registry of Evidence-based Programs &
Practices (NREPP), SAMHSA
•
Striving to Reduce Youth Violence Everywhere
(STRYVE), CDC
•
Prevention Research Center, awareness of emerging
evidence
Findings &
Recommendations
Need:
Positive Youth Development
•
Community opportunities for prosocial involvement; all
grades
•
Relational and physical aggression and suspensions
spike in 8th grade
•
Depression, 38% of female students report feeling sad
or depressed on most days compared to 24% of males.
Recommendation:
Positive Action: Blueprints Model program, across
elementary + middle school, integrated into school day.
Focus on social-emotional learning, character
development.
Significant effects across many prosocial and
antisocial behaviors and emotional disturbance.
Need:
ATOD Prevention
 10th grade youth report higher rates of being drunk at
school and being arrested relative to 8th grade youth
(2.45x, 1.43x)
 The most widely used substance is alcohol, with 44% of
seniors reporting using within the last 30 days.
 Low perceived risk of drug use
 The rate of decline is lowest for drug related dispositions
Recommendations:
Current VP programs address these needs:
 Life Skills Training – school-based, middle school
 Project Toward No Drug Abuse – school-based, high
school
 SFP 10-14 – middle & high school aged youth
Need:
Family Functioning/Coping
•
46% of all youth involved in delinquency dispositions
reported their biological parents as never married.
•
80% of youth who recidivate come from disrupted family
situations (i.e., never married, divorced, separated, one or
both parents deceased).
• Youth with both parents deceased recidivated at the
highest rate (32%) of all family situations
• Parental attitudes favorable to antisocial behaviors (55)
Need:
Family Functioning/Coping
Recommendations:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
Familias Fuertes
Family Bereavement Program
Family Foundations for Expectant Parents
New Beginnings for Children of Divorce
Parent-Child Interaction Therapy (PCIT)
Positive Parenting Program (Triple P)
Strong African American Families
Trauma-Focused Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (TFCBT)
Need:
Family Functioning/Coping
Recommendations:
Familias Fuertes
• Hispanic version of SFP 10-14; Promising results
from Chester County concept grant
Strong African American Families
• Blueprints Promising; culturally tailored SFP 10-14
Positive Parenting Program (“Triple P”)
• Blueprints Promising; promoting parenting
competence, reducing maltreatment risk, and child
behavior and emotion problems. Universal to
selective. Ages birth to 12.
Need:
Family Functioning/Coping
Recommendations:
Family Bereavement Program
• Strongly indicated need, preliminary research promising
Trauma Focused Cognitive Behavioral Therapy
(TF-CBT)
• CA Clearinghouse highest rating, high quality research.
Treatment is for youth with a known trauma experience
(not ‘suspected’ trauma).
Final 2015 New VP Programs
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Positive Action
Familias Fuertes
Strong African American Families
Triple P – Positive Parenting Program
Family Bereavement Program
Trauma-Focused Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (TFCBT)
Continuum of VP Programs
Promotion
Promotion
Universal
Prevention
Selective Indicated
Treatment
Case
Standard
Identification
Treatment
for Known
Disorders
Maintenance
Compliance
with Long-term
Treatment
**Positive Action
Promoting Alternative Thinking
Strategies
Incredible Years Dinosaur School
LifeSkills Training
Olweus Bullying Prevention Program
Project Towards No Drug Abuse
**Familias Fuertes
**Strong African
American Families
**Triple P
Strengthening
Families 10-14
Big Brothers Big
Sisters
**Family
Bereavement
Program
Incredible Years Basic Parent Training
Incredible Years Dinosaur Small Group Therapy
Aggression Replacement Training
**Trauma-Focused CBT
Functional Family Therapy
Multisystemic Therapy
Multidimensional Treatment Foster Care
LifeSkills Training
Blueprints Initiative
2013
LifeSkills Training
Blueprints Initiative in PA
 3 years of free training, technical assistance
support from Center for the Study and Prevention
of Violence (CO)
 Train teachers to implement as part of health
curriculum
 Recruitment for 2013 included co-sponsored letter
from PCCD, PDE, and DDAP
 Implemented in 50+ school districts, 34 collected
data, on 4,800+ youth
 Significant improvements across knowledge, skills,
and risks.
 Recruitment for 2016 participation underway.
LifeSkills Training
Blueprints Initiative in PA
LifeSkills Training
Blueprints Initiative in PA
Knowledge
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Overall
ATOD
LifeSkills
Positive
Knowledge Knowledge Knowledge Self-Image
Pre
Post
65%
75%
58%
71%
69%
78%
83%
87%
Good
Decision
Making
85%
89%
Negative
Media
Influence
64%
73%
Effective
Anxiety
Communic
Reduction
ation
66%
65%
78%
74%
LifeSkills Training
Blueprints Initiative in PA
Life Skills
5
4
3
2
1
Pre
Post
Peer Refusal
4.47
4.60
Assertiveness
3.69
3.81
Relaxation
3.67
3.90
Task Persistance
3.85
3.84
LifeSkills Training
Blueprints Initiative in PA
Risks
5
4
3
2
1
Favorable
AttitudesA&T
Pre
1.34
Post
1.33
Favorable
AttitudesSmoking
1.32
1.30
Favorable
AttitudesDrinking
1.37
1.35
Peer Use
Adult Use
Perceptions Perceptions
1.69
1.87
2.77
2.61
Intent to
Use ATOD
ATOD Use
1.09
1.11
1.07
1.08
LifeSkills Training
Blueprints Initiative in PA
Number
of Sites
Youth
Served
Pennsylvania Costs
PCCD
Data
5 grants
1,584
$227/youth
PA Return
on
Investment
$3,461/youth $5,122,656
CSPV
Data*
34 school
districts
4,963
Cost per participant based
on EPISCenter analysis of
2010-12 PCCD budgets for
LST grants.
$7.84/youth
$3,461/youth $17,137, 239
WSIPP
Benefits
Calculated by cost of data
collection fees by the Survey
Research Center, divided by
the number of youth served
by CSPV.
6,547
Total
Value:
$22,259,895
ROI is calculated as the total costs (cost * youth) subtracted from total benefits (benefits *
youth).
*The cost that CSPV invested in this project for training and materials is not incorporated
into these figures, as it was not an expense that PA directly incurred.