Transcript Shifting Focus from US Technological Dominance to US

SHIFTING FOCUS FROM
U.S. TECHNOLOGICAL DOMINANCE
TO U.S. ALLIED DOMINANCE
Elizabeth Royall
Decisive Analytics Corporation
Is Next-Gen Tech the Only Savior of
U.S. Military & Tech Dominance?
• “U.S. Military Worries About Losing Hi-Tech Edge”—AFP, 2015
• “U.S. Military Readiness, for War, Competitive Edge
Worsening” –Reuters, 2014
Strengthening All the Tools in the Toolbox
U.S. Military Dominance
Technology
Manpower
Allies
Training
Strategy
Diversified, Complex Threats
PACOM
Aggressive China, contested East & South China Sea, North Korea
CENTCOM
Operations in Iraq & Afghanistan, terrorism, sectarian fighting
EUCOM
Revanchist Russia, energy security, terrorism
AFRICOM
Restive terrorism & insurgencies, poor governance
SOUTHCOM
Insurgencies and terrorist groups, organized crime & drug trade
NORTHCOM
Cyber threat, fly bys by Russia & China, terrorism
A Century of Coalition Operations
Allied & Partner operations are common and growing
60
50
40
30
20
Partners
Allies
10
0
Partners vs. Allies
Allies
Have signed & ratified a Mutual Defense Treaty (e.g. NATO,
Australia, Japan, Thailand, Peru)
Partners
May have varying levels of political and/or military relationships
with the U.S., may contribute troops to U.S. operations, but the
U.S. has no legal obligation to defend if attacked (e.g. Israel,
Ukraine, Taiwan, Mexico, Egypt)
The United States has 48 treaty allies
mostly under NATO or the Rio Pact (the Americas)
Why Focus on U.S. Sole Dominance?
Amid diversified, mutating threats and a constrained defense
budget, the United States must prioritize allied over sole
dominance, allies over partners, and technologies and
mechanisms that support allied dominance over those that solely
benefit the United States.
Where are the Vulnerabilities?
Patching the Holes:
Prioritizing Fixing Vulnerabilities
Exigent
High
Medium
• Low Capacity Allies
• High Capacity Allies
• Strategically Important Partners
PACOM Example of Prioritization
• Low Capacity Allies
• The Philippines & Thailand
Exigent
High
• High Capacity Treaty Allies
• Australia, Japan, South Korea
• Strategically Important Partners
• Brunei, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand,
Medium
Singapore, Taiwan, Vietnam
Technologies to Empower Alliances
• Information-Sharing Platforms with High-Tech Security & Low
Tech Usability
• Visibility for an Allied Common Operating Picture
• Foreign Comparative Testing
Non-Technology Areas to Build Capability
• Targeted Foreign Military & Commercial Sales
• Engineer & Scientist Exchange Programs
• Logistics Cooperation &Planning Concentrated on
Humanitarian Assistance/Disaster Relief (HA/DR)
Enhancing DoD’s Partnership-Building
Capacity
• Expanding International Armaments Cooperation
• Increasing R&D in Technologies to Strengthen Alliances
Strengthening Allied Defense
to Protect U.S. Dominance
Strengthening Allies, particularly weaker Allies, mitigates U.S.
vulnerabilities while providing a greater deterrent value and
protecting U.S. dominance
Questions?