Transcript RMI Presentation Final

Novetel Hotel Nadi Fiji
October 2015
 Provide an overview of the RMI
Economic Status and RMI National
Strategic Plan (NSP)
GDP Growth
3
 Economic growth from FY10-FY13 reflects
growth in fisheries, education, construction,
public administration
• Negative economic growth in FY 14 (1.1%)
after 4 years of positive economic growth
averaging 3.3 percent.
 Share of the public sector in the
economy shows minimal change but
private sector share has grown by 6%
 During FY97-99 fisheries represented
5% of GDP and rose to an average of
15% of GDP over the last three years
GDP Fisheries
20.0
Value added
18.0
16.0
US$ '000
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
Economic Policy Planning & Statistics Office (EPPSO)
6
EMPLOYMENT PRIVATE/PUBLIC SECTOR
5,500
12,000
11,500
5,000
11,000
Public sector
4,500
10,500
Private sector
10,000
4,000
Total employment
9,500
3,500
9,000
3,000
8,500
Economic Policy Planning & Statistics Office (EPPSO)
7
 FY13 external debt stood at $97.6
million but in relation to GDP fell to
51% (from 72% in FY04)
 Debt servicing was $6.3 million in FY13,
of which $3.0 million was due for
government debt to the ADB.
 There are two major debt servicing
components:

government debt on concessional
terms to the ADB, and
 government guaranteed debt incurred
by the SOE sector
 From FY10-13 the economy improved
and tax revenues grew by 10%
although below the rate of nominal GDP
growth of 17%
 Government expense grew by 18%
over this period, with the wage bill and
use of goods and services growing by
9% and 16%, respectively
 The large increase in expense was the
persistent growth in subsidies to SOEs
 Plugging the increase was the rise in
fishing royalties which rose from $2
million in FY10 to $7.9 million in FY13
 The fiscal position remained in surplus
but declining from $6.4 million in FY10
to $2.4 million in FY13
 Preliminary FY14 data show that consistent
with the economic downturn tax revenue fell
by 6%
 The implication is the government achieved
a significant surplus
Government Revenue & Expenditures
130
120
$'millions
110
100
90
Total Revenues
80
Exp adjusted for CTF
Total Expenditures
70
60
50
40
Economic Policy Planning & Statistics Office (EPPSO)
13
GOVERNMENT PAYROLL
4,000
$40.0
3,500
$35.0
Total Government Payroll (US$ millions)
3,000
$30.0
No. of Employees on Payroll
2,500
$25.0
2,000
$20.0
1,500
$15.0
1,000
$10.0
Economic Policy Planning & Statistics Office (EPPSO)
14
 During FY99-01, the average level of
subsidy and capital transfer was $4.5
million.
 In FY13 this peaked at $13.0 million, and
although falling to $7.4 million in FY14
(preliminary estimate)
RMI National Strategic Plan
The NSP Vision Statement
IN OUR OWN HANDS IS OUR FUTURE
NSP SECTORS
 NSP is organized in 5 sectors
 Each sector includes a list of relevant documents,
relevant issues, and indicators “snapshot”
 Each sector designed by strategic areas, with
over-arching & ministerial (policy) objectives
 The strategic areas and development objectives
coordinate with plans and policies of government
(national and local) NGOs and private sector
NSP TIMELINE
 The NSP is Forward Looking (2023)
 The NSP is developed as a 3 year “rolling plan”.
This coordinates with ongoing budgeting and
planning in RMI government and SOEs
 At the end of every 3 year period (2015-2017),
(2018-2020) and (2021-2023) a national “stocktake” will be completed to determine progress
and make necessary adjustments and revisions
for the next 3 years
NSP SECTORS &
STRATEGIC AREAS
(1) Social
Development
(2) Environment,
Climate Change and
Resiliency
•
•
•
•
Health (1A)
Education (1B)
Gender (1C)
Children, Youth and Vulnerable Groups
(1D)
• Community Development (1E)
• Vulnerability Assessment and Disaster
Risk Reduction (2A)
• Disaster Management and Response (2B)
• Conservation Resource Management
(2C)
NSP SECTORS &
STRATEGIC AREAS
(3) Infrastructure
Development
(4) Sustainable
Economic
Development
•
•
•
•
•
Transportation (3A)
Energy (3B)
Water and Sanitation (3C)
Solid and Hazardous Waste Management (3D)
Information Communications Technology (3E)
• Agriculture and Agriculture Production (4A)
• Marine Resources (Fisheries, Fisheries
Infrastructure, Deep Sea Mining) (4B)
• Trade and Local Manufacturing (4C)
• Tourism (4D)
• Financial Services, Private Sector, Private
Sector Investment and Employment (4E)
• Government Investment (Trust Funds)(4F)
NSP SECTORS &
STRATEGIC AREAS
(5) Good Governance
• Public Administration (5A)
• Public Financial Management and
Reform (5B)
• Law, Justice and Public Safety (5C)
• Legal and Regulatory (5D)
• SOE Management and Reform (5E)
• Macroeconomic Planning (5F)
Implementation Matrix
EXAMPLE OF IMPLEMENATION
MATRIX
NSP OVER-ARCHING OBJECTIVE: Enhance the School Improvement Process Through Provision of High Quality Education (MOE)
NSP MINISTERIAL
OBJECTIVES
•
•
Improve grade 1
enrollment rate and
gross enrollment rates
overall
Reduce dropout rates
at both Elementary
and Secondary Levels
MEDIUM TERM
STRATGIES
ISSUES TO ADDRESS
•
Too many students
drop out of school.
Some children are
never enrolled in
school.
•
•
•
•
Improve student
performance
(Language Skills in K3, MISAT, ELA)
•
•
Student achievement,
as measured by the
MISAT series, is
unacceptably low
Students perform
particularly poorly on
the ELA test, the
problem already
appears at grade 3.
•
•
•
Use 2011 RMI Census data
to determine the base
school-age population for
grade 1 and compare with
enrollment figures for SY
2011-12.
Implement a high-level
National Awareness
Campaign to combat the
dropout problem.
Implement pilot programs,
such as Food for Education
(FFE), to determine what is
effective in reducing the
dropout problem.
Identify highly qualified
teachers and assign them
to grades 1-2 ELA classes.
Provide performancebased bonuses for grades 12 ELA teachers.
Develop other methods of
reallocating funds and
resources to grades 1 and 2.
MEDIUM
TERM
INDICATORS
MEDIUM TERM
OUTCOMES
•
•
•
•
•
Achieve a 100%
gross enrollment
rate for grade 1
students.
Reduce the grades
1-8 dropout rate
from 32% in SY 201112 to 10% by 2020.
Reduce the grades
9-12 dropout rate
from 51% to 25% in
2020.
•
Improve
performance on
the grade 3 English
MISAT from 20%
proficient in SY
2011-12 to 40% by
2020.
Improve
performance on all
other MISAT tests
to at least 50%
proficiency by 2020
•
•
•
FY15
BUDGET
RELEVANT
PLANS
Enrollment
rates
Dropout
rates
MOE
Strategic Plan
MISAT Score
Language
Testing
MOE
Strategic Plan
THANK YOU