Transcript AnadoluUni.EnderGerede

World Statistics Day Workshop
Panel-1: New Understandings and
Approaches in Airline and Tourism Business
Airline Business - Market Outlook
Source: Boeing
Hazırlayan
Moderator: Assoc. Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics
Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
Air travel is growing
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
Passenger traffic is resilient
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
Airline productivity rising
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
Airline productivity rising
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
Increased frequencies and nonstops markets
• As air travel continues to grow, airlines have a choice
about how they want to grow their business.
• How to accommodate the growth?
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–
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Increasing airplane capacity and/or size
or
adding more frequencies and nonstop markets to networks.
Which one do passengers prefer?
• Increasing frequency and new nonstop markets.
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
Increased frequencies and nonstops markets
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
High Oil price volatility - low oil prices
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
Significant trends in airline business in last two decades
• Privatization of airlines, deregulation, bilateral and multilateral
liberalization of the markets, open sky agreements,
– Globalization, more airlines in the market and higher competition,
– More complex and dynamic industry: Higher uncertainty in the business
environment.
• Higher service quality, bigger and wider networks, lower ticket
prices
– Higher air travel demand
• Trends in airline business :
– LCCs, airlines within airlines, strategic alliances, outsorcing, virtual airlines,
aviation business airlines
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
LCCs
• As the LCC business model continues to grow, more
point-to-point flying is occurring.
– In 1994, LCCs provided less than 10 percent of all short-haul
flights (less than 3,000 miles), the majority of which
Southwest flew.
• Today, LCCs fly almost 30 percent of short-haul flights.
– There are regions of the world—such as Europe, Southeast
Asia, and North America—where this trend is more common.
•
Source: Boeing
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
LCCs
• The low-cost business model continues to drive
growth in short to medium haul markets.
• Passengers have access to a wider range of
destinations and the benefit of the speed and
convenience that flying offers over traditional modes
of transportation.
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Source: Boeing
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Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
GDP and demand forecast
• Based on what has happened historically and what is
expected to occur, world GDP is anticipated to grow
at 3.1 percent annually over the next 20 years.
• During the same period, passenger traffic is forecast
to grow by 4.9 percent and air cargo traffic by 4.7
percent.
•
Source: Boeing
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Mr. Márcio Favilla
• He graduated in Economics at the Federal University of Minas
Gerais (Belo Horizonte / Brazil) and Master in Development Studies
(Regional Development and Planning) at the Institute of Social
Studies (The Hague / Netherlands).
• After an extensive career in the public sector in Brazil, including
seven years as Vice-Minister of Tourism and Vice-Minister of
Institutional Relations of the Presidency, in 2010 joined the World
Tourism Organization (UNWTO) in Madrid, Spain, as an ExecutiveDirector, now in charge of the Operational Programmes and
Institutional Relations of the Organization.
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Mr. Levent Konukçu
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• Levent Konukcu has been working at Turkish Airlines for 12 years. After holding
different positions, 4 years ago he was promoted to be the Senior Vice President of
Investment Management.
• He is responsible for managing the investment decisions of all aircraft and aircraft
related equipment and parts such as all types of engine, simulator, aircraft interior
parts, etc.
• He is also responsible for preparing the long term strategic plans and fleet plans of
the company. Accordingly, he coordinates all types of aircraft acquisitions
contracts.
• He supervises the department preparing business intelligence reports analyzing all
major KPIs supporting the decisions of the company executives and managers. He
graduated from Aeronautical Engineering Department of Istanbul Technical
University.
Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Associate Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
Communication
• Assoc. Prof. Dr. Ender GEREDE
• Anadolu University Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics
– http://www.anadolu.edu.tr/en
– [email protected]
– http://www.linkedin.com/pub/ender-gerede/36/a22/a0b
• Postal Address: Anadolu Universitesi, Havacılık ve Uzay
Bilimleri Fakultesi, Ikieylul Kampusu, 26470 Eskisehir / Turkey
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