Transcript National Priority Development Indicators

AmbisyonNatin 2040
& Emerging Priority Development Indicators
Director Reynaldo R. Cancio
National Policy and Planning Staff
National Economic and Development Authority
Country Workshop on the Philippine Data Revoluton Roadmap for the SDGs
EDSA Shangri-la, Manila, 1 Garden Way, Ortigas Center
06 October 2016
1
Asia 2050: Realizing the Asian Century
• Asia will nearly double its share of global
GDP to over 50%.
• Asia’s per capita income will rise sixfold from 2010 to 2050, higher than the
global average
W orld
38,600
36,600
Asia
26,600
25,400
19,400
Figure 1: Asia’s share of global GDP, 1700-2050
16,500
14,300
10,700
10,600
6,600
2010
Source of basic data: ADB Publication – Asia 2050
2020
2030
2040
2050
Figure 2: Projections of Per Capita GDP (constant 2010
PPP) of World vs Asia in 2050
Asia 2050: Realizing the Asian Century
107,600
• 7 economies will lead Asia’s
march to prosperity (South
Korea, Japan, China, India,
Indonesia, Malaysia and
Thailand)
66 ,700
47 ,800
41 ,700
• The Philippines will be
overtaken by India and Viet
Nam; will be in the company of
Mongolia and Cambodia.
37 ,400
33 ,800
26 ,900
22 ,900
22 ,700
Figure 3: Projections of Per Capita GDP (constant 2010 PPP) of Selected Asian Economies in 2050
Source of basic data: ADB Publication – Asia 2050
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A long-term (25 years) vision of Filipinos.
It is a vision, NOT a plan.
An anchor for development planning across administrations.
A guide for engaging with international development
partners.
4
The Long-term Vision (LTV) process
1. Advisory Committee
• composed of representatives from the government,
private sector, the academe, and civil society guided
the overall implementation of the visioning exercise
Survey
FGD
v
2. Public consultations
• 42 FGDs with marginalized groups (C. David)
• National Survey (n=10,000; PSRC)
3. Technical studies
• Thematic study team organized (led by Dr. R.
Clarete)
4. Communication & advocacy
• Online social media engagement
• Public forums
5
The Life We Want
Matatag
•
•
Living together with family
Time with family and
friends (work/life balance)
Maginhawa
•
•
•
•
Freedom from hunger
and poverty
Guaranteed mobility
Secure home ownership
Travel and vacation
opportunities
Panatag
•
Security of place
•
Resources adequate for
day-to-day needs and
unexpected expenses
Passive income during
retirement
•
6
An overwhelming majority of
Filipinos aspire for a simple
and comfortable life…
3.9 %
Life of the Rich
16.9 %
Prosperous or Affluent Life
79.2 %
Simple and Comfortable Life
7
What is a “simple and comfortable” life ?
Own at least
one car
Have enough
money for dayto-day needs
Own a
medium-sized
home
Decent work
All children are
college-educated
Relax with
family and
friends
Business
owner
Able to take
occasional trips
around the
country
8
What is a simple & comfortable life?
P 120,000
Gross Monthly Income
5,000
Own one car
25,000
10,000
Income Tax
All children are
college-educated
40,000
Have enough money
for day-to-day needs
30,000
Own a medium-sized
home
4,000
Relax with family
and friends
6,000
Able to take occasional
trips around the country
9
Vision for the Country:
Hunger, local employment and poverty are the main
economic issues that should be addressed
No one is hungry
64
All Filipinos have a chance for adequate....
51
No one is poor
50
Everyone can go to college
50
Everyone can get treatment when sick
38
All Filipino families have their own house
36
Everyone has modern lifestyle
17
The country is a world leader in science
10
I have here statements that people say are important for our economy). Which of the following is the most important condition the
country should attain in the year 2040 (RANK 1)? Which is the second most important (RANK 2)? Which is the third most important
(RANK 3)?
Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)
Eradication of corruption is the most important aspect of government
service that should be addressed
Eradication of Corruption
82
16 11
98
2
96
76
22
2
98
2
96
Fast and easy processes
74
24
2
98
2
96
Order and Safety in the...
72
26
21
97
3
94
Fast response towards...
72
25
21
97
3
94
21
97
3
94
Fair enforcement of the law
Enough avenues to be able...
Slightly important
69
Slightly not important
28
Definitely not important
Base: Total Interviews unwtd/wtd (10000/10000)
Vision for Country
“By 2040, the Philippines will be a prosperous,
predominantly middle-class society where no one is poor.
Our peoples will enjoy long and healthy lives, are smart
and innovative, and will live in a high-trust society”
From vision to action
PDP 2017-2022
PDP 2023-2028
PDP 2029-2034
PDP 2035-2040
Vision
• Requires strong ownership and buy-in by
stakeholders and the country’s leaders over
the next 25 years
• Each plan must build on previous plan, not
change it unnecessarily
• Needs and preferences may change over time
• Unexpected developments may arise (e.g.
climate, science & technology)
From vision to action
By 2040, Philippines will be:
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
1. A prosperous, predominantly
middle-class society where
no one is poor;
2. A healthy and resilient
society;
3. A smart and innovative
society, and
4. A high-trust society.
14
A prosperous, predominantly middle-class society where no
one is poor;
Sustain rapid growth; eradicate
poverty; reduce inequality;
promote knowledge-driven growth
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
Rapid growth; reduce inequality;
expand the middle-class; improve
efficiencies; transition to knowledgedriven growth
Reduce poverty in all dimensions; eradicate extreme poverty;
improve efficiencies
Provide basis for demographic dividend; reduce inequality; reduce poverty in all
dimensions; higher output and productivity; connectivity
15
A prosperous, predominantly middle-class society where no
one is poor;
Emerging priority indicators:
Income per capita (average and median)
Household disposable income per capita
Percent of families that belong to middle-class
Inequality indicator (Gini; share of top/bottom 20%)
Multi-Dimension Poverty Index
Poverty Incidence
16
A healthy and resilient society
Promote healthy lifestyle, maintain
expanded coverage and access to health
care, , encourage wealth build-up and
diversification, expand insurance cover
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
Promote healthy lifestyle, maintain
expanded coverage and access to health
care, encourage wealth build-up and
diversification, expand insurance cover
Reduce morbidity due to NCD; expand coverage of universal
health care, Encourage wealth build-up, promote insurance cover
Reduce IMR, U5MR, MMR, malnutrition rate, morbidity due to CD, expand access to health care,
RH program,Promote income and wealth diversification
17
A healthy and resilient society
Emerging priority indicators:
Life expectancy at birth
Infant mortality rate
Maternal Mortality rate
Morbidity due to Communicable Diseases
Access to Health Care (i.e National Health Insurance Program
Coverage rate)
18
A smart and innovative society
Sustain learning opportunities;
encourage R&D, creativity and
innovation
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
Improve IPR framework; encourage STI
Access to education, increase learning opportunities;
increase tech adoption; strengthen IPR framework
Continue education reforms in K-12, begin reforms in higher education
Increase access to education (K-12, higher education); promote technology adoption
19
A smart and innovative society
Emerging priority indicators:
Net enrolment Rate
Completion Rate
Cohort Survival Rate
20
A high trust society
Citizens living in peace and
harmony; Proud of their national
identity
20232028
20172022
20292034
20352040
Maintain harmony in diversity;
maintain peace and order; Maintain
national unity; Cultivate national
pride
Promote harmony in diversity; maintain peace and order;
Promote national unity; create national brand
Build trust in government; enforce peace and order; resume peace talks;
Create social and cultural awareness; values formation
21
A high trust society
Emerging priority indicators:
Trust Index
Number of Provinces Free from armed conflict
Peace Agreement Implementation
22
Asia 2050: We can change the future!
The Philippines can join Asia’s march to prosperity!