12_OIPE_Brief_Group_1_n_2_150617

Download Report

Transcript 12_OIPE_Brief_Group_1_n_2_150617

Operational Intelligence Preparation of
the Environment (OIPE) Brief
Philippines
23-31 July 2015
Manila, Philippines
UNCLASSIFIED
1
Agenda
1. What is OIPE?
2. OIPE for the Philippines:
A. Geography;
B. Weather, Threats and Hazards;
C. Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information,
Infrastructure, Physical and Time (PMESII-PT);
D. Actor and Stakeholder Analysis;
E. Troop Contributing Country Military Resources;
F. Humanitarian Situation.
UNCLASSIFIED
2
What is OIPE?
• OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander’s Appreciation
Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational
operations.
• OIPE provides foundation for Commander’s Situational Assessment
• A key CTF planning principle is: “Before any problem solutions can be
identified the problem must first be clearly understood.
– Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned
military end states is essential for the CCTF to accurately understand
the situation.
• OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the
Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes:
– Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy,
weather, terrain;
– Added considerations that political, military, economic, social,
infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational
environment.
UNCLASSIFIED
3
What is OIPE?
• This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this
workshop.
• A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each
laptop in your planning groups.
UNCLASSIFIED
4
Philippines
UNCLASSIFIED
5
Philippines within the Region
UNCLASSIFIED
6
Philippines Geography & Demographics
• Mountainous, island archipelago
• 7,107 islands
• Elevation: Sea level to
2,954m (Mt. Apo, 9,692 ft.)
• Area:
• Population: 107,668,231 (July
2014 est.)
• 48.8% urbanization
• Largest city: Manila at 11.45
million
• Total area: 300,000 km2
(115,831 sq. mi.)
•
•
Slightly smaller than
Malaysia;
Slightly larger than New
Zealand
• Land area: 298,170 km2
(115,124 sq. mi.)
UNCLASSIFIED
7
Philippines Weather and Hazards
• Weather
• Tropical marine: northeast monsoon (Nov to April);
southwest monsoon (May to Oct).
• Temperatures: 21º C to 32º C (70º F to 90º F).
• Rainfall: 96 to 406 cm (38 to 160 in.) / year
• Hazards
•
Typhoons (June – November) – on average struck by 5 to
6 per year
•
Landslides
•
Active volcanoes
•
Earthquakes
•
Tsunamis
UNCLASSIFIED
8
Philippines PMESII-PT
• Political
• Constitutional republic
• Capital: Manila
• 80 provinces and 39
chartered cities
• Executive: President
Benigno Aquino III
• Legislative: Bicameral
Congress (Kongreso)
• Senate (Senado) – 24
seats
• House of Representatives
(Kapulungan Ng Nga
Kinatawan) – 287 seats
• Judicial
• Courts:
• Supreme Court
• Court of Appeals
• Lower courts
• Legal system: Mixed
system of civil, common,
Islamic and customary
law.
• National disaster management
authority:
National Disaster Risk
Reduction and Management
Council (NDRRMC)
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
9
Philippines PMESII-PT
Armed Forces of the Philippines
Philippine Army
Philippine Navy
Philippine Marine Corps
Philippine Air Force
Philippine Coast Guard
Philippine National Police
UNCLASSIFIED
10
Philippines PMESII-PT
• Economic:
– Multi-sectoral economy:
 Agriculture – 11.2% (Sugarcane, coconuts, rice, corn,
bananas, cassavas, pineapples, mangoes, pork, eggs,
beef, fish)
 Industry – 31.6% (Electronics assembly, garments,
footwear, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, wood products,
food processing, petroleum)
 Services – 57.2%
– Annual gross domestic product (GDP): US$ 454.3 billion
(2013 est.)
– Annual GDP per capita: US$ 4,700 (2013 est.)
– GDP real growth rate: + 6.8% (2013 est.)
UNCLASSIFIED
11
Philippines PMESII-PT
• Social
• Population: 107,668,231 (2014
est.)
• Age structure:
• 0-14 yrs:
33.7%
• 15-24 yrs:
19.0%
• 25-54 yrs:
37.0%
• 55-64 yrs:
4.5%
• 65 + yrs:
4.4%
• Ethnicity:
• Tagalog
28.1%
• Cebuano
13.1%
• Ilocano
9.0%
• Bisaya/Binisaya
7.6%
• Hiligaynon Ilonggo
7.5%
• Bikol
6.0%
• Waray
3.4%
• Other
25.3%
• Religion:
• Catholic
82.9%
• Muslim
5.0%
• Evangelical
2.8%
• Other Christian
4.5%
• Iglesia ni Kristo
2.3%
• Other
1.8%
• Unspecified
0.6%
• None
01.%
• Languages:
• Filipino and English (official)
• 8 major dialects: Tagalog,
Cebuano, Ilocano, Hiligaynon or
Ilonggo, Bicol, Waray, Pampango
and Pangasinan
UNCLASSIFIED
12
Philippines PMESII-PT
• Information
• Literacy rate: 95%
• Television:
• 4 major TV networks (1 govt. owned)
• 350+ television stations
• Radio: approx. 1,200 radio stations
• Telephones:
• Main lines in use: 3.94 million
• Mobile cellular: 103 million
• Internet
• Hosts: 425,812 (2012)
• Users: 8.28 million (2009)
UNCLASSIFIED
13
Philippines PMESII-PT
• Airports
• Paved runways
• Over 3,047 m
• 2,438 to 3,047 m
• 1,524 to 2,437 m
• 914 to 1,523 m
• Under 914 m
• Unpaved runways
• 1,524 to 2,437 m
• 914 to 1,523 m
• Under 914 m
• Heliports
247
89
4
8
33
34
10
158
3
56
99
2
• Major seaports:
• Batangas
• Cagayan de Oro
• Cebu
• Davao, Liman
• Manila
• Container ports (TEUs): Manila
(3,342,200)
• Roadways
213,151 km
• Paved
54,481 km
• Unpaved
158,670 km
UNCLASSIFIED
14
Philippines PMESII-PT
Physical: Distances from Manila
to:
• Sydney, AUS
6,249 km
• Dhaka, BGD
3,363 km
• Berlin, DEU
9,880 km
• Jakarta, IDN
2,779 km
• Tokyo, JPN
2998 km
• Kuala Lumpur, MYS 2470 km
• Auckland, NZL
8,010 km
• Bangkok, THA
2,215 km
• Honolulu, USA
8,537 km
• Los Angeles, USA 11,756 km
• Time:
• Philippine Time Zone (PHT)
• + 8 hrs UTC
• Same as AWST, MYT, SGT & WITA.
UNCLASSIFIED
15
Groups 1 & 2 Scenario:
Metro Manila Earthquake Response
•
•
•
•
22 JUL 2015, 18:52: A 7.2 magnitude earthquake along
the West Valley Fault strikes metro Manila.
Initial estimates:
• 34,000 dead from quake, 20,000 dead from resulting
fires; 110,000 injured;
• 170,000 residential homes collapsed;
• 340,000 residences moderately damaged;
• 1 million people displaced;
• 9% of all government buildings and hospitals
collapsed or heavily damaged, 23% moderately
damaged.
• 350 10-30 story buildings collapsed or damaged;
• 14 30-60 story buildings collapsed/ or damaged;
• 500 major fires raged out of control, hot spots and haze remain.
23 JULY 2015: Philippine Government requests international assistance.
• TE-27 AFP Officers at normal duty stations.
• TE-27 Foreign Officers working at respective Embassies; Embassy COMMS remain
operational.
24 JULY 2015: MPAT Nations’ Officers meet with AFP Officers to prepare course of
action to support Govt. of Philippines response.
• All MPAT Nations’ Officers are senior military representatives for their respective
16
nations.
UNCLASSIFIED
Philippines OIPE Brief – Questions?
UNCLASSIFIED
17