Transcript 14_OIPE_Brief_Group_3_150611

Operational Intelligence Preparation of
the Environment (OIPE) Brief
Philippines
23-31 July 2015
Manila, Philippines
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Agenda
1. What is OIPE?
2. OIPE for the Philippines:
A. Geography;
B. Weather, Threats and Hazards;
C. Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information,
Infrastructure, Physical and Time (PMESII-PT);
D. Actor and Stakeholder Analysis;
E. Troop Contributing Country Military Resources;
F. Humanitarian Situation.
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What is OIPE?
• OIPE: A continuous activity that assists Commander’s Appreciation
Process during all phases of planning and execution of multinational
operations.
• OIPE provides foundation for Commander’s Situational Assessment
• A key CTF planning principle is: “Before any problem solutions can be
identified the problem must first be clearly understood.
– Understanding the problem(s) preventing attainment of the assigned
military end states is essential for the CCTF to accurately understand
the situation.
• OIPE is a modification of the Joint Intelligence Preparation of the
Operational Environment (JIPOE) which includes:
– Baseline analysis of the traditional intelligence concerns of enemy,
weather, terrain;
– Added considerations that political, military, economic, social,
infrastructure, and information dynamics have on the operational
environment.
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What is OIPE?
• This briefing will provide an overview of the OIPE for this
workshop.
• A complete OIPE study is located in digital form on each
laptop in your planning groups.
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Philippines
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Philippines within the Region
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Philippines Geography & Demographics
• Mountainous, island archipelago
• 7,107 islands
• Elevation: Sea level to
2,954m (Mt. Apo, 9,692 ft.)
• Area:
• Population: 107,668,231 (July
2014 est.)
• 48.8% urbanization
• Largest city: Manila at 11.45
million
• Total area: 300,000 km2
(115,831 sq. mi.)
•
•
Slightly smaller than
Malaysia;
Slightly larger than New
Zealand
• Land area: 298,170 km2
(115,124 sq. mi.)
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Philippines Weather and Hazards
• Weather
• Tropical marine: northeast monsoon (Nov to April);
southwest monsoon (May to Oct).
• Temperatures: 21º C to 32º C (70º F to 90º F).
• Rainfall: 96 to 406 cm (38 to 160 in.) / year
• Hazards
•
Typhoons (June – November) – on average struck by 5 to
6 per year
•
Landslides
•
Active volcanoes
•
Earthquakes
•
Tsunamis
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Philippines PMESII-PT
• Political
• Constitutional republic
• Capital: Manila
• 80 provinces and 39
chartered cities
• Executive: President
Benigno Aquino III
• Legislative: Bicameral
Congress (Kongreso)
• Senate (Senado) – 24
seats
• House of Representatives
(Kapulungan Ng Nga
Kinatawan) – 287 seats
• Judicial
• Courts:
• Supreme Court
• Court of Appeals
• Lower courts
• Legal system: Mixed
system of civil, common,
Islamic and customary
law.
• National disaster management
authority:
National Disaster Risk
Reduction and Management
Council (NDRRMC)
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Philippines PMESII-PT
Armed Forces of the Philippines
Philippine Army
Philippine Navy
Philippine Marine Corps
Philippine Air Force
Philippine Coast Guard
Philippine National Police
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Philippines PMESII-PT
• Economic:
– Multi-sectoral economy:
 Agriculture – 11.2% (Sugarcane, coconuts, rice, corn,
bananas, cassavas, pineapples, mangoes, pork, eggs,
beef, fish)
 Industry – 31.6% (Electronics assembly, garments,
footwear, pharmaceuticals, chemicals, wood products,
food processing, petroleum)
 Services – 57.2%
– Annual gross domestic product (GDP): US$ 454.3 billion
(2013 est.)
– Annual GDP per capita: US$ 4,700 (2013 est.)
– GDP real growth rate: + 6.8% (2013 est.)
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Philippines PMESII-PT
• Social
• Population: 107,668,231 (2014
est.)
• Age structure:
• 0-14 yrs:
33.7%
• 15-24 yrs:
19.0%
• 25-54 yrs:
37.0%
• 55-64 yrs:
4.5%
• 65 + yrs:
4.4%
• Ethnicity:
• Tagalog
28.1%
• Cebuano
13.1%
• Ilocano
9.0%
• Bisaya/Binisaya
7.6%
• Hiligaynon Ilonggo
7.5%
• Bikol
6.0%
• Waray
3.4%
• Other
25.3%
• Religion:
• Catholic
82.9%
• Muslim
5.0%
• Evangelical
2.8%
• Other Christian
4.5%
• Iglesia ni Kristo
2.3%
• Other
1.8%
• Unspecified
0.6%
• None
01.%
• Languages:
• Filipino and English (official)
• 8 major dialects: Tagalog,
Cebuano, Ilocano, Hiligaynon or
Ilonggo, Bicol, Waray, Pampango
and Pangasinan
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Philippines PMESII-PT
• Information
• Literacy rate: 95%
• Television:
• 4 major TV networks (1 govt. owned)
• 350+ television stations
• Radio: approx. 1,200 radio stations
• Telephones:
• Main lines in use: 3.94 million
• Mobile cellular: 103 million
• Internet
• Hosts: 425,812 (2012)
• Users: 8.28 million (2009)
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Philippines PMESII-PT
• Airports
• Paved runways
• Over 3,047 m
• 2,438 to 3,047 m
• 1,524 to 2,437 m
• 914 to 1,523 m
• Under 914 m
• Unpaved runways
• 1,524 to 2,437 m
• 914 to 1,523 m
• Under 914 m
• Heliports
247
89
4
8
33
34
10
158
3
56
99
2
• Major seaports:
• Batangas
• Cagayan de Oro
• Cebu
• Davao, Liman
• Manila
• Container ports (TEUs): Manila
(3,342,200)
• Roadways
213,151 km
• Paved
54,481 km
• Unpaved
158,670 km
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Philippines PMESII-PT
Physical: Distances from Manila
to:
• Sydney, AUS
6,249 km
• Dhaka, BGD
3,363 km
• Berlin, DEU
9,880 km
• Jakarta, IDN
2,779 km
• Tokyo, JPN
2998 km
• Kuala Lumpur, MYS 2470 km
• Auckland, NZL
8,010 km
• Bangkok, THA
2,215 km
• Honolulu, USA
8,537 km
• Los Angeles, USA 11,756 km
• Time:
• Philippine Time Zone (PHT)
• + 8 hrs UTC
• Same as AWST, MYT, SGT & WITA.
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Group 3 Scenario:
Visayas Typhoon Response
Typhoon Molave (Kabayan)
• 19 JUL 2015, tropical depression east of
Philippines become Typhoon Molave, grows to a
Category 5 Super Typhoon.
• 20 JUL 2015, 20:00 PHT, enters Philippines AOR,
PAGASA labels typhoon “Kabayan.”
• 22 JUL 2015, 04:40, Kabayan makes landfall at
Guiuan, Eastern Samar. 1-minute sustained wind
speeds of 315 km/h (194 mph).
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22 JUL 2015, TY Kabayan makes landfall at:
07:00 PHT – Tolosa, Leyte;
12:00 PHT – Concepcion, Iloilo; and
09:40 PHT – Daanbantayan, Cebu;
20:00 PHT – Busuanga, Palawan.
10:40 PHT – Bantayan island, Cebu;
23 JUL 2015:
• Government of the Philippines requests international assistance.
• 15:30 PHT, TY Kabayan departs PHL Area of Responsibility, heading west.
24 JUL 2015, MPAT Nations’ Officers meet with AFP Officers to prepare course
of action to support Govt. of Philippines response.
• All MPAT Nations’ Officers are senior military representatives for their
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respective nations.
Philippines OIPE Brief – Questions?
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