Transcript Successful Management of Oil Assets

BUDGETING IN NORWAY
27th Annual Meeting of Senior Budget Officials
Sydney, June 5th 2006
Teresa Curristine,
Budgeting and Public Expenditures Division,
Public Governance Directorate, OECD
Three things to know…
•Prosperous country with large oil reserves
-In 2004, ranked 3rd among OECD countries in terms
of GDP per capita
-In 2005, UN index named Norway most liveable
country in the world
•Relatively large public sector
-Public sector expenditure makes up 56% of mainland
GDP
•Wide Political Consensus
– History of minority governments
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In Brief….
•Successful management of oil assets
•Medium-term deficit rule
•Strong role for Cabinet in budget process
•Strong formal role for Parliament
•Decentralised public administration
•Slow progress with government-wide system of
performance
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Successful Management of Oil Assets
• Avoided mistakes of some other oil-rich
nations
• Established Government Pension Fund Global (previously called Petroleum Fund )
• Unique example of long-term budgetary
planning
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Fiscal rule
• Medium-term deficit rule, stating that
structural non-oil budget deficit should
be kept at 4% (the assumed long-run real
rate of return) of the assets of the
Government Pension Fund
• 4% rule never actually adhered to
• Widespread political consensus
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Strong Role for Cabinet
• Cabinet Government
• Cabinet plays central role in budget
formulation
• Two annual cabinet budget conferences
• Relatively weak formal role of Ministry
of Finance
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Role of Parliament
• Formally strong role for Parliament
- Unlimited power to propose amendments to budget
• Power curbed by party discipline and type of
government
• Ministry of Finance provides objective
information to Parliament
- But some members of opposition are calling for more
independent information
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Decentralised Public Administration
• Decentralised
- Local government plays large role in public service
delivery
- Central government Nordic model: Small ministries
and larger number of agencies
- Over 97% of central government employees work
in agencies
• High degree of flexibility for government agencies
- Few restrictions on choice of inputs
- Can carry over funds
- Extensive flexibility to recruit, hire and dismiss
non-senior civil servants
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Decentralised public administration
(continued)
• Individual ministries responsible for monitoring
and control of agencies’ spending activities
• Ministry of Finance has few formal controls over
ministries - limited steering capacity
• Informal system works on consensus and
tradition
• Requires high degree of trust between actors
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Slow Progress with GovernmentWide System of Performance
• Few central requirements
• Largely left to individual ministries and agencies
• Sporadic implementation by ministries
- Limited capacity at ministry level
- Heavily dependent on agencies for information
- Varying quality of information
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Direct/Activity-based performance
formula budgeting
• Introduced in areas of education and health
• Increased activity and reduced waiting lists
• Problems due to
- Increased expenditure and exceeding spending
limits, especially in health
- Perverse incentives
- Questions about quality of service delivery
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Conclusion
• Modern budget system
• Unique in terms of management of oil assets
and long-term budgeting
• Strong role of Cabinet
• Formal versus informal roles of Parliament and
Ministry of Finance
• System based on wide political consensus
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