Transcript Slide 1

Conference Address
John Graystone
Chief Executive
CollegesWales
Wittol
Alienism
Charabanc
Drysalter
Cyclogiro
Retailers suffering from consumer downturn
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Peacocks; Pumpkin Patch
Past Times; Blacks Leisure
Hawkin’s Bazaar; D2 Jeans; Barratts
La Senza ; Jane Norman; Habitat
Carpetright; Focus DIY; TJ Hughes
Firetrap; Fenn Wright Manson
Game; Ellie Louise; Aquascutum; Clinton
Cards
In Wales
In 3 months to March 2012
132,000 unemployed (9%)
increase of 20,000 over year
6,968 declared insolvent in 2011 - a reduction
from 7,874 in 2010 but starting to rise again
In UK
almost 8m people in a part-time job, highest
since records started in 1992
those working in part-time because they can’t
find full-time work rose by 73,000 to 1.4m
Gross domestic product (GDP)
UK economy ‘shrank’ by -0.3% and then by 0.2% in last two quarters
therefore double dip recession
more severe than Great Depression of 1930s
0.7% expansion in 2011, 2.1% expansion in 2010
and 7.1% reduction in 2009
average GDP growth from 1990 to 2008 was
2.3%
construction had highest decline -4.8%
John Hemsworth parliamentary question: 26 March
2012: How much is spent on cut flowers and pot
plants?
Cut
flowers
Pot plants
Northern
Ireland
£2,944
Scotland
Wales
No record
£0
£1,920
No record
£20
Funding and inflation: 2007/08
to 2013/14
Year
Funding increase
(decrease)
2007/08
4.58%
2.3%
2008/09
1.45%
3.0%
2009/10
1.3%
1.8%
2010/11
1%
2.69%
2011/12
(1.6%)
2.2%
2012/13
2.5%
2.7%
2013/14
1%?
1%?
Total
10.23%
GDP Deflator
17.19%
Surplus/Deficit FE sector in Wales (HE
comparison) (1996/97 40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
FE
HE
Total surplus/deficit of FE
1996/97 – 2010/11
FE colleges/institutions
15 years – 9 years in surplus and 6 years in
deficit
Overall surplus of £18.756m on total income
of £5,139.819m .....or 0.365%
Average surplus = £1.250m
But £13.932m (74.2%) of this surplus has come
in last 2 years (2009/10 and 2010/11)
Comparison with other UK countries
in England, 50% FE colleges directly funded by
HEFCE
FE colleges in England deliver 7.5% of HE
in Scotland, FE colleges deliver 41.4% of HE; of
these 51% are full-time and 49% part-time
in Northern Ireland, 18.6% of HE students in
FE colleges
Loudhouse research (2011) of 500 pupils
in UK entering year 10
pupils currently studying for GCSEs
unaware of options after their exams
74% unable to name NVQs, 81% BTECs,
and 93% apprenticeships as post-GCSE
options
35% unaware of local FE college; 96%
unaware of local training providers!
New Directions: Chrysalis Research (2011)
(1,620 15-19 years and 1,693 parents)
28% young people and 23% parents not heard
term ‘vocational education’
only 37% parents confident about giving children
information about vocational qualifications
young people stated ‘that vocational
qualifications often had a stigma and were seen
to be aimed at less intelligent students’
relatively few young people taking general
qualifications had actively considered vocational
options
Programme for delivery: 420
commitments and 10 core pledges
Area
Commitments
Core pledges
Growth and sustainable jobs
42
3
Public services
36
0
Education
43
3
Health care
97
2
Supporting people
50
1
Welsh homes
15
0
Safer communities for all
9
1
Equality
14
0
Tackling poverty
20
0
Rural
29
0
Environment and sustainabilty
37
0
Culture and heritage
28
0
Some key commitments impacting on FE
encourage further mergers of FE colleges where
these provide increased learning opportunities
for learners (commitment 25)
require closer collaboration between providers of
FE & providers of HE where this will result in
increased efficiency & widening access
(commitment (25)
work with FE to establish three year funding
arrangements to allow for better strategic
planning and more coherent approach to course
provision (26)
Commitments contd
introduce an all Wales contract for FE lecturers
(29)
reform the governance of FE in Wales along not
for profit or social enterprise lines in order to
give a wider range of stakeholders a say on how
colleges are run (31)
Be careful...
The unexpected can happen
Diolch yn fawr