International Business Negotiations and Dimplomacy
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Transcript International Business Negotiations and Dimplomacy
Schumpeterian Growth
Theory
Introduction and Motivation
Elias Dinopoulos
Facts About Growth
Slide 1
Organization of the topic
Introduction and motivation
Data on growth and development
Stylized facts about growth
Facts About Growth
Slide 2
Why study economic growth?
Economic questions that are still debated:
Why are some countries rich and other
countries poor?
Why growth rates differ across countries?
Are long-run growth rates exogenous or
endogenous?
Two concepts of endogeneity:
Do firms optimize when they decide to invest in
processes that generate growth?
Are long-run growth rates affected by policy
parameters?
Facts About Growth
Slide 3
The development of growth theory
Classical growth theory
Adam Smith; Malthus; Ricardo; Marx.
The neoclassical growth theory
The Solow model of economic growth.
Perfectly competitive markets
Exogenous rate of population growth
Exogenous rate of technological progress
Endogenous long-run income per capita levels
Endogenous transitional growth of per capita
output.
Facts About Growth
Slide 4
Preliminary definitions and concepts
In a steady- state equilibrium each endogenous
variable grows at a constant rate (which can be zero).
The growth rates of different variable can be different
but each growth rate must be independent of time.
We can analyze a steady-state equilibrium easier than
an equilibrium that depends on time explicitly.
We refer to a steady-state equilibrium as a long-run or
as a balanced growth equilibrium.
Facts About Growth
Slide 5
Schumpeterian growth
Schumpeterian growth is a particular type of
growth that is based on the process of creative
destruction (Joseph Schumpeter, Capitalism,
Socialism and Democracy, 1942).
Creative destruction is a process that
characterizes the continual introduction of new
products or processes under conditions of
temporary monopoly power.
New and or better products (processes)
replace old ones; new firms replace old
ones; this process creates technological
progress that benefits society.
Facts About Growth
Slide 6
Schumpeterian growth theory
The process of creative destruction
generates technological progress and
economic growth.
It is also based on temporary monopoly
power and dynamic imperfect competition.
The presence of distortions and imperfect
competition allows a strong role for
government policy.
Facts About Growth
Slide 7
The development of new growth theory
In the mid 1980’s two broad classes of early
endogenous growth models were developed:
Paul Romer (1986, JPE) and Bob Lucas (1988)
introduced external economies to scale into the
theory of growth.
Segerstrom, Anant and Dinopoulos (1990, AER),
Paul Romer (1990, JPE), Aghion and Howitt
(1992, Econometrica), and Grossman and
Helpman (1991, ReStud) developed the
Schumpeterian growth theory.
Early Schumpeterian growth models carried the
scale effects property.
Facts About Growth
Slide 8
Schumpeterian growth theory
Recent Schumpeterian growth models removed
the scale effects property.
These models introduced population growth in
earlier ones:
Schumpeterian growth models without scale
effects can be classified into:
Semi-Endogenous growth models
Jones (1995, JPE); Segerstom (AER, 1998),
Kortum (1997, Econometrica)
Fully-Endogenous growth models
Young (1998, JPE), Howitt (1999, JPE),
Dinopoulos and Thompson (JOEG, 1998)
Facts About Growth
Slide 9
Data on growth and development
Fact #1: There is enormous variation in per
capita income across economies.
The poorest countries have per capita
incomes that are less than 5 percent of per
capita incomes in the richest countries.
See first section of table 1.1. (Jones, page 4),
which reports real per capita GDP in 1990 of rich
countries.
There are measurement issues associated with
international comparisons.
GDP is an imperfect measure of development
level but is correlated highly with other indicators
of prosperity.
Facts About Growth
Slide 10
Data on Growth and Development
Facts About Growth
Slide 11
Data on growth and developnment
Fact #2: Rates of economic growth vary
substantially across countries.
The last two columns of table 1.1 characterize
economic growth.
From 1960- 1990, growth in GDP per worker in the
U.S. averaged about 1.4 percent.
Japan had a 5 percent average growth during the
same period, and China has experienced more than
10 per cent growth in the last decade.
The last column of table 1.1 show how long it could
take for a country to double its per capita income,
using the formula time=(70/percentage of growth).
Facts About Growth
Slide 12