Transcript Document

Kent Forum 24/11/11
Strategic Level Finance
Lee Colyer
Chair of Kent Financial Officers
Association
Issues for discussion
• 1. Business Rate Proposals
• 2. Medium Term Budget Projections
• 3. Communication and Influence
1. Business Rate Proposals
• Consultation closed
• LG Bodies all disappointed with proposals
• Was an opportunity to rebalance relationship
between Local Authorities and Businesses
• Difference between definition of ‘localisation’
• Proposals hinge on whether Councils can
deliver growth above CLG forecast (not known)
1. Business Rate Growth
• Appendix A shows taxbase per authority over
past five years
• Confirms: volatility with little or no real growth
• Appendix B shows the yield totals
• Confirms: yield has increased due to multiplier
and reliefs which would be kept by Treasury
• Any financial benefit will be limited but uncertain
Questions
• Can Kent deliver real sustained growth?
• Will government take on board concerns and
amend proposals?
2. Medium Term Budget savings
• Context is important
• First table shows the spend for each
authority according to CIPFA stats
• Budget Requirement column is the
national and local tax burden to fund each
authority (incl. local precepts)
3 Year Total Budget Gaps
£TBC
£3m
£3m
£11.4m
£2.7m
£nil
£2.5m
£1.7m
£1.9m
£3.9m
£2m
£1.5m
KCC £240m
Police £42m
Fire
£12m
GT
£330m
£2.9m
Impact on Kent Economy
Medium Term
• £330m of public expenditure lost
• Expected 1,600 Job Losses
Longer Term Factors will add more pressure
• End of Council Tax Freeze Grants
• 10% less grant when Council Tax Benefit
‘localised’ and exposure to increase in claimants
• Withdrawal of New Homes Bonus
• Government finances will need to be costed
following higher inflation linked benefits and lower
growth = more public sector funding cuts.
Joint Approach
• Knowing how and where savings are to be made
is crucial for strategic planning
• Proposals require political support before
publishing
• New era of tightening financial resources requires
greater collaboration
Positives
• Good track record and networks in place
• Locality Boards good opportunity to resolve
delivery overlaps, decide who is now best placed
to deliver
• Kent received good Annual Audit Letters
Communication and Influence
• Kent authorities had grants cut by 28%
• Good financial planning and delivering efficiencies
mitigated most of the grant cuts
• But, national data is hurting Kent Authorities
• Inflation should be 2% but persistently high, this
hits us hard on utility costs, contracts and fuel
• National growth forecast have fallen well short
which impacts on income streams
• Localisation proposals have been disappointing
and not fully funded - trust in Councils?
• England has most centralised system of any
OECD country (76%/24%)
End and Questions?