Transcript Mapping and Gap Analysis

Mapping and Gap Analysis
Summarised Preliminary Results
Macroeconomic Context of Early
Recovery
– Growth impact estimates lowered – but still substantial (Output losses of
≈2% of GDP est. in current year due to floods)
– Yields of key crops boosted (wheat, sunflower, canola, sugarcane)
– Fiscal impact absorbed with relative ease due to foreign exchange inflow
and re-appropriation of PSDP and ADP
– Vulnerability of affected population has increased (53% of HHs reported
76-100% decline in household incomes)
– Spike in flood-related food inflation for several months
– Possibly increased persistence of food + overall inflation
Priority Areas for Early Recovery
• Regeneration of agricultural economy – Kharif
crop and the next Rabi
• Provision of shelter to the most vulnerable in
the worst affected areas
• Restoration of public sector infrastructure and
services
• Continued focus on the most vulnerable
Purpose of Gap Analysis
• Sector-wise and Theme-wise disaggregated
data on ER needs, response so far, and Gaps
• Financial data about ER needs and updated
funding pledges and receipts
• A Strategic Early Recovery Plan
Principles for Prioritisation in Gap
Identification
• Relevance (Concentration on ER, excluding
relief, longer term reconstruction and
development)
• Focus (Concentration on the most vulnerable
sections of the affected population)
• Capacity (Availability of Human and Physical
resources nationally)
• Timeliness (Possible for implementation
before the end of 2011)
Cost Comparison of Overall ER Needs
and Prioritised Needs (US$)
Sector/Theme
Total ER Needs
Prioritised ER Needs
Food & Agriculture
436,700,000
176,550,000
Housing
349,190,565
174,595,282
Non Farm Livelihoods
85,930,552
15,234,155
Community Infrastructure 92,005,877
11,323,000
Governance
13,536,000
8,536,000
Education
38,298,486
38,298,486
Health & Nutrition
86,365,884
49,000,000
Water & Sanitation
138,454,000
106,630,000
Gender
500,000
500,000
Protection
49,000,000
14,000,600
Environment
21,000,000
5,002,050
Disaster Risk Reduction
10,665,000
10,665,000
TOTAL
1,138,496,364
610, 834, 573
Cost Comparison of Overall ER Needs
and Prioritised Needs (US$)
Distribution of Prioritised ER Costs
among Sectors (US$)
Distribution of Prioritised ER Costs
among Thematic Areas (US$)