Transcript Slide 1
On the Gridding Emissions Globally Muntean M., Pagliari V., Janssens-Maenhout G., Guizzardi D., Petrescu R., Olivier J., Thiruchittampalam B., Uzbasich M., J. Theloke, J. van Aardenne Joint Research Centre (JRC) http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu IES - Institute for Environment and Sustainability Ispra - Italy http://ies.jrc.ec.europa.eu/ http://www.jrc.ec.europa.eu/ TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 On the Gridding Emissions Globally I. EDGAR Methodology and proxy data II. EUROPA case study Emissions distribution using different proxy data III. CHINA case study Emissions distribution: - National total versus province totals - Aggregated versus disaggregated by fuel type TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 I. EDGAR - Methodology AD data EoP EF The EOLO Framework EMISSIONS kton/yr Grid maps 0.1°x0.1° TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 Scale EMISSIONS on grids Emissions GRIDs 0.1°x0.1° I. EDGAR - Methodology Grouping by proxy grids 750.000 activity (sector)-specific emission country totals Total by country & proxy TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 I. EDGAR Proxy data Proxy Maps (e.g.) 74 different proxy datasets http://edgar.jrc.it/eolo/php/grd_list.php Energy point sources Power plants CARMA 2000, 2007 Chemical industry Agriculture Ammonia Buffalo; Cattle; Goats In-house derived maps Rural population Urban population Coal mining Adipic acid Poultry; Sheep; Pigs Oil refineries Nitric acid Crop; Grass Metal industry Mineral industry Trees Iron &steel maps Cement Soil distribution Roads multiplied by population Inland waterways (rivers and lakes) Population (1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010) Magnesium Lime Other Histosol maps Copper Road transport Shipping trajectories Ammonia deposition map Zinc; Lead Road - 2008 Aviation trajectories Aluminium maps TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 Gas production I. EDGAR Proxy data 240 country emissions 1.500.000 grid cell proxy 3.700.000 grid cell emissions TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 I. EDGAR Proxy data Creation of New proxy Grids Roads Roads times inhabitants TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 II. EUROPA case study Emissions distribution using different proxy data Sources considered: - Heavy duty vehicles Road transport : - Passenger cars - Light duty vehicles - Mopeds & motorcycles Year: - 2008 Pollutant: - NOx, CLRTAP emissions Proxy E-PRTR: - traffic volume (Trans-Tools) Proxy EDGAR: - 1. population (HD) and - 2. population x roads (PC, LD, MP&MC) TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 II. EUROPA Emissions distribution using different proxy data Proxy - population x roads increases the gradient between city and intercity transport TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 II. EUROPA Emissions distribution using different proxy data EDGAR proxy - population x roads This proxy represents well traffic volume TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 E-PRTR proxy - traffic volume (Trans-Tools) III. CHINA case study Emissions distribution: National total, Province total and Fuel type EDGAR – improving emissions distribution for large countries Move from national totals to province/state totals In this case study we used the GAINS fractions to allocate the national EDGAR CO2 emissions to the Provinces Proxy used to distribute the CO2 emissions: 1) by country and 2) by province Road transport : population x roads (PC, LD, MC, BS) and roads (HD) Energy: power plants Industry : urban population 2005 Residential : population 2005 Cement production: cement Lime production: lime Waste incineration: urban population 2005 Domestic aviation: domestic aviation, take off and landing Inland water: inland water Petroleum refining: oil refineries Manufacture of solid fuel - coke TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 CHINA by country vs. CHINA by province On aggregated level the split at province level has minor effect TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 COAL CHINA by country vs. CHINA by province Chongqing 31070000 inhabitants TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 GAS CHINA by country vs. CHINA by province TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 GAS and COAL CHINA by country vs. CHINA by province Looking at disaggregated level, by fuel type, subdivision of country totals to province totals becomes very significant. Use of gas or coal in the energy, industry and residential sectors needs to be allocated to the correct province. Proxy used for GAS / COAL emissions distribution Energy: power plants PP_CARMA_2007 Industry: urban population 2005 Residential: population 2005 TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 Conclusions EDGAR grids emission country totals at global scale and is building up its pool of global proxy data with consistent global statistics. EDGAR is steadily improving its gridding tools: 1. For regions covered with detailed proxy gridmaps. We check the quality and appropriateness of our proxy data by comparing with advanced proxies: for road transport the “population x roads” proxy seems to be appropriate (compared to “traffic volume” proxy). 2. For large regions (e.g. China, the USA, India). We first split the country emission totals to province emission totals by subdividing the sector-specific country totals to the provinces/ states with appropriate shares (e.g. from GAINS). TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011 Thanks for your attention! http://edgar.jrc.ec.europa.eu TFEIP meeting, Stockholm, May 2011