Transcript Climate Change Adaptation

Developing Climate Change
Adaptation Options
March 15/2011
NEXT STEPS:
Prioritizing Options and
Developing the Strategy
Our Approach to
Climate Change Adaptation
SRD 2010-13
Business Plan
•Core Business
•Goals
•Strategies
Ecological Services
Climate Change
Vulnerabilities
Potential Climate
Change Risks
Potential Climate
Change Adaptation
Options
Climate change
adaptation
framework
Step 1:
Scope and
Preparation
Data &
Information
Current and
Projected
Climate
Change
Impacts
Ecosystem
Services &
SocioEconomic
Sectors
Current
Adaptation
Activities
Data &
Information
Framework Terms
of Reference
Adaptive
Scope &
Capacity
Scale
Analysis
Step 2:
Vulnerability
Assessment
Step 3:
Risk
Assessment
Step 4:
Adaptation
Options
Sensitivity
Likelihood
Governance
Technology
Assessed
Vulnerabilities
Priority
Risks
Adaptation
Options
Consequence
People
Process
Adaptive
Capacity
Stakeholder Engagement and Communication
Adaptation Options
• Purpose – identify a wide range of potential adaptation
options that are appropriate under current and future
climate conditions
• Outcomes of developing Adaptation Options will provide a
toolkit of ways to achieve objectives by enabling the
identification of policies, programs, projects, research,
technologies
• Early adaptation increases adaptive capacity while
reducing vulnerabilities and demonstrates effective risk
management
Organizational capabilities for
adaptation
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Depend on four critical areas:
Governance
People
Technology
Process
Governance
• Management, policies and processes to
direct the activities of the organization
• Eg. Policy, resource decisions, licensing,
approvals, compliance, quotas etc.
People
• Organizational staff or external
stakeholders are responsible for managing
risks.
• Eg. Training, recruitment and retention,
performance management
Technology
• Refers to the application of science to
adapt to the environment.
• Eg. Climate modelling, GIS applications,
field and monitoring equipment and
infrastructure
Process
•
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2.
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6.
7.
Describe how work is done.
Develop and deploy strategies
Identify and assess risks
Respond to risks
Design and test measures
Monitor
Reevaluate progress
Sustain and continuously improve
Adaptation Options Grassland example
Key Projected
Climate Change
Impacts
Shifting vegetation
and grazing zones
Risk
H
Potential Adaptation Options
People
Active involvement of the ranching
community to address carrying capacity
changes
Process
Shift grazing zones from highly sensitive
areas to adaptive areas (ie sandy areas)
Technology
Use modelling software to identify areas
where grazing is more suited
Governance
Alter rangeland management practices to
target species at the edge of their range
where early impacts will be evident
Adaptation Options Forestry example
Key Projected
Climate Change
Impacts
Drought
Risk
H
Potential Adaptation Options
People
Educate policy/decision makers and the public
to increase awareness of drought risks
Process
Planting of drought tolerant tree
species/provenances in areas expected to
experience increased drought.
Technology
Development and use of techniques that can
rapidly and efficiently identify drought tolerant
tree species/provenances/genotypes.
Governance
Amending Standards for Tree Improvement in
Alberta, strata balancing policies, and
regulations regarding planting of non-native
trees on crown lands
Key projected climate change impacts
common to each business area in SRD
• Water quantity/quality (would
encompass things like loss of wetlands,
changing flow patterns, etc.)
• Habitat loss/change (including shifting
vegetation zones, loss of species and
genetics)
• Increased invasive alien species
• Increased probability of extreme
conditions (drought, flooding)
SRD case studies
•
SRD climate change Technical team wants to test the use of the Adaptation
Framework by developing adaptation options for 4-5 projected climate
change impacts
• Fiscal year 2010/11
1. Changes in forest cover in southern fringes of the Boreal Forest ( John Stadt
and Mark Johnston)
2. Shifts in vegetation zones and productivity in grasslands (Mike Willoughby
and Jeff Thorpe)
• Fiscal year 2011/12
3. Changes in length and severity of fire seasons (Cordy Tymstra and Mike
Flannigan)
4. Climate change impacts on habitat and how it impacts species at risk (
invasive species) Will be narrowed down (Lisa Matthias and to be
identified)
5. Loss of locally adapted gene pools on commercial forestry (Deogratias
Rweyongeza and Andreas Hamann)
Next Steps for today
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As a large group let’s discuss if we have
captured all of the organizational capabilities
(ie are we missing something other than
people, process, governance or technology)
Split into two groups (forestry, grassland) and
discuss and capture adaptation options for 1.
shifting of forest edge north in the boreal 2.
shifting vegetation zones and carrying capacity
for grasslands
Within each group capture potential adaptation
options for people, process, governance,
technology or other?.