Transcript ppt - WMO
PRACTICE AND DEVELOPMENT IN EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS China Meteorological Administration Bai Jingyu 2016.4 Genvena content I. National Early Warning Releasing System—— NEWRS II. Early Warning Forecast Technology Practice and Development in Early Warning Systems I. National Early Warning Releasing System—— NEWRS Background 中国突发事件四大类 China’s emergency incidents 自然灾害 Natural disasters 事故灾难 Accidental disasters 公共卫生事 件 Public health incidents 社会安全事 件 Social security incidents Background • The state council should establish a nationwide unified early warning release system • The country should establish and perfect the system of emergency monitoring • The country should establish and perfect the system of emergency early warning release 《The Law on Response to Emergencies》 Implement since November 1,2007 Establish a nationwide unified early warning release system 《 During the period of "11th five-year plan" national public emergency response system construction plan》: • put forward on the construction of national early warning release system, implementation of providing early warning information services to the central committee of the state council , government departments, units emergency responsible person and the social public , to build the authoritative release platform of the early warning information for our country. 《About during the period of "11th five-year plan" national emergency system construction of public emergency planning implementation opinions》： • Weather Administration responsible for the early warning information release system construction, operation and maintenance, and provide early warning information publishing services for each department 《The state council general office on strengthening meteorological disaster monitoring and early warning and information release work》 • actively promote the construction of national early warning release system, form a jointed, standard and unified meteorological early warning release system of national, provincial, municipal, and county level, realize comprehensive release with multiple methods of early warning NEWRS built for 4 years since project approval 2011 2012 • The national • Completed development and preliminary reform system platform commission issued construction investment, and the project construction started 2013 • Completed the in deployment , installation and test of provincial and municipal platform 2014 • System put into trial operation 2015 • The national early warning center was established • System put into formal operation • System operation management method was issued NEWRS’s framework 卫星备份网 互联网DMZ 电子政务外网 DMZ 电子政务外网DMZ 互联网 DMZ 盘 阵 短信平台 短信平台 服务器 服务器 管理平台服务器 管理平台服务器 短信平台 服务器 盘阵 Provincial system 省级局域网 网站web 网站web 服务器 服务器 国家级骨干局域网 气象宽带网/局域网 舆情数据库 舆情数据库 服务器 服务器 全国气象宽带网 气象宽带网/局域网 反馈系统 反馈系统 服务器 服务器 管理平台服务器 Municipal system 气象宽带网/局 域网 管理平台 服务器 管理平台 服务器 县级 工作站 市级局域网 电子政务外网 DMZ 管理平台 服务器 国家级预警信息发布系统 国家级预警信息发布系统 Longitudinal and horizontal inter-connected, deployment of three levels and four levels application platform, the 8 message transmission base on the meteorological broadband network Nationwide early warning release system construction scale NEWRS relationship and structure Early warning dissemination system emergency command system（20 sectors） national provincial Social media IP channel network NEWRS Municipal and county Business & Operating Support System Internet early warning service Info collect, verify, release Adopted CAP National emergency broadcasting system Social media Departments’ self-built distribution channels IP distribution network Local featured warning system Cell phone early warning 手机预警平台 platform Restricted channel for 应急责任人专用通道 person in charge of emergency Adopted CAP standards to establish release progress and tech principals CAP，Common Alerting Protocol was firstly presented by OASIS, format standard for exchange between the different network of disaster warning and public early warning. In 2007, CAP adopted by the international telecommunication union, and became the international standard CAP defines an alert document type, which is used to exchange all kinds of alarms and events, such as meteorology, geology, public health and safety, rescue, law enforcement, the environment, transportation, infrastructure, and terrorist activities, etc The world meteorological organization promote the international general alarm protocol implementation. -《The public emergencies early warning platform and Release Means Access interface Specifications》 -《Coding Specifications for Information Delivery of National Emergency Early-Warining System》 -《Interface Specifications for tweeterand display screen based on CAP protocol》 -《Specifications for Early Warning information Internet Transmission》 - 《The Standards for Emergency Broadcast System to Access the National Emergency EarlyWarining System》 Wide coverage of early warning dissemination network Broadcast and TV Television instant inter-cut of 30 provinces, radio instant inter-cut of 31 provinces Emergency network ：Implement the docking with emergency network comprehensive emergency, demonstration of 2 provinces National social media Tencent：Cover 600 million WeChat users and 400 million QQ users with popup Ali：Covering 400 million Alipay users Qihoo：Cover 460 million PC users and 338 million mobile phone users Baidu：Cover 83% internet users with Baidu search and map Sina：Cover 300 million microblog users Business & Operating Support System Dedicated access：31 provinces completed Green channel：4 provinces signed 12379 green channel release Mobile phone producers：discuss with lenovo, samsung on mandatory app installation standard Wide coverage of early warning dissemination network Distribution Channels of different industries Docking with 145,000 meteorological LED screens, 329,000 meteorological early warning loudspeakers 78,000 rural information service stations, covering 95.6% villages and towns 8 marine broadcast radios 12379 release channels SMS： 23 provinces established entire network release mechanism, covering early warning information officer at the local level Internet： Cover 170 million internet users and 50 million mobile users Emergency Channel：In 31 provinces of 314 cities, covering 92 million digital subscribers Four core functions 1 4 Integrated release of early warning 2 Rapid release of the appointed area via entire network 3 dedicated channel for local messengers barrier-free sharing of early warning across departments 1. Integrated release of early warning emergency command departments National early warning center National dissemination network 2. rapid release of the appointed area via entire network 1 national National center Provincial center 31 provincial Municipal and county centers 343 municipal and 2015 county 3. dedicated channel for local messenger(12379) 12379 is a short number authorized by the govenerment special to be used for warning release to Departments’ person in charge of emergency, the characteristics are rapid and accurate. emergency linkage department, local massagers early warning information, to realize hazard monitoring and prevention operated by mass people warning NEWRS dedicated channel for local messenger APP SMS Email FAX TEL …… 4. barrier-free sharing of early warning across departments Land & Marine Resourc es Meteo Natural rology disaste rs Earthq uake Public health Touris Water conserv ancy Accide ntal disaste Enviro rs Social securit y Forestr nment Transp ortatio m y Health Agricul …… ture n Practice and Development in Early Warning Systems II. Early Warning Forecast Technology Task: develop“seamless、precise、intelligent”digital grid forecasting, and undertake monitoring and early warning of disastrous weather in small and medium scale 2.5KM Shared a digital forecast grid in whole province Temperature Precipitation Humidity Visibility Wind Cloudiness high temperature low temperature Thunder Haze 2.5 kilometer（key period within 1kilometer）， a timely revise and update, in 10 days temperature HaiXinsha weather forecast and early warning Risk level precipitation Personal location service---a quantitative prediction of any time at any point Within the next 3 hours, the resolution refined to 1 km, forecast by per 6 mins Next 3hours~3days ， resolution 2.5kms， forecast by per hour Next 3days~10days ， resolution 2.5kms， forecast by per 3 hours Next 10days and above， resolution 50 kms， forecast by per day Combined with professional services and the characteristics of underlying surface, the role of “digital forecast +“ highlights Geologic disaster risk Route Safe Ocean Gradually extend to impact forecasting and risk early warning based on the carrying capacity develop monitoring early warning technology of disastrous weather in small and medium scale Storm tracking and early warning Thunderstorm, wind and hail monitoring and early warning Storm Identification and tracking algorithm Detection capability：space resolution in 1 km, rolling updates in 6 minutes Thunderstorm, wind detection and early warning Hail Detection Algorithm Early warning capability：Sudden disastrous weather Lightning monitoring and early warning warning has been advanced by 30 minutes Minute Precipitation estimation and forecasting technology Release capability：Early warning coverage rate reached City Waterlogging Monitoring and early warning based on radar precipitation estimation and forecast Early Warning info Type：urban waterlogging Valid：next 6 hours Condition： Sliding precipitation exceeded Model：Urban flood and waterlogging model waterlogging point： Zhongshan streetAbove Gangding bridge Digital prediction + mountain floods risk early underlying surface features warning Expert type: establish differentiated weather influenced model, completed interpretation of digital prediction Early warning info type：mountain floods and mudslides Valid：next 2.5 hours condition：Sliding precipitation exceeded Model：Flood inundation model Water level：3.5 meters Area：2.5 square kilometers Influenced villages and towns ： Lvtian town Guifeng mountain Suggestions for Roadmap of Sendia Framework Project : Establish a worldwide unified early warning release system via CAP which has been proved availible in China, with the most complicated disasters. WMO should consider to support the project of the system construction, and CMA glad to take part in. Promote: coordinated development of digital model and forecasting technology all of the world, promote scientific research ability. Expedite Authoritative Open Speed Early warning makes life more secure! Thanks for your listening!