NTCA Region 9
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Transcript NTCA Region 9
OREGON CONNECTIONS
HOOD RIVER
October 24, 2013
Company Background
Clear Creek Communications
Service
Area
52
Sq. Miles
Founded 1906
Statistics
Dwindling
Access Lines
Stable DSL and Cable Modem Customers (20/80)
Stable Number of Video Customers
Growing Number of Security Customers
We
serve no place
Virtually
no cities, towns or named communities
The Network of the Future
May Not Be Your Own
External Forces Are Changing How Traditional
Carriers View the Very Nature of Their Operations
Leveraging Any Available Network is Now
Acceptable
External Forces Change the Future
Three Drivers of Change
1.
2.
3.
Reductions in Traditional Revenues
Financiers Tighten Credit
Active Regulatory Period
Opportunities Brought by Change
Reactions
New Revenues and Markets
Actions
Outcomes
1.) Reduction in Traditional Revenues
ILEC’s Actions
Traditional
Cost Cutting
Can Result In Returned Revenue
Customers Actions
Movement
Toward Wireless
Can Result in Uncollected Revenues
Action Of Others
Events
Beyond Your Control
Can Result in Lower Revenue
ILEC’s Actions
Can’t Manage an ILEC Like a Normal Business
Cost
Savings vs Cost Study
Complicated by Two Year Lag
Positive Impact Can Be Short Lived
Frustration and ?#*%&$!
Customer Action
Adoption of Broadband
Loss
Shift Toward Wireless
Loss
of Second Lines
of Primary Lines
Recession
Just
Trying to Cut Back
Impact on All Services
Expanded Options
Some
Customers May Not
Know You
Customer Actions
Wireless Drift
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Access Line Loss
Actions of Others
Local Impact Caused By Separation Rules
Returns
That Are Driven By Averages
National
Average Loop Cost
Local Rate Benchmarks
CAPS
Directly Impacted Our Operations
Heavy
Investment In Some Areas Raised NALC
Our Investment Straight Lined
Impacts
Our NALC Multiple
Significant Reduction in Support
20% of Annual Revenue Lost
Actions of Others
Exponential Growth
National
Average Loop Cost
Increase
7.5%,14%, 10%, 12%, 1%
NACP Grew 3x Faster Than Company
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2.2x
2.1x
1.9x
1.7x
1.5x
1.6x
Clear Creek
National Average
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
2.) Financiers Tighten Credit
Concerns With Industry Segment
Telephone
Business Performance
Regulatory Uncertainty
Result
Cautious
Lending
Tighter Covenants
Bottom-Line
Less
Capital Available
Loan Pre-Payments
Concerns With Industry Segment
Industry Multiples – Jan 2013
Mean Enterprise Value
Growth
Lending Multiple
Transport/
Data Center
13.0 x (DC’s)
10 – 20%
3.5 – 6.0 x
Cable
7.3 x
5 – 10%
3.5 – 6.0 x
Wireless
5.2 x
0 – 5%
2.5 – 3.5 x
Telco
5.7 x
-5 – 5%
1.5 – 3.0 x
Credit Impacts Operation
Shifts Importance of Debt Service
20% Movement in 5 Years
Options Still Exist For Funding
Telephone
23%
2012
Leverage Must Be Moderate
Business Plan Must be Prudent
Heightened Due Diligence
Will Be Pricing to Risk
Bank Will Have a Greater Focus
Management
Diversification
Performance To Plan
2016
Debt
Service
52%
Television
25%
Telephone
6%
Television
20%
Debt
Service
74%
3.) Active Regulatory Period
Pressure on Telco Operations
Limitations
on USF Support
Phase Down of Switched Access Cost Recovery
Corporate Operations Expense Limitation
Rate of Return Re-Prescription
And More
Pressure on Telco Operations
USF and ICC Reform is Our Reality
Industry
Continues to Advocate
We
Are Well Represented
Yet That May Not Solve Your Specific Challenge
Some of Us May Have Serious Issues
Regulators
They
Continue to Regulate
May Not Have Your Best Interest In Mind
Surprise!
4.) New Revenues and Markets
Positive Action Can Be Taken
Revenue Generation Possibilities
Actions We Pursued
Large
Scale Project
Security
and Home Automation
Leverage
Available Networks
Both
Wired and Wireless
Partnering
Positive Action Can Be Taken
Additional Revenue May Be Generated By
New
Services
New Customers
Low Capital Options
Funded
Per Customer
Partnerships
Cost
Savings
Expertise
Revenue Generation Possibilities
Many Carriers Have Developed New Services
Regulated
& Non‐Regulated
Monitoring/Security
Home
Networking
Computer Literacy/Support
VoIP
Hosted PBX
Ethernet Transport to Wireless
Dark Fiber
Colocation
Revenue Generation Possibilities
Or Attempted to Leverage Existing Assets
Assets
Owned and Operated
Switching
Services
Installation & Repair
Customer Service
Billing & Collection
Accounting/Regulatory/Management
Assets
of Others
Wireless
Networks
Interconnected Networks
Capital Investment
Labor and expertise
Security & Home Automation
ClearView
Next
Generation Security
Interactive
Security
Energy Management
Home Automation
Video Monitoring
Leverages
Backhaul
Wireless and IP Networks
on Verizon, ATT, T-Mobile
Video and Secondary on Any IP Connection
Easily Offered Beyond Exchange
Industry With Growth Spurt
Projected Annual Revenue Growth
Business intelligence Apps
Energy Information Services
Hosted Access Control
Managed Access Control
Managed Video
Hosted Video
Video Verification
Monitored Residential Fire
Intergrating Alarms and HVAC
Video Guard Replacements
Intergrating Secuirty on IT Networks
Security via Mobile Devices
Alternative Alarm Signal Transmission
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
Interactive Security
Complete Web Control
A
New Reality for Customers
Energy Management
Measure Energy Usage
Multiple
Measurement Levels
Set Energy Goals
Query Current Usage
emPower
Control
Lights
Operate Appliances
Thermostats
Home Automation
Intelligent Operations
Smart
Schedules
Activity Patterns
Geo-Services
Home Control
Garage
Doors
Window Blinds
Video Monitoring
Video Is The Most Popular Feature
Live
Streaming
Video Alerts
Cloud Storage
Network DVR
Leverage Other Networks
Western Independent Networks
Expands
Our Reach
Offers
Transport Network Throughout Oregon And The
Greater Northwest Region
Leverage The Networks Of 25 Shareholder Companies
Expands
Our Opportunities
Oregon
Broadband Partnership
Participation With Others
Integra
Century Link
Wave Broadband
LS Networks
INDATEL (National Coverage)
Partnering
ClearView
Particularly
Suited to Working Together
Current Have 7 Partners
Sharing
Common
Brand
Knowledge
Marketing
Sales and Technical Staff
Facilitates Quick Entry
Partnering
Oregon Cable Group
Created
in 1999
Recently Joined
Current Have 4 Members
Sharing
Headend
Equipment
Capital Projects
Knowledge
Technical Staff
Partnering
Western Independent Networks
Equity
Partner
Network Partnership
Services Utilized
Point
to Point Special Access
Ethernet Transport
Internet Backbone Access
IP Voice Aggregation
Peering
NOC and Maintenance Services
Partnering
Possibilities Abound
Jointly
Provided Services
Infrastructure Sharing
Wholesale Purchasing
Management/Labor Contracts
Look Around You
What’s
Happening in Your Neighborhood?
Are You Part of The Discussion?