Transcript lect_00.pps

Statistical Hydrology
By
Prof. Dr. Eng. Amro Elfeki
Faculty of Meteorology,
Environment and Arid Land
Agriculture (Room 207)
[email protected]
Course Objectives
Introduction
Application
of Statistics in the Hydrological Science
Presentation
Analysis

to Statistical Hydrology
of data
of data
Statistical Models
Prediction
GROUND RULES
Instructions for Students
While in lecture, please DO NOT:
 Forget to turn off cell phones
 Read newspapers
 Talk and have conversations
 Break Islamic and KAAU rules/laws (e.g., cheating)
GROUND RULES
Instructions for Students
While in the lecture, please DO:
 Ask questions when anything is not clear
 Engage in the discussions
 Fully participate in in-class exercises
GROUND RULES
Instructions for Students
•Reading the notes
•Attend lectures
•Come on time.
• Homework assignments
•hard work
•Independence
•desire to improve their mind
•desire to acquire new skills
•want to understand their world
•be willing to work collaboratively
WHY WE’RE HERE
-You-You absolutely LOVE science
-You need credits to graduate
-Just curious, it seemed like it might be easy
-You have absolutely no idea
WHY WE’RE HERE
-Me-I’m an Associate professor in the Dept of Water
Management and teach 4 classes/year,
-I teach statistical hydrology, watershed hydrology,
Introduction of water science and advanced surface
water hydrology for MSc. students.
Presenting the Course
Present lecture material in power point
presentation to honor fact that different people
learn differently:
- Seeing/Visual
- Reading
- Hearing
- Personal discovery
- etc
GOALS of the Course
Course Goals
Apply our knowledge
-Get experience in a new science.
-Broaden your Knowledge.
-Be able to develop and solve various types of
problems related to statistical hydrology.
-Understand the advantages and limitations of
methods and algorithms used in statistical hydrology.
GOALS of the Course
Course Goals
Comfort with new language
-Understand and appreciate how models can be
used in statistical hydrology
-More responsible citizen.
-Lots of terminology throughout this course.
- Statistical hydrology requires knowledge of
various sciences like hydrology, mathematics and
statistics.
GOALS of the Course
Course Goals
 But also, we have these goals:
-
Critical thinking & scientific method.
-
Improve ability to communicate
-
Acquire new skills in the use of technology
Statistical hydrology
Our Chapters
-Examples of Data Records in Hydrology.
-How to Present Statistical Data?
- Estimation of Statistical Measures.
- Probability Theory and Applications.
-Random Variables and Distribution Functions.
- Mathematical Expectation.
- Flood Frequency Analysis and Plotting Position.
-Testing Hypothesis and Goodness of Fit Test.
- Statistics of More than one Variable and
Regression Analysis.
- Introduction to Stochastic Hydrology.
Your Tool
1. Notes.
2. Websites.
3. Library.
EXAMS & GRADING
Grades
Home Work
20 points
Mid term Exam
40 points
Final term Exam
40 points
Total
100 points