Transcript EOG - EWEA
INVESTIGATION OF EOG COMBINED WITH GRID
FAILURE IN THE CASE OF OFFSHORE WIND
TURBINES
Niels Jacob Tarp-Johansen
Presented at EWEC2007, 7-10 May 2007, Milan, Italy
Outline
Motivation
Background of present load case
Presentation of an alternative approach
A preliminary example
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Motivation
The load case with EOG combined with electrical failure is a design driver for
foundations for offshore wind turbines – DLC 2.3
This is at least valid for modern MW pitch-regulated machines
It might be different for stall turbines, but these are not considered at state-of-theart for offshore conditions is pitch-regulated turbines
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Background for present load case for grid failure
The gust size seems to be obtained by distributions independent of 10-min mean
wind but conditional on start wind speed
In other words: it seems that an appropriate weighting of distribution of start wind
speed, gust size and e.g. 10-min mean wind speed is missing.
Response has been considered to some extend, as the slope of the gust has
been regarded.
The shape has support in data. The appropriateness of the full coherence
appears not to have been validate and has been accepted as conservative.
Finally some change of gust size has taken place to ensure that together with the
probability of operational events like starts and stops a 50-yr return period event
was obtained
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Alternative approach: Aim and Idea of the method
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Aim: to formulate a general method which considers response. The method
shall determine wind, and sea state conditions to apply in combination with the
event of electrical failure
Idea:
1. The starting point is statistics of the rate of electrical failures and the jpdf. Of climate
parameters: U, I, Hs, …
2. Then one determines the ‘normal’ combinations of electrical failure and climate
parameters
3. One finalizes by performing stochastic response simulations for these normal
conditions
So: the method does not aim at determining abnormal combinations of gusts
and electrical failure
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Alternative approach: Aim and Idea of the method
Three effects are included in the proposed method relative to DLC 2.3
Replacing coherent gust with simulation of turbulent field
(Influence of eigenfrequency relative to gust duration)
Relaxing demand on worst case phasing of gust with electrical failure
Determining climate parameters in situations with electrical failure by different
rationale
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Alternative approach – Theory: Poisson model
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It is assumed that the events of electrical failure follows a Poisson process
with constant intensity
ef the rate of electrical faults per unit time
An electrical failure may potentially lead to structural failure
psf |ef Pr{structural failure | electrical fault}
Consequently the events where electrical failure leads to structural failure
constitute a Poisson process too with constant intensity
sf psf |ef ef
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Alternative approach – Theory: Poisson model
An event with return period T is determined by requiring
sf
2/2
1
T
psf |ef
1
ef T
This gives us the target probability of structural failure for characteristic values
to be used in design against electrical failure
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Alternative approach – Theory: Failure probability
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The structural failure probability depends on
Loads and strengths
Loads in turn depends on climate, design, and the applied control strategy in case of
electrical failure.
This may be expressed through
psf |ef
Pr{structural failure | V , I , H s ,
, R1 , R2 , }
V , I , H s , , R1 , R2 ,
f (V , I , H s ,
, R1 , R2 , )dVdIdH s
dR1dR2
Dependence between climate and electrical failure is accounted for by the
choice for f (V,I,Hs,…)
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Alternative approach – Theory: Failure probability
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Solve the equation with respect to design variables z
psf |ef
, R1 , R2 , }
Pr{structural failure | V , I , H s ,
V , I , H s , , R1 , R2 ,
f (V , I , H s ,
dR1dR2
0.5
This can be done iteratively by use of
normalized response
, R1 , R2 , )dVdIdH s
Extrapolation
FORM or IFORM
…
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
4
3
2
1
10
[m/s]
0
0
5
10
15
V [m/s]
20
25
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Standardisation – how?
Extrapolation may be allowed – this is probably less problematic than it
sounds
An alternative similar to the idea behind ETM + stochastic response
simulations may be developed
An alternative EOG dependent on turbine characteristics may be devised
The two first options are the preferred ones
Potentially the EOG should be included in extra/alternative load cases that
aims at verifying the control system behaviour
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A preliminary example
1/2
We focus on the wind only: IEC 61400-1 model IB
Use IFORM extended to include response
NB most distributions are close to normal implying expectably small error
Compare results with DLC 2.3
Assumptions: electrical failure on the one side and wind and sea state
conditions on the other side are statistically independent
storm events that potentially lead to grid loss (overhead lines clashing) will be
geographically separated from offshore farms
ship dragging an anchor over the sea bottom may cause damage to the cable
Pitch speed: 7.5 deg/sec, tower frequency = 0.38 Hz
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A preliminary example
2/2
Simulations are performed in this way:
For a number of combinations of U and I
For each combination 100 simulations are carried out
The same 100 seeds are used for each U, I.
Simulation until transients have died out
Extremes after electrical failure is detected
Overturning moment.
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A preliminary example: conclusions
The proposed method yields characteristic response about a factor of 2
smaller than DLC 2.3 - practically independent of the rate of electrical failure
(4 – 50 yr-1)
BUT ... Safety level …
Safety factors must be added
Electrical failure + EOG is abnormal, that is gf = 1.1
For the method presented here the situation is normal. Thus probably gf = 1.35 (but
this remains the be proven)
Consequently one has FEOG, design ≈ 1.5 Felec. failure, design
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Further work …
Simulation with other turbines:
Control strategy
Tower frequencies
Separate the three effects
Replacing coherent gust with simulation of turbulent field
Relaxing demand on worst case phasing of gust with electrical failure
Determining climate parameters in situations with electrical failure by different
rationale
Safety factor assessment
Discuss modelling of dependence between grid failure and climate
parameters
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Acknowledgements
Discussions with colleagues inside and outside DONG Energy
Public Service Obligation founds from EnergiNet.dk
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