Transcript Slide 1 - US Globec

U.S. IOOS
&
the Ocean.US Modeling Initiative
• Background & the Mission
of Ocean.US
• IOOS Conceptual Design
NOAA
Navy
NSF
EPA
NASA
USACE
• Status of Implementation
USGS
USCG
MMS
DOE
• Ocean.US Modeling
Initiative
GEOSS
IEOS
Welcome to the
Acronym Jungle
IOOS
GOOS
2
1998 Congress Called for
Integrated Ocean Observing System (IOOS)
Routinely Provide Data/Info Required for
More Rapid Detection & Timely Prediction of State Changes
• Improve the safety & efficiency of marine operations
• Improve national/homeland security
• Improve forecasts of natural hazards and mitigate
their effects more effectively
• Improve predictions of climate change & their effects
• Minimize public health risks
• Protect & restore healthy coastal marine & estuarine
ecosystems more effectively
• Sustain living marine resources
1 System, 7 Societal Goals
3
2004 U.S. Commission on Ocean Policy
• Implement an Integrated Ocean
Observing System (IOOS)
 Make more effective use of existing
resources
 Enhance operational capabilities
over time to address 7 societal goals
• Ecosystem – Based Management
• Strengthen Regional Approach
 As a means of implementing
ecosystem–based management
4
Ocean.US
www.ocean.us
The National Office for Integrated & Sustained Ocean
Observations
• Established in 2000 by NOPP to
 Prepare & maintain IOOS Development Plans based on data
requirements of user groups,
 Coordinate integration of IOOS elements, including harmonizing
regional & national development of the system, &
 Function as the focal point for national & international
development of ocean observing systems.
• Ocean.US Leadership
 Current Director: Mary Altalo (1 January, 2006)
 Past Directors: David Martin, Eric Lindstrom, Tom Malone
5
“Airlie House” Workshop
March 2002
•
IOOS Design Principles
•
Priority Products & Services for
each of the 7 Societal Goals
•
IOOS Conceptual Design
•
Began Process of
 Specifying observing system
requirements
•
DMAC the Highest Priority
•
Estimated New Funding for
Implementation
 $138 M Yr 1
 $500 M Yr 5
6
IOOS Design Principles
•
Provide data & information needed to address all 7 societal goals by
implementing & sustaining an IOOS that is
 Responsive to the needs of decision makers,
 End – to – End
 Multi–scale, Multidisciplinary & Multipurpose
•
Serve data & information at rates & in forms required by decision
makers in each of the 7 societal benefit areas.
•
Make more effective use of existing assets to
 Efficiently link observations & modeling through
 Integrated data management & communications
•
Build on, improve & enhance existing capabilities over time
•
Enable users from both private & public sectors to contribute to &
benefit from IOOS data & information
•
Adopt & implement national standards & protocols for
 Measurements & data telemetry,
 Data management & communications, &
 Modeling & analysis
•
Implement performance measures for all of the above
7
IOOS is an “End–to–End” System
Efficiently Link 3 Subsystems
Decision
Support
Tools
Metadata
standards
Currents &
Waves
Climate
Data
discovery
Water level
Natural Hazards
Coastal
inundation
Marine Services
Waterborne
pathogens
Security
Population
Dynamics
Public Health
Ecosystem
Dynamics
Ecosystem Health
Satellites
Aircraft
Fixed Platforms
Ships
Drifters & Floats
AUVs
Data
transport
Online
browse
Data
archival
Observing –
Integrated
Data Telemetry
DMAC
Modeling
Analysis
Resources
8
Observing & Data Telemetry Subsystem
Multi–Scale System
Global Ocean
Component
Coastal Ocean
Component
GLs
NE
Ak
Pac
MAB
Regional
Observing
Systems
NW
C
Cal
S
Cal
SE
Caribb
Go
Mex
National
Backbone
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Coastal Component of
the IOOS
Regional COOS’s
• Based on data & info
requirements of users
• Regional Associations
 Design & Manage
 Resolution
 Variables
• Estuaries, Great Lakes,
EEZ
• Incorporate
 Subregional systems
 Elements thereof
National Backbone
• Operated by
 NOPP Agencies
 RAs
• EEZ & Great Lakes
• Core variables
 Required by regions
• Networks
 Sentinel stations
 Reference stations
• Standards/Protocols
 QAQC, DMAC
 Products
First Development Plan
Completed by Ocean.US
December 2004
Approved at Cabinet level by the
Interagency Committee on
Ocean Science & Resource
Management (ICOSRMI)
January 2006
www.ocean.us
11
DMAC Plan
• Completed & Approved in 2005
• Provides a Road Map for
Implementing Interoperable
Mechanisms that Enable
 Rapid access to diverse data
 From many sources
• With the completion of the DMAC
plan, Ocean.US is turning its
attention to
 The Modeling & Analysis
Subsystem
12
The 1st IOOS Development Plan calls for a
modeling effort that will
• Improve, develop, test & validate operational models for all
seven societal goals;
• Produce more accurate & comprehensive estimates of current
states of the marine environment, ecosystems & living
resources;
• Improve, develop & apply data assimilation techniques to
initialize & update models for more accurate forecasts of state
changes; &
• Optimize the observing subsystem to achieve these objectives
The broad objective is to
tune the delivery of model-derived products to
the time-space scales on which decisions need to be made
to achieve the societal goals.
13
Next steps
• Promote synergy
 between research & operational modeling activities
• Promote improvements
 in existing operational models
• Enable development of operational modeling
capabilities
 in goal areas where none now exist
• Engage Federal Agencies, RAs & other stakeholders
 in the design & implementation of the modeling & analysis
subsystem of IOOS
• Establish a Modeling & Analysis Steering Team
(MAST) to Address these Objecives
14
MAST Members
Chairman: Chris Mooers
Co – Chairs: C.J. Beegle – Krause & Frank Aikman
• Climate & Marine
Meteorology
• Watershed Hydrology
 Michele Reinecker (NASA)
 Steve Payne (Navy)
•
 Fred Toepfer (NOAA)
• Coastal Circulation,
Inundation & Waves





Frank Bub (Navy)
Dale Crockett (TX WDB)
Eoin Howlett (ASA)
Richard Luettich (UNC)
John Harding (Navy)
 Richard Alexander (USGS)
Biogeochemistry
 Jorge Sarmiento (Princeton)
• Ecosystem Dynamics
Fisheries & Water Quality




Carl Cerco (USACE)
John Wilkin (Rutgers)
Eileen Hofmann (ODU)
Anne Hollowed (NOAA)
15
Mission of MAST
Prepare a 5 – Year Strategic Plan with a Prioritized Action Plan &
Budget to Achieve The Following Objectives:
•
Enhance collaboration between operational & research modeling
groups
•
Establish & maintain an inventory of operational & research modeling
capabilities relevant to addressing the 7 societal benefits
•
Assess performance & skill of existing & emerging operational
capabilities in terms of user needs & recommend improvement
•
Develop community consensus for a research agenda that will help
improve operational modeling capabilities
•
Facilitate transitions of models & model improvements from research
to operational use
•
Assess & recommend improvements to the observing & DMAC
subsystems through the use of test beds & OSSEs/OSEs
•
Explore the use & efficacy of Community Modeling Networks as a
mechanism for achieving these objectives
•
Work with the NOPP, Federal Agencies & other groups as appropriate
to attract the required funding
16
IOOS Community Modeling Workshop
28 – 29 November 2006
• Objectives
 Review present status of operational global & coastal
models
 Identify R&D needed to advance operational modeling for all
7 societal goals
 Provide guidance for preparing the MAST Strategic Plan
 Provide guidance for the MAST CY 07 Action Plan
• Deliverables
 Annotated outline of the MAST Strategic Plan
 Recommend short– & long–term priorities for MAST
activities
 Workshop Proceedings
17
RCOOS/ORION Science and Technology Workshop
2007
•
Organizing Committee
 Physical Oceanography, Chris Mooers/RSMAS (SEACOOS/MAST)
 Marine Biogeochemistry, Rick Jahnke/SKIO (SEACOOS/ORION)
 Marine Ecology, Mark Moline/CalPoly (CENCOOS & SCCOOS/ALPS)
•
Issues
 Developing the network of sustained observations needed to meet data
requirements of models for all 7 societal goals
 Building scientifically sound operational IOOS capabilities
•
Participants
 3 experts from each RA
 Coastal physical oceanographer or meteorologist, biogeochemist, &
marine ecologis
 Representatives from DMAC, MAST & ORION
•
Tentative Objectives: Consensus on
 The scientific questions that need to be answered to enable credible &
periodic estimates of the State of the Coastal Ocean regionally?
 The critical missing observational & modeling capabilities & priorities for
filling them?
 How RAs/RCOOSs & ORION/OOI can best collaborate to enable synergy
between IOOS & major ocean research programs
18
THANK YOU
Societal Goals & Example Products
Used to Determine Observing System Requirements
•
Climate Prediction
 Annual estimates of regional–global sea level changes w/ error bars
 Annual quantitative assessments of the impact of global warming on the frequency &
magnitude of tropical & extra–tropical stomrs
•
Maritime Operations & National/Homeland Security
 Hourly mesoscale nowcasts & 72 hr forecasts of water levels & 3–D current,
temperature & salinity fields
 Hourly mesoscale nowcasts & 72 hr forecasts of sea surface vector wind & wave
fields & surf conditions
•
Natural Hazards
 Hourly 72 hr forecasts of the time–space extent of coastal flooding caused by
tsunamis, tropical storms & extratropical storms
 Annual assessments of changes in resilience of coastal populations & infrastructure
to coastal flooding
•
Public Health
 Hourly nowcasts & 72 hr forecasts of plumes from large permitted dischargers
 Hourly 72 hr forecasts of impacts of HABs on coastal habitats, living marine resources
& human health
•
Ecosystem Health
 Annual quantitative assessments of the condition of coastal ecosystems in terms of (i)
habitat & species diversity; (ii) water quality; & (iii) near shore bathymetry–topography
 Annual assessments of the effects of global warming on the condition of coastal
ecosystems as quantified above
•
Living Marine Resources
 Annual estimates of recruitment rates for exploitable fish stocks w/ error bars
 Annual assessments of the efficacy of Marine Protected Areas in terms of the extent &
condition of habitats & the abundance & distribution of living resources
20
Operational
Status High
Existing Operational Capabilities
Marine Weather
Marine Ops
Hurricanes
Public Health
Water Quality
Ecosystem – Based
Management
Investments in R & D
Operational
Status Low
21
IOOS
Data &
Information
Informed
Decisions
7 IOOS
Societal
Goals
Analysis &
Modeling
DMAC
Coordinated
Development of
an Integrated
System
Design of an
End– to– End
System
Observations &
Data Telemetry
Enable
Science
Improve
Operational
Capabilities
Research
Priorities
Research
&
Development
Users
Ocean.US & RAa
Federal Agencies & RAs
Requirements
Plan & Coordinate
Implement
22
President’s Ocean Action Plan
Committee on Ocean Policy
Chair CEQ
(Cabinet Level)
ORRAP
Interagency Committee on
Ocean Science &
Resource Management
Integration (ICOSRMI)
Co-Chairs: OSTP & CEQ
JSOST
NSC PCC
Global
Environment
SIMOR
IWGOO
NFRA
Ocean.US
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Observing Requirements: Remote Sensing
Sustain & Improve Satellite Time-Series
 Surface winds, temperature, waves, currents
 Sea surface height
 Ocean color
~ 50 % Implemented
Global
Coastal