Transcript Project course concl

Conclusions
• What have we learned?
• Was it a good course?
• What next?
© FIRMA EVK1-CT1999-00016
What have we (I) learned?
• Regional applications
– Control, scarcity, quality
– Complicated institutions and stakeholders
– Problems not yet clear (compare
Barcelona)
– Space important, but not always
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Hydrology and models
• Uncertainty, even in water balls
• Interaction between hydrological issues
and political issues
• Models as abstractions
• Multi-level models
• Modelling as a language
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Integrated assessment
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‘The’ cultural theory
Participatory approach
Property rights, equity and efficiency
Appropriate level of complication of
model
– Detailed hydrology?
– Abstract role-playing game?
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An evaluation of the course
• Course is an innovation for a project of this
kind
• Certainly increased mutual understanding
– And understanding of varied expertise and
backgrounds
• Syllabus often not clear
– Learning objectives
– Review of area
– Summary
• Order of presentations not ideal
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What next?
• Course on the web…
– Presentations to Claire
• Developing relationships with
stakeholders
• Gathering data about regional
applications
– Meta-descriptions
• Simple (pilot) models for discussion
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Things we ought to read
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SIRCH working paper on institutions (circulated)
Wooldridge, Michael (1999) Intelligent agents, in G. Weiss (ed.) Multiagent systems
Cambridge: MIT Press, p.. 27-77
Integrated assessment: a bird’s eyes view & Uncertainty in integrated assessment, both at
http://www.icis.unimaas
Rotmans, Jan. and van Asselt (1997) Perspectives on Uncertainty. Global Environmental
Change
Janssen,M. and Jager, W (1999) An integrated approach to simulating behavioural
processes, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol 2, no. 2,
http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/2/2/2.html
Russell, S and Norvig, P, Artificial Intelligence: a modern approach, 1998 (2nd ed.), Prentice
Hall
Nilsson, Nils J. (1998) Artificial intelligence: a new synthesis. Morgan Kaufmann.
Gilbert, Nigel and Troitzsch, Klaus, G. (1999), Simulation for the Social Scientist Milton
Keynes: Open University Press.
Bunge, Mario (1978) The Furniture of the World, A treatise in basic philosophy, vol 4.
Dordrecht:Kluver.
Jacques Ferber, Systèmes Multi-agents
Gilbert, Nigel (1995) Emergence in social simulation, in Nigel Gilbert and Rosaria Conte,
Artificial Societies. London: UCL Press.
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Thanks to…
• Nils
• Flavie
• Olivier
• Cebenna
• you
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Next meeting
• 5-8 September, Zurich
• Concluding reports from WP1.1, 1.2, 1.3
• Detailed plans for WP2, 3, 4
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