Transcript Chap020
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McGraw-Hill/Irwin
© 2003 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
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CHAPTER TWENTY
MARKET TESTING CONTINUED:
CONTROLLED SALE
AND FULL SALE
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A-T-A-R and the
Market Testing Methods
Figure 20.1
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Controlled Sale by Informal Selling
• Used for business-to-business products, also
consumer products sold directly to end users.
• Train salespeople, give them the product and
the selling materials, and have them make calls
(in the field or at trade shows).
• Real presentations--and real sales--take place.
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Controlled Sale by Direct Marketing
More secrecy than by any other controlled sale
method.
The feedback is almost instant.
Positioning and image development are easier
because more information can be sent and more
variations can be tested easily.
It is cheaper than the other techniques.
The technique matches today's growing technologies
of credit card financing, telephone ordering, and
database compilation.
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Controlled Sale by Minimarkets
• Select a limited number of outlets -- each store
is a minicity or “minimarket”
• Do not use regular local TV or newspaper
advertising, but chosen outlets can advertise
product in their own flyers and windows
• Can do shelf displays, demonstrations, etc.
• Use rebates, mail-in premiums, or some other
method to get names of purchasers for later
follow-up
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Controlled Sale by Scanner Market Testing
• Audit sales from grocery stores with scanner
systems (and perhaps humans) -- over a few
markets or national system
• Sample uses:
– Can use the data as a mini-market test
– Can compare cities where differing levels of sales
support are provided
– Can monitor a rollout from one region to the next
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Minimarkets and Scanner Testing: IRI’s
BehaviorScan and InfoScan
• Cable TV interrupt privileges
• Full record of what other media (such as magazines) go into
each household
• Family-by-family purchasing
• Full record of 95 percent of all store sales of tested items from
the check-out scanners
• Immediate stocking/distribution in almost every store is
assured by the research firm.
Result: IRI knows almost every stimulus that hits each individual
family, and it knows almost every change that takes place in
each family's purchase habits.
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The Test Market
• “Several” test market cities are selected
• Product is sold into those cities through the
regular trade channels and advertised at
representative levels in local media
• Once used to support the decision whether to
launch a product, now more frequently used to
determine how best to do so
• The best data to offer potential resellers
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Pros and Cons of Test Marketing
Advantages:
Disadvantages:
• Risk Reduction
• Cost ($1 mill+)
– monetary risk
– channel relationships
– sales force morale
• Strategic Improvement
– marketing mix
– production facilities
• Time (9-12 months+)
– hurt competitive advantage
– competitor may monitor
test market
– competitor may go
national
• Competitor can disrupt
test market
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A Risk of Test Marketing:
“Showing Your Hand”
Figure 20.2
•Kellogg tracked the sale of General Foods' Toast-Ems while they were in test
market. Noting they were becoming popular, they went national quickly with PopTarts before the General Foods' test market was over.
•After having invented freeze-dried coffee, General Foods was test-marketing its
own Maxim brand when Nestle bypassed them with Taster's Choice, which went on
to be the leading brand.
•While Procter & Gamble was busy test-marketing its soft chocolate chip cookies,
both Nabisco and Keebler rolled out similar cookies nationwide.
•The same thing happened with P&G’s Brigade toilet-bowl cleaner. It was in test
marketing for three years, during which time both Vanish and Ty-D-Bol became
established in the market.
•General Foods' test market results for a new frozen baby food were very
encouraging--until it was learned that most of the purchases were being made by
competitors Gerber, Libby, and Heinz!
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The Rollout
• Select a limited area of the country (one or several
cities or states, 25% of the market, etc.) and monitor
sales of product there
• Starting areas are not necessarily representative
– The company may be able to get the ball rolling
more easily there
– The company may deliberately choose a hard area
to sell in, to learn the pitfalls and what really drives
success.
• Decision point: when to switch to the full national
launch?
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Types of Rollout
• By geography (including international)
• By application
• By influence
• By trade channel
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Patterns of Information Gained
During Rollout
Figure 20.4
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Risks of Rollout
• May need to invest in full-scale production
facility early
• Competitors may move fast enough to go
national while the rollout is still underway
• Problems getting into the distribution channel
• Lacks national publicity that a full-scale launch
may generate
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Probable Future for Market Testing
Methods
Figure 20.5
• Test marketing
• Pseudo sale
• Minimarket
• Rollout
(“dinosaur”)
(incomplete)
(flexibility & variety)
(small, fast, flexible)