Transcript Climate Change: Impacts, Costs and Adaptation in the Baltic Sea

9.3.2009
Climate Change:
Costs, Impacts and Adaptation in the Baltic Sea Region
Introduction to BaltCICA and
case studie in Kalundborg
Jan Krause Pedersen
”Part-financed by the European Union (European Regional
Development Fund and European Neighbourhood and Partnership Instrument)
Precursory projects and results:
BSR Interreg IIIB Project SEAREG
“Sea Level Change Affecting Spatial Development in
the Baltic Sea Region”. 2002-2005
• Decision Support Frame
• BSR Interreg IIIB Project ASTRA
“Developing Policies & Adaptation Strategies to Climate
Change in the Baltic Sea Region”. 2005-2007
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The BaltCICA project
… is designed to focus on the most
imminent problems that climate
change is likely to cause in the
Baltic Sea Region.
The concentration of large parts of
the population and many larger
cities in coastal areas make it
especially sensitive to climate
change.
Climate adaptation calls for
cooperation and integrated
approaches in the Baltic Sea
Region
Picture: Veli Suominen
The BaltCICA Project aims
• Assessment of climate change impacts on the living
environment and territorial development.
• Testing and implementation of concrete adaptation
measures in close cooperation between regions or
municipalities.
• Assessment of the costs of rising sea levels and increased
flood risks on a pan-Baltic level.
• Development of a process management concept on
climate change adaptation and mitigation.
Partners
• Partners from 8
different
countries
• Regional and
local
administration,
municipalities,
nature
reserves,
research
institutes of
different
disciplines and
universities
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Geological Survey of Finland (GTK, lead partner)
Helsinki University of Technology /Centre for Urban and Regional STUDIES
(TKK/YTK)
Hanko Water and Wastewater Works
Union of the Baltic Cities – Commission on Environment (UBC)
Helsinki Metropolitan Area Council (YTV)
City of Helsinki
City of Tampere
Geological Survey of Estonia (EGK)
University of Latvia
North Vidzeme Biosphere Reserve
Municipality of Klaipeda
Municipality of the Klaipeda district
Environmental Centre for Administration and Technology, Lithuania (ECAT)
Vilnius University
Lithuanian Geological Survey under the Ministry of Environment
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Kalundborg Municipality
Danish Board of Technology (DBT)
Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS)
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Nordic Centre for Spatial Development (Nordregio)
Norwegian Institute for Urban and Region Research (NIBR)
Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde (IOW)
HafenCity University/Institute for Urban-, Regional- and Environmental
Planning (HCU)
EUCC – The Coastal Union Germany
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
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Case studies
Map: Michael Staudt, GTK
Case studies
• Finland: Helsinki City, metropolitan area. Tamperere, groundwater
surface water interactions. Hanko, groundwater resources in coastal
area.
• Estonia: West Estonian Coast, flood risk, costs, sea level rise contra
isostasi.
• Latvia: Vidzeme and Riga, policy preparation, stakeholders
involvement, public awareness activities, national adaptation strategy.
• Litauania: Klaipeda district and city, flood risk, adaptation,
groundwater.
• Germany: Hamburg, metropolitan area, harbour, innovativ
technologies. Meckelburg-western Pomerania, tourism, beach
management.
• Norway: Bergen, flooding/landslides, landuse/transport,
agriculture/aquaculture, business development.
• Denmark: Kalundborg and Falster, flood risk, adaptation, nature and
water management, costs, public involvement.
Case studie area Kalundborg
Natura 2000 Lille Åmose/Tissø
Elevation curves 0,5 m
Elevation curves 1 m
Elevation curves 1,5 m
Elevation curves 3,0 m
Costal erosion -moderate
Protected nature areas
Protected nature areas - Tissø
Water protection and water supply
Water protection and water supply
Water protection and water supply
Water protection and water supply
Waste water management
Sensitive agriculture areas
Potential wetlands
Models and scenario workshop
• GEUS: Modeling/simulation, IPCC scenarios A2, B2 (35-80 cm sea
level rise, 12-16% more precipitation), groundwater/surfacewater
interactions. Leading to: Local scenarios(do nothing scenario,
buildings/infrastructural protection scenario, natur restoration
scenarion, watermanagement and water as a ressource scenario.
• The Danish Border of Technology (DBT): Description of local
scenarios, presentations, two local workshops with stakeholder and
one citizen summit, identifing solutions, suggest action plans,
method manual.
• The municipality of Kalundborg: Data supply, presentations, costs,
interaction between stakeholders and public spatial planners as well
as politicians, local political implementation . A small project
conference event in Kalundborg with up to 100 participants.
Needs and results (the municipality)
• Models & tools easy to handle for the authorities/practical
usable
• Socio-economic benefits and costs of natur/water/climate
management (possibilities/limitations)
• Use of digital elevation models(GIS)
• Interest priorities
• Defining which data is needed for modeling
• Paradigmes/guidelines for impact assessment/decision
processes
• Good ways to presentation of complex spatial planning
Contact:
BaltCICA Project
Geological Survey of
Finland
Johannes Klein
Beotnimiehenkuja 4
02150 Espoo
FINLAND
The Municipality of
Kalundborg
Jan Krause Pedersen
Hoejvangen 9
4470 Svebølle
Denmark
[email protected]
[email protected]
www.baltCICA.org
www.kalundborg.dk