Transcript 2011 Major Global Issues

Korea and the World (5)
2011 Major Global Issues
2011. 4. 5
김 병 구
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This Week in Brief
• 독도 무인 환경방사선 감지기 설치
– 측정기 현 71개소에서 120개소로 확장 계획
– 독도 해양과학기지 신설, 지진/쯔나미 연구
• 일본, 영토권 분쟁 재주장
– 러: 북방 쿠릴 4도, 중: 남방 센카쿠 열도
– 한: 竹島(다케시마)
2011 한국은….
• 100년전
• 60년전
• 50년전
• 20년전
• 2010
한일합병 (1910)
6.25 한국전쟁 (1950)
4.19 혁명, 민주화 시작(1960)
5.16 혁명, 산업화 시작(1961)
독일 통일 (1990)
소련 붕궤 (1991)
G20 서울 정상회담
천안함, 연평도
2011 Global Issues
• Global financial crisis
• Climate change & global warming
- Earthquake in Japan (2011.3.11)
- Great nuclear dilemma
• Disarmament of WMD
• Democratization of Arab world
“안녕하세요”
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How are you?
Bonjour
Hola, buen dia
Dobre den
Ni-hao
Saba el-hail
Ohaio
1. Global Financial Crisis
• Origin
– 2008.9. US subprime mortgage bubbles
• Background on global propagation
– Too loose free market economy
– World financial markets interconnectivity
• Global economic status
– Biggest recession since 1929 Depression
– 2003-2007: “go-go” years
– 2009 and beyond: “go-slow” years
Road to Recovery
• From G8 to G20 economies (2009.9.24-25
Pittsburgh summit)
IMF/gov’ts increase financial controls
Int’l currency from “USD” to others
Gov’t relief financing, emergency budget
Restructuring businesses/banks
Unemployment, “job sharing”, “work
sharing”
• ROK, first recovery as in IMF crisis 1998
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Difficult Recovery Areas
• EU zone : PIIGS
– POR, IRE, ITA, GRE, SPA
– GRE asking IMF relief
• USA
– Lagging employment
– Record budget deficit
• Natural disaster countries
– JAP, CHI, HAI
Global Economic Power Shift
From G8 to G20
America
Europe
Asia
Africa
USA
CAN
MEX
ARG
BRA
UK
FRA
GER
ITA
RUS
TUR
EU
JPN
CPR
ROK
AUL
INA
IND
SAU
SAF
Korean Recovery
2010 G20 Summit in Seoul
Lessons learned from Korean experience
G20 Pittsburgh Summit (Sep. 24, 2009)
Beginning of the end of US hegemony
OECD, Korea economic growth up 6.2%
2010
2. Climate change
• Global warming
– UN Climate Change Conference(2009.12
Copenhagen)
– Kyoto Protocol implementation plans (2012)
– Greenhouse gas emission controls (Carbon
tax, etc)
• Millennium Development Goals
– Absolute poverty eradication
– Basic human rights protection
Great Nuclear Dilemma
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Nuclear renaissance on the horizon
Japan Tohoku earthquake (2011.3.11)
Fukushima accident, radiation panic
International response to nuclear power
Review of nuclear safety, anti-nuclear
Energy crisis, alternate solutions?
3. Disarmament of WMD
• Bio/chemical weapons of mass
destruction
– BWC, CWC in full force
• Nuclear weapons
- NPT(Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty) r
- P5 NWS disarmament, non-transfer
– NNWS peaceful use only
– 2010 NPT Review Conference
• Iran/DPRK nuclear proliferation concerns
Nuclear hotspots
• Iran
• DPRK
Road to Full Nuclear
Disarmaments
• 2009 US/RUS additional cutbacks
• Warhead dismantlement records
– RUS: from 40,000 to 16,000
– USA: from 20,000 to 10,000
– Each reduction to 1,600 warheads agreed
– SAF voluntary elimination (1989)
– IRQ forced dismantlement (1992)
– LIB voluntary reprogramming (2004)
Nuclear Weapon Free Zones
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Antarctic zone
Latin America
ASEAN region
Africa continent
S. Pacific region
Central Asia region
• NE Asia region
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Antarctic Treaty
Treaty of Tlatelolco
Treaty of Bangkok
Treaty of Pelindaba
Treaty of Rarotonga
Treaty of Almaty
: (Limited NWFZ-NEA?)
Nuclear Weapon-free World
• US/RUS nuclear arms reduction
– New START signed (Prague, 2010.4.8)
• Security Summit (Washington, 2010.4.15)
• NW-free Europe
• NPT Review Conference (2010 5.)
Home Work
• What is my view on the territorial
disputes in general, and ‘Dokdo’ issue
with Japan?