Transcript Vulnerabilities of Romanian Agriculture

Romania: Low-Carbon Growth Options and
Climate Adaptation Efforts in the Agriculture Sector
m
Western Balkans Climate Resilience Workshop
May 11/12, 2016 in Vienna
Hans C. Kordik
Senior Agriculture Economist
[email protected]
Challenges and Opportunities of Romanian Agriculture
Significance of agriculture to the Romanian economy
Most pronounced structural polarization
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Romania Croatia
[3.4 ha]
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Demographic shift likely to impact farm structures
[5.6 ha]
Poland
Slovenia Lithuania
[10 ha]
[6.5 ha] [13.7 ha] [22 ha]
0-5 ha
5-10 ha
Latvia
10-20 ha
Hungary Estonia
[8.1 ha]
20-50 ha
[48 ha]
Bulgaria Czech R. Slovakia
[12 ha]
[152 ha]
[77 ha]
>50 ha
Agriculture trade is based on export of bulk commodities
Vulnerabilities of Romanian Agriculture
Impact of climatic adverse events visible
Adaptive capacity depending on farm structure
Large
farms
Small farms
Decline on irrigation impact volatility in crop yields
Impact on production value and trade balance
Impact of Transformational Process in Romania on
GHG-Emissions from Agriculture
Significance of Romanian Agriculture
in Overall GHG-Emissions
Romania's emissions
Romania's
agricultural emissions
Medium- and long-term Vision for Romanian Agriculture
Export-driven
Climate-resilient
Competitiveness
Rural living
conditions
Mainstreaming Climate Change Mitigation & Adaptation Measures
through Instruments of the EU Common Agricultural Policy (CAP)
Rural Development Measures with Low Cost and High
Abatement Potential in Agriculture
no tillage
Potential Decrease of Rain-fed Crops by 2040
Strategic Objectives for Mitigation and Adaptation in
Romanian Agriculture
Promote Good
Agricultural Practices
Support Investments
for Modernization of
Agriculture Holdings
incl. Irrigation
Promote Knowledge
Transfer and Advisory
Services on Climate
Change
Carbon Capture in
Agriculture
Low-carbon
Growth- and
Adaptation
Strategy for
the Romanian
Agriculture
Sector
Apply Risk
Management
Framework in
Agriculture
Thank You!